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arXiv · 2610.38094

PyPSA-Libya: An Open-Source Energy System Model for National Decarbonization and Hydrogen Export Pathways

Mohamed Abuella
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Abstract

Libya possesses significant renewable energy potential that remains largely untapped. This paper presents PyPSA-Libya, a national-scale model built on the PyPSA-Earth framework, designed to explore optimal transition pathways for the Libyan power sector. We present two primary studies: (1) an electricity-only capacity expansion analysis comparing a zero-emission constraint against an unconstrained baseline at 36-cluster resolution, and (2) a sector-coupled hydrogen export study evaluating the levelized cost of exporting 70 TWh/year of hydrogen to Europe under three technological scenarios and a 100 EUR/tonne CO2 carbon tax regime. Results indicate that while solar PV dominates the domestic capacity mix, integration of hydrogen production significantly alters grid storage requirements. Furthermore, under carbon pricing, steam methane reforming with carbon capture (SMR-CC) frequently out-competes pure green electrolysis, establishing a lower-cost compliance pathway for cross-border export. The model, data, and configuration files are released under an open-source license to support transparent energy planning in Libya.

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Mohamed Abuella. 2026-10-28. PyPSA-Libya: An Open-Source Energy System Model for National Decarbonization and Hydrogen Export Pathways. https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.38094

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