Search arXiv⌕ Search

arXiv · 2609.31562

Agentic Economies for Autonomous Scientific Discovery

Abstract

Recent advances in agentic Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems have marked a shift in AI for Science: moving away from the use of individual AI systems for narrow task execution, toward multi-agent systems capable of orchestrating complex, end-to-end research workflows and performing (semi-)autonomous scientific discovery. The development of multi-agent AI-for-science systems has primarily focused on improving the cognitive capabilities of AI systems, specifically by making advanced reasoning and hypothesis generation more reliable. However, focusing only on cognitive capability improvement could ignore appropriate management of resources, a key bottleneck in scientific discovery. Testing and validating scientific hypotheses and experiments is, physically and economically, resource-intensive and resources are limited. This means that to make significant advancements in autonomous scientific discovery, such as improving human-AI co-scientist complementarity or reaching a truly closed-loop automated process, we must pair ongoing improvements in reasoning capabilities with robust resource management. In this paper, we outline an infrastructure for AI resource management by developing the necessary foundations of scientific agent economies, markets, and institutions. The aim of this infrastructure is to empower AI agents and human scientists to effectively (i) collaborate and establish research priorities, (ii) assign credit, (iii) track accountability and liability, and (iv) safeguard against malicious use and information security risks. Finally, we engage with the macro-level societal implications. of (semi-)autonomous scientific discovery to inform the development of governance policies ensuring an equitable distribution of AI-driven discoveries and derivative future technologies.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Nenad Tomasev, Matija Franklin, Atoosa Kasirzadeh, Vivek Natarajan, Alan Karthikesalingam, Sebastien Krier, Simon Osindero. 2026-09-25. Agentic Economies for Autonomous Scientific Discovery. https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.31562

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Artificial intelligence is creating a new global linguistic hierarchy

Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to transform healthcare, education, governance and socioeconomic equity, but its benefits remain concentrated in a small number of languages (Bender, 2019; Blasi et al., 2022; Joshi et al., 2020; Ranathunga and de Silva, 2022; Young, 2015). Language AI - the technologies that underpin widely-used conversational systems such as ChatGPT - could provide major benefits if available in people's native languages, yet most of the world's 7,000+ linguistic communities currently lack access and face persistent digital marginalization. Here we present a global longitudinal analysis of social, economic and infrastructural conditions across languages to assess systemic inequalities in language AI. We first analyze the existence of AI resources for 6003 languages. We find that despite efforts of the community to broaden the reach of language technologies (Bapna et al., 2022; Costa-Jussà et al., 2022), the dominance of a handful of languages is exacerbating disparities on an unprecedented scale, with divides widening exponentially rather than narrowing. Further, we contrast the longitudinal diffusion of AI with that of earlier IT technologies, revealing a distinctive hype-driven pattern of spread. To translate our findings into practical insights and guide prioritization efforts, we introduce the Language AI Readiness Index (EQUATE), which maps the state of technological, socio-economic, and infrastructural prerequisites for AI deployment across languages. The index highlights communities where capacity exists but remains underutilized, and provides a framework for accelerating more equitable diffusion of language AI. Our work contributes to setting the baseline for a transition towards more sustainable and equitable language technologies.

cs.CY↗

Modeling of Therapist-Client Dynamics in Psychotherapy Using LLM-Based Assessments: An Empirical Study

This study aimed to develop and validate a computational framework for modeling therapist--client interaction processes and to examine how therapist behaviors and relational qualities relate to client self-disclosure and emotional expression in psychotherapy sessions. We developed automated assessment pipelines using large language models (LLMs) to measure therapist behaviors (empathy, exploration), relational quality (rapport), and client outcomes (self-disclosure, self-directed negative emotion, outward-directed negative emotion). Model-generated scores were validated against human annotations. We then applied these measures to approximately 2,000 hours of psychotherapy transcripts from the Alexander Street corpus. This yielded an estimation sample of 119,233 client utterances from 1,573 sessions and 37 clients. Automated measures showed good to excellent agreement with human annotations (ICC = 0.60 - 0.81), with rapport (ICC = 0.81), self-disclosure (ICC = 0.78), empathy components (ICC = 0.60 - 0.75), and emotion measurements (ICC = 0.66 - 0.80). SEM analyses revealed that therapist empathy and exploration were each associated with increased client disclosure and increased expression of self-directed negative emotions. Both behaviors were also associated with reduced expressions of enjoyment. Surprisingly, rapport in the prior session showed no association with client self-disclosure or negative emotion expression. This study demonstrates that LLM-based measurement combined with structural modeling can capture core therapeutic processes at scale.

cs.CY↗

Empirically Grounded Behavioral Adaptivity for LLM-Based Virtual Patients in Psychotherapy Training

Simulated patients offer a scalable way to train psychotherapy micro-skills such as empathic responding and exploratory probing, but current systems either follow fixed scripts or rely on LLMs that drift unpredictably over long sessions. We present the Adaptive Virtual Patient (AVP), which adapts its disclosure behavior in response to trainee skill, from guarded, through moderate openness, to full disclosure. The AVP is informed by a structural equation model fit to nearly 2,000 hours of real-world psychotherapy transcripts, which quantifies how therapist empathy and exploration shift a patient's openness over time. An LLM generates the AVP's utterances conditioned on a disclosure level that the dynamics module updates each turn. In an evaluation with 20 clinicians and trainees over 80 sessions (1,033 turns), the AVP's disclosure rises in response to therapist empathy and exploration, while a prompt-only baseline stays flat; ablations confirm that the empirically motivated parameterization outperforms alternatives, with exploration carrying most of the adaptive signal.

cs.CY↗