Fisher Information and Differentiability for $r$-Largest Generalized Extreme-Value Models

Jihong Park; Yire Shin; Jeong-Soo Park

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arXiv · 2610.16136

Fisher Information and Differentiability for $r$-Largest Generalized Extreme-Value Models

Jihong Park·Yire Shin·Jeong-Soo Park

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Abstract

The $r$ largest observations of a block form a dependent random vector whose support moves with all three parameters of the $r$-largest generalized extreme-value ($r$GEV) model. For a fixed number $r$ of order statistics, we show that the model is differentiable in quadratic mean if and only if $k_0<1/2$, where $k=-γ$ is the shape parameter; the threshold is thus the same as for block maxima, because only the largest or the smallest retained order statistic can reach the moving boundary. In this range the Fisher information is positive definite and decomposes into the block-maximum information plus contributions of the lower order statistics, and it equals the negative expected Hessian, which we prove without using any estimator. The model is then locally asymptotically normal, whereas for $k_0\ge1/2$ root-$n$ local asymptotic normality fails. Numerically, using the five largest order statistics instead of the block maximum alone lowers the efficient asymptotic standard error by about $45\%$ for the shape parameter and by $20$--$24\%$ for the 100-year return level in heavy-tailed cases ($k_0\le-0.2$), but by only about $2\%$ for the return level when $k_0=0.4$.

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Jihong Park, Yire Shin, Jeong-Soo Park. 2026-10-12. Fisher Information and Differentiability for $r$-Largest Generalized Extreme-Value Models. https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16136

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