arXiv subjects

Amit Ranjan Trivedi

Publications and source records attributed to Amit Ranjan Trivedi.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Uncertainty Quantification for Computer-Use Agents: A Benchmark across Vision-Language Models and GUI Grounding Datasets

Computer-use agents turn vision-language model (VLM) predictions into executable GUI clicks, so reliable uncertainty estimates are essential for rejection, calibration, miss-severity ranking, and spatial safety regions. Yet evidence on post-hoc uncertainty quantification (UQ) for these agents is fragmented across isolated model and dataset pairs, leaving it unclear whether UQ rankings stay stable when the agent, benchmark, or observable interface changes. We present Argus, a cross-regime benchmark for post-hoc UQ in single-step executable GUI grounding: a 27-method open-weight matrix over 4 VLM agents and 4 datasets, plus an 8-method closed-source matrix across 3 frontier vendors where logits, hidden states, and attention maps are unavailable. Evaluated methods span logit-based scores, sampling and consistency measures, hidden-state and density estimators (Mahalanobis, SAPLMA), attention-based scores, P(True) and verbalised-confidence prompting, and split-conformal prediction. The main finding is selective transfer: UQ rankings are stable across datasets for a fixed model, but degrade across model classes and observable interfaces. Hidden-state and density methods are the most stable open-weight family, while CoCoA-1MCA, Focus, sampling-based scores, and verbalised self-assessment win in specific regimes. Within-model ranking transfer is strong (Spearman rho up to 0.969), but cross-tier transfer to closed-source vendors averages only +0.08, so closed-source UQ should be reranked on the target rather than extrapolated. Conformal click regions show score-level discrimination is not enough for deployment: locally weighted disks shrink radii by 40-60% when the plug-in UQ is calibrated, but coverage degrades under calibration-test or interface mismatch. We release per-item records, calibration/test splits, UQ scores, and analysis scripts for regime-aware UQ selection in GUI agents.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Self-Healing Harness for Runtime Oversight of Agent Self-Modification

LLM agents can change their own future behavior, raising a basic control question of which self-generated changes should be allowed to persist. We formulate this as admission control for self-modification. The agent may propose changes to its operating instructions, while an external runtime gate controls persistence. We implement this principle as a model-agnostic self-healing harness that runs a Detect, Notice, Heal, Validate loop around an otherwise unmodified agent. The agent authors candidate behavioral rules in an external workspace, where they receive provisional execution authority during evaluation and acquire persistent cross-episode authority only after measured improvement on the triggering failure without regression beyond a fixed margin on protected cases. Replay provides matched evidence when available, forward trials provide a weaker fallback, and a corpus-level guard re-tests the accumulated active rule set. Across 16 matched Baseline and Harness runs spanning AppWorld, Terminal-Bench, and $τ^2$-Bench, the gate rejected 383 replay-decided proposals. Of these, 211 (55%) improved their triggering failure while degrading a case that previously worked. This shows that locally beneficial self-modifications can introduce collateral regressions often enough to materially affect gate decisions, providing direct empirical motivation for external admission control. Task-completion score is higher under the Harness in all 16 pairs, with two paired bootstrap intervals excluding zero, while repeated-trial reliability is higher in 12 pairs, tied in 4, and lower in none. Because adaptation modifies the policy-inducing context while leaving model weights fixed, admitted changes remain inspectable, reversible, and compatible with closed-weight models.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Stability-Aligned Residual Adaptation for Rapid Recovery from Dynamics Shifts

Robotic systems deployed beyond controlled environments encounter abrupt and unobserved dynamics shifts that induce substantial transient performance loss, even when the nominal closed loop remains locally stabilizing. We formulate rapid inference-time recovery for physical AI as a constrained residual learning problem, in which an online correction added to a frozen reinforcement learning policy is regulated to minimize recovery time while remaining inside the robustness margin of the nominal controller. We specifically focus upon the regulation of residual's corrective authority relative to an already competent frozen policy. The learned residual produces bounded action-space corrections online, and a Stability Alignment Gate regulates this corrective authority through magnitude constraints, directional coherence, performance-conditioned regulation, and adaptive gain modulation. The method requires no environment resets, policy retraining, explicit system identification, or privileged shift information. Across mid-episode changes in actuation, mass, and contact conditions, it reduces recovery time relative to frozen SAC by up to \textbf{87\%} on Go1, \textbf{48\%} on Cassie, \textbf{30\%} on H1, and \textbf{20\%} on Scout in simulation, while preserving near-nominal steady-state performance. The framework is also characterized on two \emph{physical} robots, a Trossen ViperX manipulator and an AgileX Scout Mini, cutting recovery time by \textbf{19.5\%} on hardware without modifying onboard controller or accessing shift information.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2026

GaitVista: Reliability-Aware AI Measurement toward Accessible Longitudinal Gait Assessment

Tracking recovery of walking function requires detecting meaningful gait change across rehabilitation sessions, yet objective 3D measurement remains confined to specialized motion-capture laboratories. Small camera sets and body-worn inertial sensors broaden access, but reliability varies across joints and time, allowing sensing failures to masquerade as patient change. We present \textsc{GaitVista}, a reliability-aware measurement layer whose lightweight gate assigns joint- and frame-specific visual contributions using camera coverage, local visual quality, cross-modal disagreement, and root-motion continuity, and exposes them for inspection. Across seven clean and degraded sensing conditions on TotalCapture, \textsc{GaitVista} reduces average full-body and lower-body error by \textbf{27.7\%} and \textbf{27.8\%}, attains the lowest worst-condition error among fusion methods, and reduces the gap to a joint-frame oracle from $2.76$--$5.33$~cm for condition-blind baselines to $1.11$~cm. On MoVi with image-derived keypoints, it is the only deployable fusion method to improve over both unimodal streams, reducing marker-supported error by \textbf{6.4\%} relative to the strongest learned fusion baseline. On TotalCapture, it improves bilateral knee-flexion waveform accuracy by \textbf{18.9\%}. Raw inertial measurements from five TotalCapture participants show location- and time-varying magnetic disturbance, supporting the design's reliability premise. Both benchmarks contain neurologically healthy participants in controlled settings and retain participant-specific IMU calibration; we therefore report progress toward accessible gait assessment, not validated clinical deployment.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

CURA: Certified Runtime Alarms for Computer-Use Agents

Self-report is the cheapest oversight channel a deployer has, and on capable computer-use agents (CUAs) it fails precisely where oversight matters. On 361 OSWorld tasks our pipeline, a read-only feasibility gate, a planner, and a GUI executor, reaches a mean task score of 82.9, above the 72.4 human reference, yet 64 of its 71 failures (90%) end with a success claim, 61 acknowledging no blocker, and the explicit failure affordance is never used in roughly 9,100 calls. We introduce CURA (Certified Runtime Alarms for Computer-Use Agents), an external monitor that reads only harness-visible telemetry, with no model internals, extra LLM calls, or prompt changes, and turns the running trajectory into a sequential test with certified false-alarm control. At alpha = 0.10 its CUSUM alarm detects 42.3% of failures a median of 31 steps before termination at a realized false-alarm rate of 0.066, and risk is partly resolvable before the first action (gate probe, 0.69 AUROC). Retrospectively the composite reaches 0.828 AUROC (fold-internal floor 0.802), but its margin over a total-token baseline is not significant (Delta = +0.026, p = 0.101); the separation is online, where CURA recalls more at matched certified budgets: 0.41 versus 0.34 at alpha = 0.10, 0.56 versus 0.38 at alpha = 0.20. Alarm-gated mid-execution oversight recovers 23 of 70 failures while spending a frontier overseer on 38, giving a deployable cascade at mean score 86.8 and 84.5% full-solve (305 of 361). The certificate bounds false alarms only. We also report where behavioral monitoring is uninformative.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

ProbSplat: Efficient Probabilistic Hardware for Gaussian Splatting in 3D Scene Reconstruction

This paper presents ProbSplat, a Compute-in-Memory (CIM)-inspired architecture based on programmable and energy efficient floating-gate inverter columns for probabilistic computing. Improving upon our prior work, ProbSplat programs and stores both means and variances of Gaussian mixture components, and evaluates log-likelihood for gaussian splatting during scene reconstruction with high energy efficiency, suitable for robotics and augmented/virtual reality (AR/VR) at the edge. Our proposed scheme enables independent control of both mean and variance via deterministic adjustment of floating-gate MOSFET threshold voltages, increasing the fidelity of hardware to program probability distributions. The design is simulated in 180nm CMOS on 1.8 V at 50 MHz and achieves mean-variance independence with <2.4% deviation during 3-D Gaussian mixture modeling. Compared to conventional digital implementations, ProbSplat significantly reduces compute complexity, memory footprint, and power consumption. The scalable framework consumes 18pJ energy per log-likelihood inference with 4-bit precision while operating for 500 mixture functions in a 3-D GMM. Scene reconstruction with ProbSplat's characteristics gave satisfactory fidelity of 21.99 PSNR (dB) at 8-bit precision.

cs.ET↗

arXiv2026

GroundControl: Anticipating Navigation Failures in Vision-Language Agents via Trajectory-Consistent Uncertainty Estimates

Vision-language navigation agents achieve competitive average success on benchmark tasks, yet failures often arise through predictable trajectory-level breakdowns such as oscillation, stagnation, or inefficient detours. Reliable deployment, therefore, requires uncertainty signals that anticipate emerging failure dynamics during execution rather than reflect only instantaneous action entropy. We introduce \emph{GroundControl}, a trajectory-consistent uncertainty estimator defined as statistical deviation from nominal goal-directed distance-to-goal dynamics aggregated over an episode. GroundControl models distance evolution using a constant-velocity Kalman filter and combines normalized innovation statistics with complementary trajectory features capturing progress, monotonicity, path efficiency, and oscillatory behavior. The resulting uncertainty score reflects geometric and temporal inconsistency in navigation behavior rather than local prediction dispersion. To evaluate uncertainty quality independently of task success, we formalize \emph{Selective Risk--Coverage Navigation (SRCN)}, a protocol that measures how effectively an uncertainty score ranks episodes by failure or inefficiency using risk--coverage curves and AURC / E-AURC summaries. Across five EB-Navigation splits ($N=300$ episodes), trajectory-consistent uncertainty achieves near-oracle ordering under success-based selective risk, with weighted-average $\mathrm{E\text{-}AURC}_{\mathrm{SR}}=0.0024$ for the GPT-4o model, substantially outperforming entropy-, conformal-, and heuristic baselines. Under SPL-based selective evaluation, GroundControl consistently achieves the lowest AURC and E-AURC across models and navigation splits. These results show that modeling deviation from goal-directed dynamics provides an interpretable and robust signal for anticipating navigation failures in vision-language agents.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2026

When Robots Sleep: Offline Skill Consolidation for Shared-Policy Robot Learning

Robots that learn over long deployments must add new skills without losing the shared policy structure that makes earlier skills reusable. We study sequential robot skill learning, where previous trajectories and task losses may be unavailable, and the deployed policy must remain a single shared controller without task-specific heads, routing, or adapters. We identify skill-coupling collapse, a failure mode in which individual skill success remains non-trivial while reliability among related skills deteriorates. We propose Sleeping Robots, a wake-sleep framework that learns each new skill during wake and consolidates the shared policy offline during sleep using compact frozen skill memories: frozen critics with unordered state buffers for reinforcement learning and frozen actor snapshots with unordered observation buffers for imitation learning. During sleep, these memories define differentiable surrogate objectives whose gradients are combined through Nash bargaining, with adaptive anchoring and local excitability for stable consolidation. On Meta-World MT5, Sleeping Robots improves average success by 64 % and pairwise reliability by x 2.0 over the strongest non-oracle baseline, and on SurgicAI it improves average success and backward transfer relative to continual imitation baselines while remaining competitive on pairwise reliability.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2026

VLM Judges Can Rank but Cannot Score: Task-Dependent Uncertainty in Multimodal Evaluation

Vision-language models (VLMs) are increasingly used as automated judges for multimodal systems, yet their scores provide no indication of reliability. We study this problem through conformal prediction, a distribution-free framework that converts a judge's point score into a calibrated prediction interval using only score-token log-probabilities, with no retraining. We present the first systematic analysis of conformal prediction for VLM-as-a-Judge across 3 judges and 14 visual task categories. Our results show that evaluation uncertainty is strongly task-dependent: intervals cover ~40% of the score range for aesthetics and natural images but expand to ~70% for chart and mathematical reasoning, yielding a quantitative reliability map for multimodal evaluation. We further identify a failure mode not captured by standard evaluation metrics, ranking-scoring decoupling, where judges achieve high ranking correlation while producing wide, uninformative intervals, correctly ordering responses but failing to assign reliable absolute scores. Finally, we show that interval width is driven primarily by task difficulty and annotation quality, i.e., the same judge and method yield 4.5x narrower intervals on a clean, multi-annotator captioning benchmark. Code: https://github.com/divake/VLM-Judge-Uncertainty

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

ProGAL-VLA: Grounded Alignment through Prospective Reasoning in Vision-Language-Action Models

Vision language action (VLA) models enable generalist robotic agents but often exhibit language ignorance, relying on visual shortcuts and remaining insensitive to instruction changes. We present Prospective Grounding and Alignment VLA (ProGAL-VLA), which constructs a 3D entity-centric graph (GSM), uses a slow planner to produce symbolic sub-goals, and aligns them with grounded entities via a Grounding Alignment Contrastive (GAC) loss. All actions are conditioned on a verified goal embedding $g_t$, whose attention entropy provides an intrinsic ambiguity signal. On LIBERO-Plus, ProGAL-VLA increases robustness under robot perturbations from 30.3 to 71.5 percent, reduces language ignorance by 3x-4x, and improves entity retrieval from 0.41 to 0.71 Recall@1. On the Custom Ambiguity Benchmark, it reaches AUROC 0.81 (vs. 0.52), AUPR 0.79, and raises clarification on ambiguous inputs from 0.09 to 0.81 without harming unambiguous success. The verification bottleneck increases mutual information of language-actions, the GAC loss imposes an entity-level InfoNCE bound, and attention entropy yields calibrated selective prediction, indicating that explicit verified grounding is an effective path toward instruction-sensitive, ambiguity-aware agents.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2026

Belief Dynamics for Detecting Behavioral Shifts in Safe Collaborative Manipulation

Robots operating in shared workspaces must maintain safe coordination with other agents whose behavior may change during task execution. When a collaborating agent switches strategy mid-episode, continuing under outdated assumptions can lead to unsafe actions and increased collision risk. Reliable detection of such behavioral regime changes is therefore critical. We study regime-switch detection under controlled non-stationarity in ManiSkill shared-workspace manipulation tasks. Across ten detection methods and five random seeds, enabling detection reduces post-switch collisions by 52%. However, average performance hides significant reliability differences: under a realistic tolerance of +-3 steps, detection ranges from 86% to 30%, while under +-5 steps all methods achieve 100%. We introduce UA-TOM, a lightweight belief-tracking module that augments frozen vision-language-action (VLA) control backbones using selective state-space dynamics, causal attention, and prediction-error signals. Across five seeds and 1200 episodes, UA-TOM achieves the highest detection rate among unassisted methods (85.7% at +-3) and the lowest close-range time (4.8 steps), outperforming an Oracle (5.3 steps). Analysis shows hidden-state update magnitude increases by 17x at regime switches and decays over roughly 10 timesteps, while the discretization step converges to a near-constant value (Delta_t approx 0.78), indicating sensitivity driven by learned dynamics rather than input-dependent gating. Cross-domain experiments in Overcooked show complementary roles of causal attention and prediction-error signals. UA-TOM introduces 7.4 ms inference overhead (14.8% of a 50 ms control budget), enabling reliable regime-switch detection without modifying the base policy.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2026

TRIAGE: Type-Routed Interventions via Aleatoric-Epistemic Gated Estimation in Robotic Manipulation and Adaptive Perception -- Don't Treat All Uncertainty the Same

Most uncertainty-aware robotic systems collapse prediction uncertainty into a single scalar score and use it to trigger uniform corrective responses. This aggregation obscures whether uncertainty arises from corrupted observations or from mismatch between the learned model and the true system dynamics. As a result, corrective actions may be applied to the wrong component of the closed loop, degrading performance relative to leaving the policy unchanged. We introduce a lightweight post hoc framework that decomposes uncertainty into aleatoric and epistemic components and uses these signals to regulate system responses at inference time. Aleatoric uncertainty is estimated from deviations in the observation distribution using a Mahalanobis density model, while epistemic uncertainty is detected using a noise robust forward dynamics ensemble that isolates model mismatch from measurement corruption. The two signals remain empirically near orthogonal during closed loop execution and enable type specific responses. High aleatoric uncertainty triggers observation recovery, while high epistemic uncertainty moderates control actions. The same signals also regulate adaptive perception by guiding model capacity selection during tracking inference. Experiments demonstrate consistent improvements across both control and perception tasks. In robotic manipulation, the decomposed controller improves task success from 59.4% to 80.4% under compound perturbations and outperforms a combined uncertainty baseline by up to 21.0%. In adaptive tracking inference on MOT17, uncertainty-guided model selection reduces average compute by 58.2% relative to a fixed high capacity detector while preserving detection quality within 0.4%. Code and demo videos are available at https://divake.github.io/uncertainty-decomposition/.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2026

Uncertainty-Guided Inference-Time Depth Adaptation for Transformer-Based Visual Tracking

Transformer-based single-object trackers achieve state-of-the-art accuracy but rely on fixed-depth inference, executing the full encoder--decoder stack for every frame regardless of visual complexity, thereby incurring unnecessary computational cost in long video sequences dominated by temporally coherent frames. We propose UncL-STARK, an architecture-preserving approach that enables dynamic, uncertainty-aware depth adaptation in transformer-based trackers without modifying the underlying network or adding auxiliary heads. The model is fine-tuned to retain predictive robustness at multiple intermediate depths using random-depth training with knowledge distillation, thus enabling safe inference-time truncation. At runtime, we derive a lightweight uncertainty estimate directly from the model's corner localization heatmaps and use it in a feedback-driven policy that selects the encoder and decoder depth for the next frame based on the prediction confidence by exploiting temporal coherence in video. Extensive experiments on GOT-10k and LaSOT demonstrate up to 12% GFLOPs reduction, 8.9% latency reduction, and 10.8% energy savings while maintaining tracking accuracy within 0.2% of the full-depth baseline across both short-term and long-term sequences.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

TRACER: Trajectory Risk Aggregation for Critical Episodes in Agentic Reasoning

Estimating uncertainty for AI agents in real-world multi-turn tool-using interaction with humans is difficult because failures are often triggered by sparse critical episodes (e.g., looping, incoherent tool use, or user-agent miscoordination) even when local generation appears confident. Existing uncertainty proxies focus on single-shot text generation and therefore miss these trajectory-level breakdown signals. We introduce TRACER, a trajectory-level uncertainty metric for dual-control Tool-Agent-User interaction. TRACER combines content-aware surprisal with situational-awareness signals, semantic and lexical repetition, and tool-grounded coherence gaps, and aggregates them using a tail-focused risk functional with a MAX-composite step risk to surface decisive anomalies. We evaluate TRACER on $τ^2$-bench by predicting task failure and selective task execution. To this end, TRACER improves AUROC by up to 37.1% and AUARC by up to 55% over baselines, enabling earlier and more accurate detection of uncertainty in complex conversational tool-use settings. Our code and benchmark are available at https://github.com/sinatayebati/agent-tracer.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

RMT-KD: Random Matrix Theoretic Causal Knowledge Distillation

Large deep learning models such as BERT and ResNet achieve state-of-the-art performance but are costly to deploy at the edge due to their size and compute demands. We present RMT-KD, a compression method that leverages Random Matrix Theory (RMT) for knowledge distillation to iteratively reduce network size. Instead of pruning or heuristic rank selection, RMT-KD preserves only informative directions identified via the spectral properties of hidden representations. RMT-based causal reduction is applied layer by layer with self-distillation to maintain stability and accuracy. On GLUE and CIFAR-10, RMT-KD achieves up to 80% parameter reduction with only 2% accuracy loss, delivering 2.8x faster inference and nearly halved power consumption. These results establish RMT-KD as a mathematically grounded approach to network distillation.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

EigenTrack: Spectral Activation Feature Tracking for Hallucination and Out-of-Distribution Detection in LLMs and VLMs

Large language models (LLMs) offer broad utility but remain prone to hallucination and out-of-distribution (OOD) errors. We propose EigenTrack, an interpretable real-time detector that uses the spectral geometry of hidden activations, a compact global signature of model dynamics. By streaming covariance-spectrum statistics such as entropy, eigenvalue gaps, and KL divergence from random baselines into a lightweight recurrent classifier, EigenTrack tracks temporal shifts in representation structure that signal hallucination and OOD drift before surface errors appear. Unlike black- and grey-box methods, it needs only a single forward pass without resampling. Unlike existing white-box detectors, it preserves temporal context, aggregates global signals, and offers interpretable accuracy-latency trade-offs.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Cerebellar-Inspired Residual Control for Fault Recovery: From Inference-Time Adaptation to Structural Consolidation

Robotic policies deployed in real-world environments often encounter post-training faults, where retraining, exploration, or system identification are impractical. We introduce an inference-time, cerebellar-inspired residual control framework that augments a frozen reinforcement learning policy with online corrective actions, enabling fault recovery without modifying base policy parameters. The framework instantiates core cerebellar principles, including high-dimensional pattern separation via fixed feature expansion, parallel microzone-style residual pathways, and local error-driven plasticity with excitatory and inhibitory eligibility traces operating at distinct time scales. These mechanisms enable fast, localized correction under post-training disturbances while avoiding destabilizing global policy updates. A conservative, performance-driven meta-adaptation regulates residual authority and plasticity, preserving nominal behavior and suppressing unnecessary intervention. Experiments on MuJoCo benchmarks under actuator, dynamic, and environmental perturbations show improvements of up to $+66\%$ on \texttt{HalfCheetah-v5} and $+53\%$ on \texttt{Humanoid-v5} under moderate faults, with graceful degradation under severe shifts and complementary robustness from consolidating persistent residual corrections into policy parameters.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Calibrated Decomposition of Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty in Deep Features for Inference-Time Adaptation

Most estimators collapse all uncertainty modes into a single confidence score, preventing reliable reasoning about when to allocate more compute or adjust inference. We introduce Uncertainty-Guided Inference-Time Selection, a lightweight inference time framework that disentangles aleatoric (data-driven) and epistemic (model-driven) uncertainty directly in deep feature space. Aleatoric uncertainty is estimated using a regularized global density model, while epistemic uncertainty is formed from three complementary components that capture local support deficiency, manifold spectral collapse, and cross-layer feature inconsistency. These components are empirically orthogonal and require no sampling, no ensembling, and no additional forward passes. We integrate the decomposed uncertainty into a distribution free conformal calibration procedure that yields significantly tighter prediction intervals at matched coverage. Using these components for uncertainty guided adaptive model selection reduces compute by approximately 60 percent on MOT17 with negligible accuracy loss, enabling practical self regulating visual inference. Additionally, our ablation results show that the proposed orthogonal uncertainty decomposition consistently yields higher computational savings across all MOT17 sequences, improving margins by 13.6 percentage points over the total-uncertainty baseline.

cs.CV↗