arXiv subjects

Alexandre Colato

Publications and source records attributed to Alexandre Colato.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2024

Why aphids are not pests in cacao? An approach based on a predator-prey model with aging

We studied a mean-field predator-prey model with aging to simulate the \mbox{interaction} between aphids (\textit{Toxoptera aurantii}) and syrphid larvae in \mbox{cacao} farms in Ilheus, Bahia. Based on the classical predator-prey model, we \mbox{propose} a system of differential equations with three rate equations. \mbox{Unlike} the original Lotka-Volterra model, our model includes two aphid population classes: juveniles (non-breeding) and adult females (asexually breeding). We obtained steady-state solutions for juvenile and adult populations by \mbox{analyzing} the stability of the fixed points as a function of model \mbox{parameters}. The results show that the absorbing state (zero prey population) is always possible, but not consistently stable. A nonzero stationary solution is achievable with appropriate parameter values. Using phase diagrams, we analyzed the \mbox{stationary} solution, providing a comprehensive understanding of the \mbox{dynamics} involved. Simulations on complete graphs yielded \mbox{results} closely matching the differential equations. We also \mbox{performed} simulations on \mbox{random} networks to highlight the influence of \mbox{network} topology on \mbox{system} behavior. Our findings highlight the critical role of life-stage structure, \mbox{predation}, and spatial variation in stabilizing predator-prey \mbox{systems}. This emphasizes the importance of network effects in population dynamics and refines the framework for biological pest control in agriculture. Ultimately, our research contributes to sustainable agricultural practices.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2012

Genomic mutation rates that neutralize adaptive evolution and natural selection

When mutation rates are low, natural selection remains effective, and increasing the mutation rate can give rise to an increase in adaptation rate. When mutation rates are high to begin with, however, increasing the mutation rate may have a detrimental effect because of the overwhelming presence of deleterious mutations. Indeed, if mutation rates are high enough: 1) adaptation rate can become negative despite the continued availability of adaptive and/or compensatory mutations, or 2) natural selection may be disabled because adaptive and/or compensatory mutations -- whether established or newly-arising -- are eroded by excessive mutation and decline in frequency. We apply these two criteria to a standard model of asexual adaptive evolution and derive mathematical expressions -- some new, some old in new guise -- delineating the mutation rates under which either adaptive evolution or natural selection is neutralized. The expressions are simple and require no \emph{a priori} knowledge of organism- and/or environment-specific parameters. Our discussion connects these results to each other and to previous theory, showing convergence or equivalence of the different results in most cases.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2007

Periodical cicadas: a minimal automaton model

The Magicicada spp. life cycles with its prime periods and highly synchronized emergence have defied reasonable scientific explanation since its discovery. During the last decade several models and explanations for this phenomenon appeared in the literature along with a great deal of discussion. Despite this considerable effort, there is no final conclusion about this long standing biological problem. Here, we construct a minimal automaton model without predation/parasitism which reproduces some of these aspects. Our results point towards competition between different strains with limited dispersal threshold as the main factor leading to the emergence of prime numbered life cycles.

q-bio.PE↗