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Charles Kilpatrick

Publications and source records attributed to Charles Kilpatrick.

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Hot blue progenitors of stellar-mass black holes

While the connection between massive stars and supernova explosions is well established observationally, the link between massive stars and black hole formation remains elusive. Some massive stars may collapse directly to black holes without a successful supernova, and may therefore be observed as disappearing stars. We investigate the expected photometric properties of such black hole progenitors by combining detailed single and binary stellar evolution models with physically motivated prescriptions linking pre-collapse core structure to explosion or direct collapse outcome, together with stellar atmosphere calculations, producing synthetic photometry across standard ultraviolet to infrared filters. Weighting by an initial mass function and empirical binary distributions, we predict both the observable distribution of progenitor brightness and colour and the rate of direct-collapse events, which we estimate to be about 0.4 per century for a galaxy forming stars at 1 Msun/yr. We find that black hole progenitors are predominantly hot and blue at the pre-collapse stage, with many in Wolf-Rayet phases and luminous in the ultraviolet, while only a minority are red supergiants. Consequently, searches that focus primarily on red supergiants are likely to miss a substantial fraction of direct-collapse events. Monitoring campaigns that include ultraviolet-sensitive observations of nearby star-forming galaxies therefore provide a promising route to detecting disappearing massive stars, offering a direct observational probe of black hole formation. Our results provide predictions to interpret such surveys and constrain the channels that lead to black hole formation.

astro-ph.SR

SN 2024iss: A Multi-Wavelength Expos\'e of a Type IIb Supernova with an Early-Time Ultraviolet Spectrum and Shock Breakout Constraints

We present multi-wavelength observations and a comprehensive analysis of the nearby (D$\sim$14 Mpc) Type IIb supernova (SN IIb) 2024iss. Observations of SN2024iss include an early ZTF detection at $\sim$40 minutes after first light and the earliest Hubble Space Telescope UV spectrum for a SN IIb to date at 7 days after first light. With the bolometric light curve and He-star models, we estimate an ejecta mass range of $\sim 1.1-3.3~M_{\odot}$ and a $^{56}\textrm{Ni}$ mass of $0.11 \pm 0.01~M_{\odot}$. We fit shock-cooling emission models to the first peak in the light curve and estimate a progenitor radius of $100-320~R_{\odot}$ and a H-rich envelope mass of $0.07-0.46~M_{\odot}$. We also compared optical/UV spectra to binary progenitor model spectra, which indicate a stripped H-rich envelope mass of $0.19-0.28~M_{\odot}$. We use early-time X-ray detections to calculate CSM densities that are consistent with a progenitor mass-loss rate of $5\times10^{-4}~M_{\odot}$ ($v_w = 100~$km/s), corresponding to a period of significant mass ejection in the final ~2-5 years before core collapse. In the UV spectrum, we observe strong Mg II emission extending to $\sim15,000 ~$km/s as well as weak P-Cygni profiles of iron-group elements (e.g., Fe, Ti, Al, Ni) present in the outer SN ejecta during the end of shock cooling phase. We find that the overall spectroscopic evolution of SN2024iss is comparable to other SNe IIb, but that the increased brightness following the initial light curve peak is likely influenced by SN ejecta-CSM interaction. Finally, optical/NIR nebular spectroscopy of SN2024iss at $\sim 260-412~$ days reveals multi-peaked forbidden line profiles of O I and Mg I] indicative of inner ejecta asymmetry and/or clumping. We demonstrate the utility of a rich, multi-wavelength dataset for constraining the progenitor systems and explosion dynamics of SNe IIb.

astro-ph.HE

Symbolic Regression Is All You Need: From Simulations to Scaling Laws in Binary Neutron Star Mergers

Gravitational wave sources with electromagnetic counterparts have highlighted the need for predictive, interpretable models linking the parameters of compact binary systems to post-merger remnants and mass outflows. In this work, we explore AI-driven symbolic regression (SR) frameworks to derive updated analytical relations for disk ejecta mass in binary neutron star mergers, trained on state-of-the-art numerical relativity simulations. Our method reveals a set of compact equations that outperform existing fitting formulae across multiple statistical metrics while remaining physically interpretable. Notably, SR also enables alternative predictor sets (e.g., $\{M_1,M_2,\tilde{\Lambda}\}$) that match or exceed the accuracy of models relying solely on compactness of the lightest neutron star ($C_1$), enabling new parameter constraints from electromagnetic observations. Unlike traditional black-box machine learning models, these closed-form expressions generalize robustly to regions of the parameter space not represented in the training data, offering a physics-informed tool for multimessenger observations and constraints on the neutron star equation of state.

astro-ph.HE

The Most Luminous Known Fast Blue Optical Transient AT 2024wpp: Unprecedented Evolution and Properties in the Ultraviolet to the Near-Infrared

We present an extensive photometric and spectroscopic ultraviolet-optical-infrared campaign on the luminous fast blue optical transient (LFBOT) AT 2024wpp over the first ~100 d. AT 2024wpp is the most luminous LFBOT discovered to date, with $L_{\rm{pk}}\approx(2-4)\times10^{45}$ erg s$^{-1}$ (5-10 times that of the prototypical AT 2018cow). This extreme luminosity enabled the acquisition of the most detailed LFBOT UV light curve thus far. In the first ~45 d, AT 2024wpp radiated $>10^{51}$ erg, surpassing AT 2018cow by an order of magnitude and requiring a power source beyond the radioactive $^{56}$Ni decay of traditional supernovae. Like AT 2018cow, the UV-optical spectrum of AT 2024wpp is dominated by a persistently blue thermal continuum throughout our monitoring, with blackbody parameters at peak of T>30,000 K and $R_{\rm{BB}}/t\approx0.2-0.3c$. A temperature of $\gtrsim$20,000 K is maintained thereafter without evidence for cooling. We interpret the featureless spectra as a consequence of continuous energy injection from a central source of high-energy emission which maintains high ejecta ionization. After 35 d, faint (equivalent width <10 {\AA}) H and He spectral features with kinematically separate velocity components centered at 0 km s$^{-1}$ and -6400 km s$^{-1}$ emerge, implying spherical symmetry deviations. A near-infrared excess of emission above the optical blackbody emerges between 20-30 d with a power-law spectrum $F_{\rm\nu,NIR}\propto\nu^{-0.3}$ at 30 d. We interpret this distinct emission component as either reprocessing of early UV emission in a dust echo or free-free emission in an extended medium above the optical photosphere. LFBOT asphericity and multiple outflow components (including mildly relativistic ejecta) together with the large radiated energy are naturally realized by super-Eddington accretion disks around neutron stars or black holes and their outflows.

astro-ph.HE

Progenitor and Close-In Circumstellar Medium of Type II Supernova 2020fqv from High-Cadence Photometry and Ultra-Rapid UV Spectroscopy

We present observations of SN 2020fqv, a Virgo-cluster Type II core-collapse supernova (CCSN) with a high temporal resolution light curve from the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) covering the time of explosion; ultraviolet (UV) spectroscopy from the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) starting 3.3 days post-explosion; ground-based spectroscopic observations starting 1.1~days post-explosion; along with extensive photometric observations. Massive stars have complicated mass-loss histories leading up to their death as CCSNe, creating circumstellar medium (CSM) with which the SNe interact. Observations during the first few days post-explosion can provide important information about the mass-loss rate during the late stages of stellar evolution. Model fits to the quasi-bolometric light curve of SN 2020fqv reveal ~0.23 $M_{\odot}$ of CSM confined within ~1450 $R_{\odot}$ ($10^{14}$ cm) from its progenitor star. Early spectra (<4 days post-explosion), both from HST and ground-based observatories, show emission features from high-ionization metal species from the outer, optically thin part of this CSM. We find that the CSM is consistent with an eruption caused by the injection of $\sim$$5\times 10^{46}$ erg into the stellar envelope $\sim$300 days pre-explosion, potentially from a nuclear burning instability at the onset of oxygen burning. Light-curve fitting, nebular spectroscopy, and pre-explosion \textit{HST} imaging consistently point to a red supergiant (RSG) progenitor with $M_{\rm ZAMS}$$\approx$$13.5$--$15 \, M_{\odot}$, typical for SN~II progenitor stars. This finding demonstrates that a typical RSG, like the progenitor of SN 2020fqv, has a complicated mass-loss history immediately before core collapse.

astro-ph.SR

SOAR/Goodman Spectroscopic Assessment of Candidate Counterparts of the LIGO-Virgo Event GW190814

On 2019 August 14 at 21:10:39 UTC, the LIGO/Virgo Collaboration (LVC) detected a possible neutron star-black hole merger (NSBH), the first ever identified. An extensive search for an optical counterpart of this event, designated GW190814, was undertaken using the Dark Energy Camera (DECam) on the 4m Victor M. Blanco Telescope at the Cerro Tololo Inter-American Observatory. Target of Opportunity interrupts were issued on 8 separate nights to observe 11 candidates using the 4.1m Southern Astrophysical Research (SOAR) telescope's Goodman High Throughput Spectrograph in order to assess whether any of these transients was likely to be an optical counterpart of the possible NSBH merger. Here, we describe the process of observing with SOAR, the analysis of our spectra, our spectroscopic typing methodology, and our resultant conclusion that none of the candidates corresponded to the gravitational wave merger event but were all instead other transients. Finally, we describe the lessons learned from this effort. Application of these lessons will be critical for a successful community spectroscopic follow-up program for LVC observing run 4 (O4) and beyond.

astro-ph.HE

LB-1 is inconsistent with the X-ray source population and pulsar-black hole binary searches in the Milky Way

If confirmed, a wide binary system of 70 $M_{\odot}$ black hole (BH) and an 8 $M_{\odot}$ main sequence star (LB-1) is observed to reside in the Milky Way (MW). We show that long term evolution of an 8 $M_{\odot}$ star around a BH with mass between 5-70 $M_{\odot}$ makes them visible as ultra-luminous X-ray (ULX) sources in the sky. Given the expected ULX phase lifetime ($\approx0.1$ Myr) and their lack of detection in the MW, we conclude that the frequency of an 8-20 $M_{\odot}$ star to be in binary around a stellar mass BH should be less than ($f<2\times10^{-3}$). This is in tension with Liu et al. (2019) claimed detection frequency of LB-1 like system around 8-20$M_{\odot}$ stars ($f\approx3\times10^{-2}$). Moreover, the 8 $M_{\odot}$ star is likely to end as a neutron star (NS) born with a very small kick from an electron capture supernova (ECSN), leaving behind a wide NS-BH binary. So far less than 1\% of all the detectable pulsars in the MW are mapped and there has been no detection of any pulsars in binary systems around BHs which sets an upper bound of about 100 possible pulsar-BH systems in the MW. We show if the NS is born from ECSN, a frequency upper limit of ($f=5\times10^{-4}$) for stars with masses $\approx 8-20~M_{\odot}$ in the MW to have a BH companion. The rate discrepancy will further increase as more pulsars are mapped in the MW, yet these searches would not be able to rule out the Liu et al. detection frequency if NSs are instead born in core collapse SNe with the commonly inferred high kick velocities.

astro-ph.HE

Detection of Circumstellar Helium in Type Iax Progenitor Systems

We present direct spectroscopic modeling of 44 Type Iax supernovae (SNe Iax) using spectral synthesis code SYNAPPS. We confirm detections of helium emission in the early-time spectra of two SNe Iax: SNe 2004cs and 2007J. These He I features are better fit by a pure-emission Gaussian than by a P-Cygni profile, indicating that the helium emission originates from the circumstellar environment rather than the SN ejecta. Based on the modeling of the remaining 42 SNe Iax, we find no obvious helium features in other SN Iax spectra. However, $\approx 76\%$ of our sample lack sufficiently deep luminosity limits to detect helium emission with a luminosity of that seen in SNe 2004cs and 2007J. Using the objects with constraining luminosity limits, we calculate that 33% of SNe Iax have detectable helium in their spectra. We examine 11 SNe Iax with late-time spectra and find no hydrogen or helium emission from swept up material. For late-time spectra, we calculate typical upper limits of stripped hydrogen and helium to be $2 \times 10^{-3}$ M$_{\odot}$ and $10^{-2}$ M$_{\odot}$, respectively. While detections of helium in SNe Iax support a white dwarf-He star binary progenitor system (i.e., a single-degenerate [SD] channel), non-detections may be explained by variations in the explosion and ejecta material. The lack of helium in the majority of our sample demonstrates the complexity of SN Iax progenitor systems and the need for further modeling. With strong independent evidence indicating that SNe Iax arise from a SD channel, we caution the common interpretation that the lack of helium or hydrogen emission at late-time in SN Ia spectra rules out SD progenitor scenarios for this class.

astro-ph.HE