arXiv subjects

Bingqing Peng

Publications and source records attributed to Bingqing Peng.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

What Do Tabular Foundation Models Compute In Context? In-Situ Representation Refinement through Attention-Gated Updates

What reusable computation should a tabular foundation model learn when every table defines a new supervised task? We develop in-situ representation refinement: support labels guide updates to the episode's representations, and these updates transfer to unlabeled queries without changing model parameters. A regularized leave-one-out objective yields a support correction and its query extension. The leading term separates attention-based reading from state-dependent scaling, motivating RefineICL: an attention-gated, FFN-free contextual stack with selected low-rank feature interaction and typed memory. RefineICL-L24 reaches 0.93836 OVR-AUC and 0.87173 accuracy on AMLB29. A benchmark-informed continuation reaches 1644.8 Elo on the 38-dataset TabArena snapshot, 31.4 Elo above TabPFN-3 under the same evaluation. It also improves all four reported metrics over TabPFN-v3 on both TabZilla views. In a matched 100K-update depth grid, an expanded FFN gives no consistent validation benefit and uses 60.2% more peak inference memory at L8. Internal interventions show that support representations are more than a static source of labels: removing one intermediate support update, while preserving the query output, increases final query cross-entropy in all 72 tested episodes. Together, the derivation and interventions explain how attention-gated updates can construct a task-specific predictor in context.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Transferable Evidence Reconstruction for Longitudinal Glucose Representations

Long physiological recordings contain many routine measurements, while predictive information is often concentrated in rare events, sustained burden, and recurring temporal patterns. Masked autoencoding recovers measurements; contrastive learning aligns views. We study self-supervision that explicitly prioritizes structured signal evidence. We introduce transferable evidence reconstruction (TER), which constructs evidence from unlabeled recordings, fits a fresh low-capacity reader on one recording group, and requires that reader to recover the same evidence in another group without refitting. Differentiating through this cross-group test learns representations with transferable evidence-decoding rules; the evidence guides self-supervision but is not used as a downstream feature. For continuous glucose monitoring (CGM), an observation-aware daily encoder and clock-aware multi-day memory bind glucose level and change to recorded time while organizing up to seven days of history. On the 14-task leaderboard, TER improves the strongest prior overall PR-AUC/ROC-AUC/Macro-F1 scores by 5.51/4.43/2.80 percentage points and sets a new best metric on 12/14 tasks. These leaderboard gains are 2.0-2.9 times the respective gaps between the two strongest baselines. With public pretraining data, folds, and the linear probe matched, TER outperforms our GlucoFM reproduction by 6.09/5.52/2.72 points. Target-reader ablations, same-history controls, and cross-person readouts support the combination of structured evidence, cross-group reader fitting, and learned multi-day organization.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Support-Compiled Feature Folding: More Evidence at Lower Memory Across Tabular Foundation Models

Tabular foundation models face a feature-side scaling dilemma: full-width pairwise mixing grows quadratically with the number of columns, whereas feature selection saves memory by discarding evidence. We introduce Support-Compiled Feature Folding (SCFF), a training-free inference framework that resolves this dilemma without changing the frozen backbone. SCFF routes support-ranked features through bounded leaves of the native feature encoder, support-checks the residual evidence, and merges the encoded messages before a single contextual prediction. It thereby converts quadratic feature-interaction work into linear-in-width work with a bounded local working set, without ensembling predictions or training new parameters. On the exhaustive 18-dataset wide-table slice of fixed AMLB-29, TabZilla, and TabArena snapshots, SCFF improves dataset-macro accuracy and NLL on all six evaluated backbones. All four matched-width comparisons retain favorable 95 percent dataset-bootstrap intervals on locked folds, with relative error reductions up to 26.1 percent. Median paired GPU-memory savings are 2.09x to 2.36x, and the ratio of separately observed maximum peaks reaches 34.3x. Under a measured peak-memory ceiling, SCFF uses the saved budget to preserve more support-selected evidence, improving accuracy by 4.06 and 3.72 points over the widest feasible single leaf on predeclared wide-Core strata of TabICLv2 and TabPFN-3.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Skillful Kilometer-Scale Regional Weather Forecasting via Global and Regional Coupling

Data-driven weather models have advanced global medium-range forecasting, yet high-resolution regional prediction remains challenging due to unresolved multiscale interactions between large-scale dynamics and small-scale processes such as terrain-induced circulations and coastal effects. This paper presents a global-regional coupling framework for kilometer-scale regional weather forecasting that synergistically couples a pretrained Transformer-based global model with a high-resolution regional network via a novel bidirectional coupling module, ScaleMixer. ScaleMixer dynamically identifies meteorologically critical regions through adaptive key-position sampling and enables cross-scale feature interaction through dedicated attention mechanisms. The framework produces forecasts at $0.05^\circ$ ($\sim 5 \mathrm{km}$ ) and 1-hour resolution over China, significantly outperforming operational NWP and AI baselines on both gridded reanalysis data and real-time weather station observations. It exhibits exceptional skill in capturing fine-grained phenomena such as orographic wind patterns and Foehn warming, demonstrating effective global-scale coherence with high-resolution fidelity. The code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/ScaleMixer-6B66.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

WeatherGNN: Exploiting Meteo- and Spatial-Dependencies for Local Numerical Weather Prediction Bias-Correction

Due to insufficient local area information, numerical weather prediction (NWP) may yield biases for specific areas. Previous studies correct biases mainly by employing handcrafted features or applying data-driven methods intuitively, overlooking the complicated dependencies between weather factors and between areas. To address this issue, we propose WeatherGNN, a local NWP bias-correction method that utilizes Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to exploit meteorological dependencies and spatial dependencies under the guidance of domain knowledge. Specifically, we introduce a factor GNN to capture area-specific meteorological dependencies adaptively based on spatial heterogeneity and a fast hierarchical GNN to capture dynamic spatial dependencies efficiently guided by Tobler's first and second laws of geography. Our experimental results on two real-world datasets demonstrate that WeatherGNN achieves the state-of-the-art performance, outperforming the best baseline with an average of 4.75 \% on RMSE.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

FusionSF: Fuse Heterogeneous Modalities in a Vector Quantized Framework for Robust Solar Power Forecasting

Accurate solar power forecasting is crucial to integrate photovoltaic plants into the electric grid, schedule and secure the power grid safety. This problem becomes more demanding for those newly installed solar plants which lack sufficient data. Current research predominantly relies on historical solar power data or numerical weather prediction in a single-modality format, ignoring the complementary information provided in different modalities. In this paper, we propose a multi-modality fusion framework to integrate historical power data, numerical weather prediction, and satellite images, significantly improving forecast performance. We introduce a vector quantized framework that aligns modalities with varying information densities, striking a balance between integrating sufficient information and averting model overfitting. Our framework demonstrates strong zero-shot forecasting capability, which is especially useful for those newly installed plants. Moreover, we collect and release a multi-modal solar power (MMSP) dataset from real-world plants to further promote the research of multi-modal solar forecasting algorithms. Our extensive experiments show that our model not only operates with robustness but also boosts accuracy in both zero-shot forecasting and scenarios rich with training data, surpassing leading models. We have incorporated it into our eForecaster platform and deployed it for more than 300 solar plants with a capacity of over 15GW.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

DSAF: A Dual-Stage Adaptive Framework for Numerical Weather Prediction Downscaling

While widely recognized as one of the most substantial weather forecasting methodologies, Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) usually suffers from relatively coarse resolution and inevitable bias due to tempo-spatial discretization, physical parametrization process, and computation limitation. With the roaring growth of deep learning-based techniques, we propose the Dual-Stage Adaptive Framework (DSAF), a novel framework to address regional NWP downscaling and bias correction tasks. DSAF uniquely incorporates adaptive elements in its design to ensure a flexible response to evolving weather conditions. Specifically, NWP downscaling and correction are well-decoupled in the framework and can be applied independently, which strategically guides the optimization trajectory of the model. Utilizing a multi-task learning mechanism and an uncertainty-weighted loss function, DSAF facilitates balanced training across various weather factors. Additionally, our specifically designed attention-centric learnable module effectively integrates geographic information, proficiently managing complex interrelationships. Experimental validation on the ECMWF operational forecast (HRES) and reanalysis (ERA5) archive demonstrates DSAF's superior performance over existing state-of-the-art models and shows substantial improvements when existing models are augmented using our proposed modules. Code is publicly available at https://github.com/pengwei07/DSAF.

physics.ao-ph↗