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arXiv · 2610.32809

Joint Angular-Power Distributions of Interfering Nanohertz Gravitational Waves

Abstract

Finite populations of supermassive black-hole binaries produce fluctuations in both gravitational-wave power and pulsar timing correlations. We characterize the realization-dependent, orientation-averaged Earth-term angular correlation through its frequency-resolved Legendre coefficients. A hybrid model of bright sources and a Gaussian faint background extends the conditional Gamma distribution in the many-weak-source limit to non-central $χ^2$ statistics, yielding correlated multipoles after population marginalization. Our analytical variance decomposition and SMBHB population simulations reveal a population-dependent transition from interference dominated variance at low frequencies to population-power-dominated variance at high frequencies. In the many-weak-source regime, a multivariate lognormal approximation captures the main features of the joint distribution using only the first two log-cumulants. These results provide statistical benchmarks for fluctuations in both the overall amplitude and angular structure of the realized correlation.

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Yan-Chen Bi, Yu-Mei Wu, Qing-Guo Huang. 2026-10-23. Joint Angular-Power Distributions of Interfering Nanohertz Gravitational Waves. https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.32809

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