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arXiv · 2608.22303

Stability and Hopf Bifurcation of a Delayed SVIRS Epidemic Model with Media Coverage

Songbo Hou·Xinxin Tian
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Abstract

This paper formulates and analyzes a delayed SVIRS epidemic model incorporating media coverage effects, vaccination, waning immunity, temporary post-recovery immunity, saturated treatment, and delayed behavioral responses induced by media coverage. The positivity and uniform boundedness of solutions are established, the basic reproduction number is derived, and the local and global asymptotic stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibria is investigated. Taking the media-induced behavioral delay as the Hopf bifurcation parameter, a critical delay threshold is obtained, beyond which the endemic equilibrium loses stability and periodic oscillations emerge. Center manifold and normal form theories are applied to determine the direction of the local Hopf bifurcation and the stability of the bifurcating periodic solutions, while a global Hopf bifurcation theorem is used to establish the unbounded continuation of the periodic solution branch. Numerical simulations confirm the theoretical results and indicate that stronger media intervention can suppress epidemic oscillations and enhance system stability. These findings reveal the coupled effects of multiple epidemiological mechanisms and delayed media responses, providing theoretical support for the design of effective infectious disease control strategies.

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Songbo Hou, Xinxin Tian. 2026-08-23. Stability and Hopf Bifurcation of a Delayed SVIRS Epidemic Model with Media Coverage. https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.22303

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