Confidence-Aware Speed-over-Ground Estimation from Doppler Spectra via Reconstruction-Based Representation Learning

Abstract

Reliable speed-over-ground estimation from ground-facing Doppler spectra is essential for mobile platforms such as railway systems. Classical signal-processing approaches can provide accurate estimates under favorable conditions, but often degrade in challenging conditions. We propose confidence-aware speed-over-ground estimation trained on rail-domain data that estimates speed over ground and frame-level confidence from Doppler spectra with several novel contributions: First, we transfer the idea of exploiting a reconstruction task by an autoencoder for performance estimation from previous work to Doppler RaDAR. Second, we append a speed-over-ground estimation head operating on the autoencoder's latent space features. Third, we omit the reconstruction decoder during inference but add a low-cost dedicated confidence head for frame-wise error-bound estimation. Fourth, we reveal how noise augmentation training can provide high robustness to the method. Experiments show that our approach improves speed estimation accuracy over classical baselines while providing informative confidence estimates that indicate the reliability of individual predictions, even under adverse signal conditions.