WEKP-PLP: A Wireless Environment Knowledge Pool-Enhanced Path Loss Prediction Framework for Shore-to-Ship Communication

Abstract

Accurate shore-to-ship path loss prediction is essential for maritime mobile communication systems, but it remains challenging because dynamic sea surface conditions can alter reflection paths and multipath effects, introducing uncertainty into the observed path loss. This paper proposes a wireless environment knowledge pool-enhanced path loss prediction (WEKP-PLP) method for point prediction and interval characterization of shore-to-ship path loss. The proposed method first constructs a wireless environment knowledge pool (WEKP) from ray tracing (RT) simulations under different wind speeds, temperatures, salinities, frequencies, antenna heights, and propagation distances. The WEKP learns the mapping from environmental and system parameters to path loss residual quantiles and provides a prior that contains both the median prediction and the associated prediction interval. To adapt this prior to real scenarios, a small number of measurement samples are used to learn the residual between the WEKP median prediction and the measured path loss through Gaussian process regression (GPR). The experimental results show that the WEKP-PLP provides accurate point prediction and compact intervals with reliable coverage. The proposed method achieves an MAE of 1.03 dB and an RMSE of 1.54 dB. The ablation results further confirm that both the WEKP prior and the residual correction using a small number of measurement samples are necessary for accurate and reliable shore-to-ship path loss prediction.