Search arXiv⌕ Search

arXiv · q-bio/0403007

Dynamics of mortality in protected populations

Abstract

Demographic data and recent experiments verify earlier predictions that mortality has short (few percent of the life span) memory of the previous life history, may be significantly decreased, reset to its value at a much younger age, and (until certain age) eliminated. Such mortality dynamics is demonstrated to be characteristic only of evolutionary unprecedented protected populations. When conditions improve, their mortality decreases stepwise. At crossovers the rate of decrease rapidly changes. The crossovers manifest the edges of the stairs in the universal ladder of rapid mortality adjustment to changing conditions. Mortality is dominated by the established universal law which reduces it to few biologically explicit parameters and which is verified with human and fly mortality data. Specific experiments to test universality of the law for other animals, and to unravel the mechanism of stepwise life extension, are suggested.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Mark Ya. Azbel'. 2004-03-04. Dynamics of mortality in protected populations. https://arxiv.org/abs/q-bio/0403007

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Multimodal AI predicts clinical outcomes of drug combinations from preclinical data

Predicting clinical outcomes from preclinical data is essential for selecting safe and effective drug combinations and for reducing late-stage failures. AI models use molecular structure and target annotations, and do not leverage the perturbation readouts that report how a compound acts in a cellular context. Here we introduce Madrigal, a multimodal AI model that learns from structural, pathway, cell-viability, and transcriptomic data. Madrigal aligns these modalities across 21,842 compounds into a shared latent space and predicts combination outcomes even for drugs observed in only a subset of the data modalities. Trained on 158 expert-curated and 795 patient-reported combination outcomes, Madrigal outperforms single-modality and state-of-the-art multimodal methods. Ablations show that modality alignment and multimodal input each improve predictive performance. Madrigal predicts elevated risk for combinations that share membrane transporters. In head-to-head trials that compare two combination arms,the arm with the higher observed incidence of neutropenia, anemia, alopecia, or hypoglycemia receives the higher predicted risk in 25 of 28 comparisons. In MASH, Madrigal ranks resmetirom among the candidates with favorable predicted safety when paired with type 2 diabetes drugs. Madrigal also improves adverse-event prediction in a longitudinal patient cohort and an independent oncology cohort and predicts efficacy in primary acute myeloid leukemia samples and patient-derived xenografts.

q-bio.QM↗

ProteoEM: probabilistic protein abundance estimation from iterative affinity traces

Single-molecule affinity mapping enables molecular-level measurement of proteins and proteoforms, but imperfect and nonspecific probe binding makes individual affinity traces compatible with multiple molecular identities. Accurate abundance estimation therefore requires apportionment of ambiguous traces by weight rather than assignment to a single candidate. We developed ProteoEM, an expectation-maximization framework for weighted proteoform quantification, inspired by transcript abundance estimation methods for RNA sequencing and released as an open-source Python package. ProteoEM evaluates each molecule against every candidate using fixed, pre-calibrated probe-response rates held separate from the abundance estimate, while retaining the full likelihood of the observed affinity features. The framework estimates proteoform abundances, reports indistinguishable proteoforms as groups when measurements cannot separate them, and accounts for differential observation yields to distinguish the composition of observed molecules from that of the source sample. In simulations, ProteoEM accurately recovered the underlying molecular composition where approaches that reduce each trace to a hard yes/no call introduced substantial errors. ProteoEM's performance was insensitive to a moderate, uniform calibration error but was biased by informative missing data and by proteoforms absent from the reference. When observation yields were known, it also recovered source-sample composition from observed molecular counts. ProteoEM provides an open-source, reproducible framework for quantitative analysis of single-molecule affinity measurements, and these results motivate validation on experimental molecule-level data.

q-bio.QM↗

PRAXIS-VirtualCell: A Programmable and Trustworthy Framework for Agentic Virtual Cell Experiments

Virtual cells are evolving from single-task predictive models toward programmable biological simulation systems, yet heterogeneous data, models, and validation evidence still lack a unified organizational framework. Here, we present PRAXIS-VirtualCell, a modular framework that organizes biological data, predictive models, perturbations, adapters, execution environments, and validation evidence to enable reproducible and auditable virtual experiments. The system supports cross-species tasks spanning Escherichia coli, Saccharomyces cerevisiae, and human K562 cells, while using biological contracts and evidence-aware execution to distinguish supported predictions from extrapolation and abstention. By further integrating agentic orchestration, PRAXIS-VirtualCell automatically translates natural-language questions into traceable virtual experiments, providing a unified runtime foundation for trustworthy and scalable Virtual Cell systems.

q-bio.QM↗