Search arXiv⌕ Search

arXiv · 2610.38766

Unifying stochastic and deterministic signals: a practical search for the intermittent binary black-hole background

Abstract

Over the past decade, the Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo, and KAGRA detectors have detected nearly 400 compact binary mergers, most of which are stellar-mass binary black-hole (BBH) mergers. Nevertheless, most mergers in the Universe are too weak to be individually detected at current sensitivity levels. Since a BBH merger in band is much shorter than the average time between successive mergers, the population of these subthreshold events gives rise to an intermittent background of gravitational waves (GWs). This GW background is guaranteed to exist, but it has not yet been detected with current stochastic or deterministic searches. Here we propose a fast and accurate likelihood-based search for this background, which unifies the standard model-agnostic cross-correlation search and a fully deterministic, template-based search in a single likelihood. Our search is based on a truncated likelihood ratio, which is fully marginalized over the extrinsic parameters of the individual mergers, and which represents the data in two detectors as an expansion in terms of approximate sufficient statistics. These statistics are higher-order cross-moments of the data, weighted by geometrical factors that generalize the standard overlap reduction function (ORF) used in cross-correlation searches. We show that almost all the Bayesian evidence and information on the BBH merger population comes from correlations between frequency bins induced by individual mergers and is captured in the higher-order generalized ORFs. Consequently, any likelihood function that does not take these inter-frequency correlations into account is necessarily suboptimal. We validate our search on one year of simulated Advanced LIGO data, and find that a catalog-informed analysis, which uses information from both the detected and unresolved mergers, can infer the peak of the redshift distribution of the population of BBH mergers.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Tore Boybeyi, Vuk Mandic, Joseph Romano. 2026-10-28. Unifying stochastic and deterministic signals: a practical search for the intermittent binary black-hole background. https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.38766

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Self-force in hyperbolic black hole encounters

Self-force methods can be applied in calculations of the scatter angle in two-body hyperbolic encounters, working order by order in the mass ratio (assumed small) but with no recourse to a weak-field approximation. This, in turn, can inform ongoing efforts to construct an accurate description of the general-relativistic binary dynamics via an effective-one-body description or other approaches. Existing self-force methods are to a large extent specialised to bound, inspiral orbits. Here we derive the first-order conservative self-force correction to the scattering angle, show its agreement with recent post-Minkowsian results, and develop a technique for (numerical) self-force calculations that can efficiently tackle scatter orbits. In the method, the metric perturbation is reconstructed from a Hertz potential that satisfies (mode-by-mode) a certain inhomogeneous version of the Teukolsky equation. The crucial ingredient in this formulation are certain jump conditions that the (multipole modes of the) Hertz potential must satisfy along the worldline of the small body's orbit. We present a closed-form expression for these jumps, for an arbitrary geodesic orbit in Schwarzschild spacetime. To begin developing the numerical infrastructure, a scalar-field evolution code on a Schwarzschild background (in 1+1D) is developed. Following this, results for the conservative scalar self-force corrections to the scatter angle are calculated. We continue by constructing a Teukolsky evolution code on a Schwarzschild background. This produces numerically unstable solutions due to unphysical homogeneous solutions of the Teukolsky equation at the horizon and null infinity being seeded by numerical error. This can be resolved by a change of variables to a Regge-Wheeler-like field. We then present a full numerical implementation of this method for circular and scatter orbits in Schwarzschild.

gr-qc↗

Quasinormal Ringing of de Sitter Braneworlds

Compared with the Poincaré braneworld, the de Sitter (dS) braneworld aligns more closely with the present universe characterized by a small but finite cosmological constant; to explore the quasinormal ringing properties within the dS brane scenario, we investigate gravitational perturbations in both thin and thick dS brane configurations. Analysis of the perturbation equations reveals that the effective potential along the extra dimension exhibits the shape of a Pöschl-Teller potential, asymptotically approaching a constant value (mass gap) at infinity, and in particular this mass gap can be reduced. Analytical calculations further indicate that the gravitational perturbations, apart from the zero mode, possess a series of discrete, purely imaginary quasinormal modes in the late stages, implying that these perturbations decay without oscillation over time; the analytical findings also demonstrate that the brane structure primarily determines the distribution of the quasinormal spectrum while preserving the purely imaginary nature of the quasinormal frequencies. Subsequently, we further simulate the gravitational wave signal by numerically evolving the perturbation equations, which yields late-stage results consistent with the analytical predictions. Interestingly, these quasinormal modes carry information about the cosmological constant on the brane, which provides a potential new pathway for the study of cosmology in the dS brane scenario.

gr-qc↗

Beyond quasinormal modes: a complete mode decomposition of black hole perturbations

We show that retarded Green's functions of black hole spacetimes can be expressed as a convergent mode sum everywhere in spacetime. At late times a quasinormal mode sum converges, while at early times a Matsubara (or, Euclidean) mode sum converges. The two regions are separated by a lightcone which scatters from the black hole potential. The Matsubara sum is a Fourier series on the Euclidean thermal circle associated to the early time region. We illustrate our results for Pöschl-Teller, BTZ, and Schwarzschild. In the case of Schwarzschild, we express the branch cut contribution as a convergent sum of de Sitter quasinormal modes as $Λ\to 0^+$, and exploit recent exact solutions to the Heun connection problem. In each case we analytically show convergence by studying the asymptotics of residue sums and also provide numerical demonstrations.

gr-qc↗