Search arXiv⌕ Search

arXiv · 2610.39398

Robustness of Chatbot LLM Judgments of Presidential Actions and Hypothetical Reforms

Abstract

Chatbots are increasingly consulted about public affairs, and their judgments of policies are useful only if they are robust. We measure this robustness in the setting of an ordinary user, through consumer chat interfaces. For 30 days, five chatbot configurations (Mistral, Gemini Flash, Claude Sonnet, and Claude Opus at two effort settings) were asked twice a day to score the long-term effect on the United States of 40 actions of the last four presidential administrations and of 15 hypothetical reforms, each with a confidence and a short comment. The judgments are robust: all configurations agree on the sign and the ranking of the administrations' mean scores, and two different configurations asked on the same day give opposite signs to the same action in about 4% of cases. Responses from different days differ more than same-day responses, but the difference grows slowly over the month, except where the service itself changed. We identify three such changes, which shifted the judgments while leaving little or no trace in the interface. Treating the comments as a retrieval task, we find them specific to each item and consistent across runs and chatbots, with lexical and embedding similarities agreeing. We release the dataset of 16,500 judgments.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Oleg Vasilyev. 2026-10-29. Robustness of Chatbot LLM Judgments of Presidential Actions and Hypothetical Reforms. https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.39398

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

From Statistical Methods to Pre-Trained Models; A Survey on Automatic Speech Recognition for Resource Scarce Urdu Language

Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR) technology has witnessed significant advancements in recent years, revolutionizing human-computer interactions. While major languages have benefited from these developments, lesser-resourced languages like Urdu face unique challenges. This paper provides an extensive exploration of the dynamic landscape of ASR research, focusing particularly on the resource-constrained Urdu language, which is widely spoken across South Asian nations. It outlines current research trends, technological advancements, and potential directions for future studies in Urdu ASR, aiming to pave the way for forthcoming researchers interested in this domain. By leveraging contemporary technologies, analyzing existing datasets, and evaluating effective algorithms and tools, the paper seeks to shed light on the unique challenges and opportunities associated with Urdu language processing and its integration into the broader field of speech research.

cs.CL↗

Joint Detection of Fraud and Concept Drift inOnline Conversations with LLM-Assisted Judgment

Detecting fake interactions in digital communication platforms remains a challenging and insufficiently addressed problem. These interactions may appear as harmless spam or escalate into sophisticated scam attempts, making it difficult to flag malicious intent early. Traditional detection methods often rely on static anomaly detection techniques that fail to adapt to dynamic conversational shifts. One key limitation is the misinterpretation of benign topic transitions referred to as concept drift as fraudulent behavior, leading to either false alarms or missed threats. We propose a two stage detection framework that first identifies suspicious conversations using a tailored ensemble classification model. To improve the reliability of detection, we incorporate a concept drift analysis step using a One Class Drift Detector (OCDD) to isolate conversational shifts within flagged dialogues. When drift is detected, a large language model (LLM) assesses whether the shift indicates fraudulent manipulation or a legitimate topic change. In cases where no drift is found, the behavior is inferred to be spam like. We validate our framework using a dataset of social engineering chat scenarios and demonstrate its practical advantages in improving both accuracy and interpretability for real time fraud detection. To contextualize the trade offs, we compare our modular approach against a Dual LLM baseline that performs detection and judgment using different language models.

cs.CL↗

SAFE: An LLM-as-Verifier Framework for Evidence-Grounded Multi-Hop Reasoning

Multi-hop QA benchmarks often reward Large Language Models (LLMs) for spurious correctness, where models reach correct answers through invalid intermediate reasoning. We propose SAFE, an LLM-as-verifier framework for evidence-grounded multi-hop QA. Rather than judging only the final answer after generation, SAFE verifies reasoning during generation by checking intermediate steps against the provided passages and previous reasoning trajectory. To make this process checkable, SAFE decomposes reasoning into atomic, evidence-grounded units represented with Knowledge Graph (KG) triples. At train-time, SAFE verifies benchmark supervision under KG-grounded constraints and constructs reliable verifier training data. At inference-time, an external verifier checks each generated step, identifies invalid reasoning, and provides correction feedback before errors propagate. Across three multi-hop QA benchmarks, SAFE improves accuracy by 8.8 pp on average. These results show that evidence-grounded multi-hop QA benefits from shifting LLM-based evaluation from post-hoc answer judgment to stepwise reasoning verification.

cs.CL↗