Search arXiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2610.19343

Counterfactual Gate-Support Decomposition: Separating Selection from Redistribution in Training-Data Filtering

Hyojung Han·Jongmin Kim·Seung-Hun Jeon
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

A training-data quality gate changes both which examples survive within regions of the input space and how training mass is distributed across those regions, so a gate-versus-random comparison does not isolate these mechanisms. We introduce Counterfactual Gate-Support Decomposition (CGSD), a four-arm, budget-matched design that crosses gate eligibility with support distribution and decomposes the observed gate effect into within-support selection, between-support redistribution, and their interaction. The practical constraint is finite-pool realizability: we characterize mass and token-assembly conditions under which the required arms can be constructed, together with a support-extinction case in which the ordinary design is undefined. On Korean-English and Korean-Japanese retrieval, the mean within-support selection component is the only one that exceeds its calibrated null band (+29.7 and +5.6 holdout items; 30/30 positive replicates), decisively in Korean-English and marginally in Korean-Japanese; redistribution and interaction remain unresolved at the available power. The same pattern holds for a second, unrelated gate family -- a model-confidence threshold rather than a deterministic verifier -- judged against its own null (+27.3 items, 9/9 positive), so the result is not a property of one gate's mechanism. On a mathematics gate, zero-eligibility supports leave the ordinary design undefined at every budget, while the extended design is constructible only inside narrow budget bands that an exhaustive scan locates and that the natural operating point misses -- the assembly condition separating a property of the pool from a limitation of the packer. CGSD therefore returns a decomposition, a constructible-but-underpowered design, or an explicit non-constructibility result, and says which; it prevents support redistribution from being silently interpreted as sample-level gate quality.

Explore related subjects

cs.LGcs.CL

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Hyojung Han, Jongmin Kim, Seung-Hun Jeon. 2026-10-14. Counterfactual Gate-Support Decomposition: Separating Selection from Redistribution in Training-Data Filtering. https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.19343

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Generation of data on discontinuous manifolds via continuous stochastic non-invertible networks

The generation of discontinuous distributions is a difficult task for most known frameworks such as generative autoencoders and generative adversarial networks. Generative non-invertible models are unable to accurately generate such distributions, require long training and often are subject to mode collapse. Variational autoencoders (VAEs), which are based on the idea of keeping the latent space to be Gaussian for the sake of a simple sampling, allow an accurate reconstruction, while they experience significant limitations at generation task. In this work, instead of trying to keep the latent space to be Gaussian, we use a pre-trained contrastive encoder to obtain a clustered latent space. Then, for each cluster, representing a unimodal submanifold, we train a dedicated low complexity network to generate this submanifold from the Gaussian distribution. The proposed framework is based on the information-theoretic formulation of mutual information maximization between the input data and latent space representation. We derive a link between the cost functions and the information-theoretic formulation. We apply our approach to synthetic 2D distributions to demonstrate both reconstruction and generation of discontinuous distributions using continuous stochastic networks.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Bellman Conformal Inference: Calibrating Prediction Intervals For Time Series

We introduce Bellman Conformal Inference (BCI), a framework that wraps around any time series forecasting models and provides calibrated prediction intervals. Unlike the existing methods, BCI is able to leverage multi-step ahead forecasts and explicitly optimize the average interval lengths by solving a one-dimensional stochastic control problem (SCP) at each time step. In particular, we use the dynamic programming algorithm to find the optimal policy for the SCP. We prove that BCI achieves long-term coverage under arbitrary distribution shifts and temporal dependence, even with poor multi-step ahead forecasts. When the raw forecast intervals are approximately calibrated, we prove that BCI is near optimal for its surrogate model predictive control problem. We find empirically that BCI avoids uninformative intervals with infinite lengths under our main experimental configuration and generates substantially shorter prediction intervals when the raw forecast intervals are poorly calibrated.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

GLL: A Differentiable Graph Learning Layer for Neural Networks

Standard deep learning architectures used for classification generate label predictions with a projection head and softmax activation function. Although successful, these methods fail to leverage the relational information between samples for generating label predictions. In recent works, graph-based learning techniques, namely Laplace learning, have been heuristically combined with neural networks for both supervised and semi-supervised learning (SSL) tasks. However, prior works approximate the gradient of the loss function with respect to the graph learning algorithm or decouple the processes; end-to-end integration with neural networks is not achieved. In this work, we derive backpropagation equations, via the adjoint method, for inclusion of a general family of graph learning layers into a neural network. The resulting method, distinct from graph neural networks, allows us to precisely integrate similarity graph construction and graph Laplacian-based label propagation into a neural network layer, replacing a projection head and softmax activation function for general classification task. Our experimental results demonstrate smooth label transitions across data, improved generalization and robustness to adversarial attacks, and improved training dynamics compared to a standard softmax-based approach.

cs.LG↗