Benchmarking Active Spot Selection for Cost-Efficient Spatial Transcriptomics

Abstract

Spatial transcriptomics (ST) measures gene expression in tissue context, but dense capture grids can be costly and may repeatedly sample morphologically similar regions. Most active learning strategies were developed for categorical labels and independent samples. We conduct a retrospective pool-based benchmark of active learning versus uniform Random sampling for ST, where expression vectors are high-dimensional and continuous and candidates are spatially correlated. Using two fully profiled public ST cohorts, we mask candidate expression vectors and simulate multi-round selection with uncertainty-based Monte Carlo dropout (MC-dropout) and temporal output discrepancy (TOD), and diversity-based CoreSet and TypiClust-inspired selection. We compare 160 completed configurations at 5%, 10%, 30%, and 50% of the fold-wide training spot pool under patient-level cross-validation, with a separate full-label reference. Within each budget, strategies share the selection schedule, morphology-to-expression predictor, and optimization protocol. We assess mean per-gene within-slide Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC), expression-cluster agreement, and Moran's I fidelity. On HER2-positive breast cancer, pooled mean PCC differences from Random across the four active strategies were -0.0176, -0.0117, +0.0056, and +0.0057 at 5%, 10%, 30%, and 50%, respectively. On cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC), three strategies were below Random at 5%, and all four were below Random at 10%. On HER2-positive breast cancer, CoreSet and MC-dropout had lower PCC but higher expression-cluster agreement than Random at the two smallest budgets; this pattern did not reproduce on cSCC. Under the reported fixed training horizons, the evaluated active strategies do not consistently improve on Random at small budgets, and rankings depend on the evaluation measure.