Exponential Sampling Lower Bounds for Polynomial Sources

Abstract

A degree-$d$ polynomial source is the output of a polynomial map of degree at most $d$ over $\mathbb{F}_2$ on arbitrarily many uniform random bits. Khodabandeh and Shinkar (FOCS '26) proved that $\mathrm{Ber}(1/3)^{\otimes N}$ has statistical distance $1-o(1)$ from every constant-degree polynomial source and conjectured exponentially small overlap. Independently of Khodabandeh and Shinkar, Byramji, Kane, Morris, and Ostuni (RANDOM '26) asked for an explicit target distribution at distance $1-\exp(-N^{Ω_d(1)})$. We resolve both questions. For every fixed $d\geq1$, every degree-$d$ polynomial source has overlap at most $\exp(-c_dN)$ with $\mathrm{Ber}(1/3)^{\otimes N}$, where $c_d>0$ is independent of the seed length. For quadratics, $c_2=2^{-26}$ suffices. We amplify Khodabandeh and Shinkar's uniform separation of acceptance probabilities from non-dyadic parameters (numbers not of the form $a/2^b$ for integers $a$ and $b\geq0$). The result extends to other non-dyadic Bernoulli parameters and to coordinates that are Boolean functions of boundedly many bounded-degree polynomials. We also give a uniform deterministic hierarchy between adjacent degrees. Appending the outputs of disjoint AND gates on $d+1$ inputs to uniform seed bits yields flat degree-$(d+1)$ target distributions of entropy $k$ with overlap $\exp(-Ω_d(\min\{k,N-k\}))$ against every degree-$d$ source, for $\min\{k,N-k\}\geq2(d+1)$. This entropy dependence is optimal up to constants in the exponent among flat target distributions for fixed $d$. The construction has locality $d+1$ and uses $O(N)$ field operations to sample. At $k=\lfloor N/2\rfloor$, it handles $d\leq(1-\varepsilon)\log_2N/3$ with overlap $\exp(-N^{\varepsilon-o(1)})$ for fixed $0<\varepsilon<1$. The proof combines monotonicity of Gowers uniformity norms, pairwise independence of points in a random affine cube, and relative entropy.