Feature Priming in Online Linear Regression: Sparse-Regret Lower Bounds and Tight Coordinatewise Rates

Abstract

In high-dimensional online prediction, sparse comparators motivate regret bounds that depend on sparsity rather than ambient dimension. Feature priming seeks such adaptation by reweighting features using past data and refitting a minimum-norm predictor. At COLT 2023, Warmuth and Amid posed the open problem of whether the univariate, Pearson, or multivariate priming rules admit competitive online regret guarantees. Under the natural past-only Moore--Penrose protocol, we establish sparse-regret lower bounds that refute the corresponding sparse-logarithmic guarantee. The key obstruction is cheap nuisance interpolation, which permits exact interpolation of the history while assigning insufficient weight to the truly predictive coordinate. An exact target-mass identity and a two-sign argument convert this obstruction into clipped prediction loss. Hadamard constructions yield $Ω(\min\{T,\sqrt d\})$ clipped regret for each of the three unit-power rules against a zero-loss one-sparse comparator. For every fixed power $α\ge1$, one shared paired construction further yields linear regret simultaneously for all three powered rules and selectors among them in sufficiently high dimension. A rank upper bound is tight for powered univariate priming, even with Euclidean-unit inputs, and for unit-power Pearson priming with coordinatewise bounded inputs and target-preserving totalization. A separate algebraic construction gives $Ω(\min\{T,d^{1/4}\})$ regret for unit-power multivariate priming under Euclidean-unit inputs. The univariate lower bound persists under any nonnegative second-stage ridge schedule, while a paired ridge construction yields linear lower bounds for all three powered rules. Exploratory diagnostics on frozen language-model activations are consistent with the same qualitative mechanism. The exact multivariate frontier remains open.