Bayesian Matrix-Valued Graphs for Context-Dependent Multivariate Relationships

Papri Dey

Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2609.08055

Bayesian Matrix-Valued Graphs for Context-Dependent Multivariate Relationships

Papri Dey

View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

Many scientific graphs attach several variables to each node, so a single scalar edge weight cannot describe direction-dependent interactions. We model each edge by a symmetric positive-definite (SPD) matrix and infer a posterior over matrix-valued graph geometries, which we call the Bayesian matrix-valued graph (BMVG). We ask how these interactions reconfigure across contexts: how large the change is and which multivariate directions strengthen or weaken. The geodesic distance induced by the affine-invariant Riemannian metric (AIRM) quantifies deformation magnitude and generalized eigenvalues resolve its signed directions.Against fused graphical lasso, Bayesian multiple-GGM, and common principal components, BMVG is competitive on global precision recovery while retaining identifiable matrix-valued edge structure and accurately recovering edge-level deformation directions. In controlled known-truth experiments, it resolves structural change with increasing sample size, including orientation changes that leave ordinary eigenvalues unchanged. In one year of Bay Area weather data, the geometry of 12-hour change reconfigures spatial coupling about as much as whole seasons differ. In TCGA-BRCA, estrogen-receptor (ER)-associated reconfiguration concentrates on specific gene-module pairs and persists under graph-scaffold sparsification and removal of subgroup mean differences. These results establish posterior matrix-valued edge geometry as a unified framework for quantifying and interpreting context-dependent multivariate reconfiguration.

Explore related subjects

stat.ME cs.LG

Keep this discovery

BibTeX RIS

Papri Dey. 2026-09-07. Bayesian Matrix-Valued Graphs for Context-Dependent Multivariate Relationships. https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.08055

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

Discover connections

cs.LG subject stat.ME subject

Connections use source metadata and explicit phrase matches, not verified experimental comparisons.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Clustering Three-Way Data with Outliers

Matrix-variate distributions are a relatively recent addition to the model-based clustering literature, thereby making it possible to analyze data in matrix form with complex structure such as images and time series. Due to its recent appearance, there is limited literature on matrix-variate data, with even less on dealing with outliers in these models. An approach for clustering matrix-variate normal data with outliers is discussed. The approach, which uses the distribution of subset log-likelihoods, extends the OCLUST algorithm to matrix-variate normal data and uses an iterative approach to detect and trim outliers.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2026

Robust conditional dimension reduction for dissimilarity data

Conditional dimension reduction (cDR) learns low-dimensional latent coordinates while accounting for observed covariates that represent known sources of variation in the data. Conditional Multidimensional Scaling (cMDS) is a cDR technique that works directly with dissimilarity data. Its standard squared-stress formulation, however, is sensitive to contaminated dissimilarity, since outliers can dominate the objective and distort the learned configuration. We proposed Robust Conditional Multidimensional Scaling (rcMDS) by replacing the squared-stress criterion with a Fair M-estimation objective. We developed a reweighted conditional SMACOF algorithm to optimize this objective. The proposed algorithm admits computationally tractable updates, and its stabilized objective values decrease monotonically and converge to a finite limit. Experiments on synthetic and real data show that the pro

stat.ML↗

arXiv2026

The Role of Uncertainty in Assessing the Fairness of Machine Learning Models

Machine learning models are widely used in clinical applications, social media, law enforcement and critical infrastructure. Verifying whether their outputs are biased against disadvantaged groups or individuals is crucial to ensuring they are fair and allowing their use in such settings. A rigorous risk assessment of possible fairness violations requires quantifying the uncertainty associated with selecting and estimating such models. Yet, this is rarely done in the literature, which focuses on identifying a single model with a suitable trade-off between predictive accuracy and fairness. In this paper, we move beyond point estimation and discuss frequentist and Bayesian approaches to uncertainty quantification for fair machine learning, with practical examples and implications for simulated and real data.

stat.ML↗