Search arXiv⌕ Search

arXiv · 2610.12094

Differentiable Systematic Resampling for Variational Sequential Monte Carlo

Abstract

Particle filters are a standard tool for nonlinear state estimation, but their resampling step is discrete, preventing gradient-based learning in variational sequential Monte Carlo. We introduce Differentiable Systematic Resampling (DSR), a temperature-controlled relaxation of systematic resampling, that preserves the CDF-ordered, banded structure of systematic resampling while enabling full gradient flow. DSR converges to exact systematic resampling as the temperature vanishes, and we prove a pointwise exponential convergence rate for the induced bias. Compared to optimal-transport-based differentiable resampling, DSR avoids iterative solvers and has substantially lower computational overhead. Experiments on stochastic dynamical systems and real-world handwriting data show that DSR achieves comparable or superior filtering and dynamics learning performance.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Fredrik Cumlin, Saikat Chatterjee. 2026-10-08. Differentiable Systematic Resampling for Variational Sequential Monte Carlo. https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.12094

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Graphons of Line Graphs

We consider the problem of estimating graph limits, known as graphons, from observations of sequences of sparse finite graphs. In this paper we show a simple method that can shed light on a subset of sparse graphs. The method involves mapping the original graphs to their line graphs. We show that graphs satisfying a particular property, which we call the square-degree property are sparse, but give rise to dense line graphs. This enables the use of results on graph limits of dense graphs to derive convergence. In particular, star graphs satisfy the square-degree property resulting in dense line graphs and non-zero graphons of line graphs. We demonstrate empirically that we can distinguish different numbers of stars (which are sparse) by the graphons of their corresponding line graphs. Whereas in the original graphs, the different number of stars all converge to the zero graphon due to sparsity. Similarly, superlinear preferential attachment graphs give rise to dense line graphs almost surely. In contrast, dense graphs, including Erdos-Renyi graphs make the line graphs sparse, resulting in the zero graphon.

stat.ML↗

Prognostics for Autonomous Deep-Space Habitat Health Management under Multiple Unknown Failure Modes

Deep-space habitats (DSHs) are safety-critical systems that must operate autonomously for long periods, often beyond the reach of ground-based maintenance or expert intervention. Monitoring system health and anticipating failures are therefore essential. Prognostics based on remaining useful life (RUL) prediction support this goal by estimating how long a subsystem can operate before failure. Critical DSH subsystems, including environmental control and life support, power generation, and thermal control, are monitored by many sensors and can degrade through multiple failure modes. These failure modes are often unknown, and informative sensors may vary across modes, making accurate RUL prediction challenging when historical failure data are unlabeled. We propose an unsupervised prognostics framework for RUL prediction that jointly identifies latent failure modes and selects informative sensors using unlabeled run-to-failure data. The framework consists of two phases: an offline phase, where system failure times are modeled using a mixture of Gaussian regressions and an Expectation-Maximization algorithm to cluster degradation trajectories and select mode-specific sensors, and an online phase for real-time diagnosis and RUL prediction using low-dimensional features and a weighted functional regression model. The approach is validated on simulated DSH telemetry data and the NASA C-MAPSS benchmark, demonstrating its ability to identify unknown failure modes, select mode-specific informative sensors, and accurately predict RUL.

stat.ML↗

Networks with Finite VC Dimension: Pro and Contra

Approximation and learning of classifiers of large data sets by neural networks in terms of high-dimensional geometry and statistical learning theory are investigated. The influence of the VC dimension of sets of input-output functions of networks on approximation capabilities is compared with its influence on consistency in learning from samples of data. It is shown that, whereas finite VC dimension is desirable for uniform convergence of empirical errors, it may not be desirable for approximation of functions drawn from a probability distribution modeling the likelihood that they occur in a given type of application. Based on the concentration-of-measure properties of high dimensional geometry, it is proven that both errors in approximation and empirical errors behave almost deterministically for networks implementing sets of input-output functions with finite VC dimensions in processing large data sets. Practical limitations of the universal approximation property, the trade-offs between the accuracy of approximation and consistency in learning from data, and the influence of depth of networks with ReLU units on their accuracy and consistency are discussed.

stat.ML↗