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The Improbability Scale

David J. Ritchie
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Abstract

The Improbability Scale (IS) is proposed as a way of communicating to the general public the improbability (and by implication, the probability) of events predicted as the result of scientific research. Through the use of the Improbability Scale, the public will be able to evaluate more easily the relative risks of predicted events and draw proper conclusions when asked to support governmental and public policy decisions arising from that research.

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David J. Ritchie. 2005-03-31. The Improbability Scale. https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0503229

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