Search arXiv⌕ Search

arXiv · q-bio/0512039

Phase Transitions and Spatio-Temporal Fluctuations in Stochastic Lattice Lotka-Volterra Models

Abstract

We study the general properties of stochastic two-species models for predator-prey competition and coexistence with Lotka-Volterra type interactions defined on a $d$-dimensional lattice. Introducing spatial degrees of freedom and allowing for stochastic fluctuations generically invalidates the classical, deterministic mean-field picture. Already within mean-field theory, however, spatial constraints, modeling locally limited resources, lead to the emergence of a continuous active-to-absorbing state phase transition. Field-theoretic arguments, supported by Monte Carlo simulation results, indicate that this transition, which represents an extinction threshold for the predator population, is governed by the directed percolation universality class. In the active state, where predators and prey coexist, the classical center singularities with associated population cycles are replaced by either nodes or foci. In the vicinity of the stable nodes, the system is characterized by essentially stationary localized clusters of predators in a sea of prey. Near the stable foci, however, the stochastic lattice Lotka-Volterra system displays complex, correlated spatio-temporal patterns of competing activity fronts. Correspondingly, the population densities in our numerical simulations turn out to oscillate irregularly in time, with amplitudes that tend to zero in the thermodynamic limit. Yet in finite systems these oscillatory fluctuations are quite persistent, and their features are determined by the intrinsic interaction rates rather than the initial conditions. We emphasize the robustness of this scenario with respect to various model perturbations.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Mauro Mobilia, Ivan T. Georgiev, Uwe C. Tauber. 2006-05-24. Phase Transitions and Spatio-Temporal Fluctuations in Stochastic Lattice Lotka-Volterra Models. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10955-006-9146-3

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Spatially explicit population modeling with habitat-preferential movement of Glis glis (edible dormouse)

We develop a spatially explicit dynamical model for the dispersal of the edible dormouse, Glis glis, in a heterogeneous landscape. Population growth occurs within lattice cells, while movement between neighboring cells is governed by logistic functions representing density-dependent emigration and habitat preference. The model includes growth rate, carrying capacity, Allee threshold, home-range scale, and land-cover-based habitat suitability. Simulations over 100 years show that greater sensitivity to habitat preference tends to produce localized distributions with higher mean population density, whereas greater sensitivity to density dependence tends to yield larger occupied areas with lower mean population density. The model links local movement rules to emergent population-level patterns and offers a transparent, process-based framework for exploring potential invasive-species dispersal under field conditions where occurrence data are limited.

q-bio.PE↗

Genealogical Reinforcement in Branching Processes

Within many ecological populations, survival and reproduction exhibit a dependence on social interactions with relatives. As one example, resource excess is often shared according to genealogical proximity. When viewed as a branching system, an individual's offspring distribution acquires an effective dependence on genealogical structure. In the specific case that a large, local family structure leads to a large set of offspring, this can be viewed as a form of genealogical reinforcement. To capture this mechanism, we introduce a branching model of finite-depth genealogical dependence. Given partial observations of this reproducing population and its genealogy, we would like to reject the hypothesis of independent branching and estimate the strength of dependence. We present a statistical framework for detection and estimation, combining analytical results with simulation-based validation. We then identify our branching model with a tree-valued multitype branching process on a finite type space, providing a rigorous characterization of the expected structural reinforcement. Finally, we discuss how these tree-valued interactions can be accommodated within a broader class of stochastic processes.

q-bio.PE↗

Detection of evolutionary shifts in variance under an Ornsten-Uhlenbeck model

Sudden changes in environmental conditions can lead to evolutionary shifts not only in the optimal trait value (theta), but also in the diffusion variance (sigma^2) under the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) model. While several methods have been developed to detect shifts in optimal values, few explicitly account for concurrent shifts in both evolutionary variance and diffusion variance. We use a multi-optima and multi-variance OU model to describe trait evolution with shifts in both theta and sigma^2, and analyze how covariance between species is affected when shifts in variance occur along the phylogeny. We propose a new method that simultaneously detects shifts in both variance and optimal values by formulating the problem as a variable selection task using an L1-penalized loss function. Our method is implemented in the R package ShiVa (Detection of evolutionary shifts in variance). Through simulations, we compare ShiVa with existing methods that can automatically detect evolutionary shifts under the OU model (l1ou, PhylogeneticEM, and PCMFit). Our method demonstrates improved predictive ability and significantly reduces false positives in detecting optimal value shifts when variance shifts are present. When only shifts in optimal value occur, our method performs comparably to existing approaches. We apply ShiVa to empirical data on floral diameter in Rafflesiaceae (with Euphorbiaceae outgroups) and buccal morphology in Centrarchidae sunfishes.

q-bio.PE↗