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Clint Dawson

Publications and source records attributed to Clint Dawson.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Operator Learning for Predicting Bulk Wave Parameters of Spectral Wave Models

The impact of wave-induced forcing on the mean water level and nearshore currents is typically modeled through excess momentum fluxes, also known as radiation stresses, and their spatial gradients. Accurate storm surge prediction requires coupled circulation and wave models, but the high computational cost of numerical wave models limits their temporal resolution. In this work, we explore a proof-of-concept application of Deep Operator Networks (DeepONets) as a surrogate for the Simulating WAves Nearshore (SWAN) numerical wave model. Unlike grid-dependent surrogate models, DeepONets learn the underlying continuous operator, and thus, can provide highly efficient prediction while enabling discretization-invariant inference. The proposed surrogate model is evaluated using two distinct 1-D and 2-D steady-state numerical examples with variable boundary wave conditions and wind fields. When applied to a realistic numerical example of steady-state wave simulation in Duck, NC, the DeepONet surrogate improves computational efficiency by four orders of magnitude. Furthermore, the model demonstrates consistently high accuracy in predicting the significant wave height and the x- and y- components of the radiation stress gradient, by achieving relative L_2 errors bounded by 1.91%, 10.98%, and 6.88%, respectively, across all unseen test scenarios.

physics.comp-ph

Investigating Forecast Proficiency of Hurricane-Induced Compound Flooding With a Discontinuous Galerkin Shallow Water Equation Solver

Recent severe storms on the U.S. Gulf coast have demonstrated the challenges presented by compound flooding, such as the interactions between rainfall runoff and storm surge. Historically, many studies have neglected these nonlinear interactions, but we propose to use a discontinuous Galerkin shallow water equation solver, which allows for incorporation of rainfall inputs directly onto the finite element mesh. In this work, we analyze the use of parametric rainfall for forecasting scenarios, using Hurricane Beryl (2024) as a case study. Beryl led to extensive flooding due to rainfall and storm surge along the Gulf. We use a collection of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's short-term advisories along with the best track data to demonstrate the efficacy of the parametric rainfall model for forecasting. Results show that the parametric rainfall input allowed for much more accurate inundation. Areas with heavy rainfall and low surge were affected the most, with many areas peaking over 50 cm above the baseline surge model. Almost none of the available high water marks from Beryl were captured by the standard models, but the compound flooding models capture many of them, the majority of which show relative errors under 10 percent. Results from the advisory forecast simulations were shown to be much closer to the best track hindcast simulation when rainfall forcing was used, even while early forecasts predicted the storm's trajectory much less accurately. The advisory simulations improved even further as Beryl neared the Texas coast, with sampled peak elevations most closely approximating the best track at Advisory 38, a few hours before landfall.

cs.CE