The Price of Remembering: A Calibrated Energy Law for Computation

Abstract

Where does a computer's energy go? Mostly into keeping, not into computing. A bit held in fast storage draws power for every second it stays there, and it costs energy again each time it moves between storage levels. We call the first cost \emph{rent} and the second \emph{fare}, and we state one law: the energy of a computation is at least its operations, plus rent on every live bit for as long as it lives, plus fare on every bit moved. The model under the law prices control as well as data. There is no free clock, and any unpriced register would make the theorems false. One lemma does most of the work: every use of a value is paid for by rent, by fare, or by computing the value again. Three things follow. Exact attention brings every past token back for every new one, so its energy grows with the square of the context length, while a recurrent model with a fixed state grows linearly. The square is a theorem for machines that never re-read past tokens. Under a stated serving hypothesis it is the fare on every past token, which passes the model's own arithmetic near ten thousand tokens, the point where long-context serving becomes bandwidth-bound today. Known bounds on memory over time become joule floors: on any sequential machine with volatile working storage, sorting $n$ items pays rent proportional to $n^2/\log n$ bit-steps on most inputs, and the bound for scrypt makes every password guess cost joules that no amount of parallel hardware reduces.