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arXiv · 2609.03036

Population-Calibrated Graph Screening at 835-Million-Address Scale, with Label-Free Transfer to New Chains

Yury Korolev
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Abstract

Compliance screening of blockchain addresses is, in practice, a lookup against sanctions registries plus clustering heuristics; it fails on unlabelled addresses and on chains with no label coverage at all. We describe a deployed system that scores an address by its position in a multi-chain transaction graph rather than by its presence in a list. The substrate is a single graph of 835,330,427 addresses and 15,826,261,934 edges across five EVM chains; a shared inductive encoder with per-chain normalisation feeds two scoring heads. Decision thresholds are exact quantiles of the score distribution over the full population, scanned per chain segment, so the alert volume is known in advance. We report: label-free transfer: heads trained on two chains recall 0.8598 / 0.8182 / 0.9967 of held-out positives on Base, Arbitrum and Gnosis at a $10^{-3}$ population alert rate, with no target-chain labels in head training; a static lead-time replay over 68 external registry events: 40 of 68 (58.8%) flagged at the 0.1% budget, $\times$152 over an event-level random-flagging baseline, with first on-chain appearance a median of 528.8 days (Ethereum) / 647.8 days (Tron) before public designation; a serving path whose score is bit-identical to the offline artefact at end-to-end p50 151 ms, gated by a 2,882-address drift panel; and an adversarial harness of eight recurrent reinforcement-learned archetypes that passes an 8-criterion degeneracy audit and, on a detector-independent snapshot, exposes a measured blind spot of the deployed heads against synthesised behaviour.

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Yury Korolev. 2026-09-02. Population-Calibrated Graph Screening at 835-Million-Address Scale, with Label-Free Transfer to New Chains. https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.03036

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