arXiv subjects

Daniel Kitzmann

Publications and source records attributed to Daniel Kitzmann.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

The atmospheric vertical structure of Uranus and Neptune from thermochemical models: the impact of model assumptions

The composition and temperature-pressure profile of the atmospheres of Uranus and Neptune are not well-determined. As observational data are limited, we often rely on chemical equilibrium computations to infer atmospheric abundances and cloud formation. The inferred atmospheric structures, however, strongly depend on several fundamental assumptions such as the elemental abundances and ratios, the condensation properties of the assumed species, or a reference temperature for the adiabatic structure. In this study we investigate the effects of different metallicities (1 to 80 solar), element ratios (C/O and S/N, from 0.1 to 2 and 0.19 to 1.6) and 1 bar temperatures (66 to 86 K) on the vertical structure of ice giant atmospheres. In particular, we use the chemical equilibrium code \texttt{FastChem} to derive mixing ratios and cloud structures for CH$_4$, NH$_3$, H$_2$S, H$_2$O and NH$_4$SH. We find that the models are very sensitive to the assumed parameters, yielding drastically different possible atmospheric structures. For the cases considered here, we find that mixing ratios and cloud deck altitudes can vary by more than an order of magnitude. Additionally, thermal profiles can differ by several tens of kelvins due to composition and 1-bar temperature. We advise that future ground-based observations and a dedicated mission to Uranus and/or Neptune are required to better characterize the atmospheric structure and composition of ice giants.

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arXiv2026

The JWST Early Release Science Program for Direct Observations of Exoplanetary Systems VIII: patchy forsterite and enstatite clouds in the atmosphere of VHS 1256 b, retrieval lessons learned and outlook to the future

JWST defines a new era for the data-driven approach of retrieval modelling, which has become a cornerstone tool for the statistical inference of exoplanetary and brown dwarf properties. The Early Release Science program #1386 observations of VHS 1256 b represent a huge jump in data quality, data quantity and spectral coverage for such objects. VHS 1256 b is a young, planetary mass and extremely variable companion that populates the enigmatic L/T cohort of substellar atmospheres. In this first retrieval analysis of the full 1 - 18 micron dataset, we apply the Brewster retrieval framework to the NIRSpec and MIRI spectroscopic observations of VHS 1256 b, exploring a variety of cloud species and structures. Using Delta(BIC) we find that the data is best described by a forsterite (Mg$_{2}$SiO$_{4}$) and enstatite (MgSiO$_{3}$) cloud combination. Our analysis shows a strong preference for patchy silicate cloud coverage, which aligns with VHS 1256 b's extensive and well documented spectral variability. Our retrieval is able to place constraints on the abundances of H$_{2}$O, CO, CO$_{2}$, CH$_{4}$ as well as NH$_{3}$. We also show that the retrieved parameters are sensitive to the data used and the relative signal-to-noise ratios between data from different instruments. We conclude with the next steps for the wider retrieval community to better understand young and cloudy exoplanetary atmospheres.

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arXiv2026

A population view of transiting hot giant exoplanets: Tracing Fe and Ti chemistry with ESPRESSO and MAROON-X

Hot and ultra-hot Jupiters offer a unique laboratory to study atmospheric chemistry at the population level using ground-based high-resolution spectroscopy. Fe and Ti are key tracers of thermal and chemical structure, yet they exhibit different observational trends across the population. We present a homogeneous reanalysis of high-resolution transmission spectra of ten hot and ultra-hot Jupiters observed with VLT/ESPRESSO and Gemini-N/MAROON-X. We search for neutral Fe and Ti absorption and perform injection-recovery tests using models spanning a range of Ti-depletion levels and T-p profiles. For direct comparison across observations, we introduce the relative cross-correlation metric, $\Delta$Ti-Fe. We detect Fe in 7 and Ti in 4 planets above 5$\sigma$. Across the population, $\Delta$Ti-Fe decreases sharply towards lower equilibrium temperatures. Under the assumption of equal Ti depletion across planets, isothermal models fail to reproduce this trend, instead requiring a temperature-dependent depletion of Ti that increases toward cooler planets, consistent with cold-trapping processes in cooler atmospheres. Models with inverted T-p profiles naturally reproduce the decline without invoking temperature-dependent depletion. There, Ti is converted into TiO in deeper, cooler layers and then removed from the gas phase through condensation, leading to strong suppression of the observable atomic Ti signal. Nevertheless, even in the gradient models, overall depletion of Ti relative to Fe is required to match the hottest planets. Our results demonstrate that observable refractory chemistry is governed by the interplay of molecular partitioning, ionisation, condensation, and cold-trapping processes, as well as the vertical structure of ultra-hot Jupiter atmospheres. Additional observations will be necessary to distinguish between temperature-dependent cold-trapping and overall depletion.(abbrev.)

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arXiv2026

FastChem 4: New chemical elements and improved convergence behaviour

Chemical equilibrium calculations are a key ingredient for modelling and interpreting spectroscopic observations of (exo)planets, brown dwarfs, cool stars, and protoplanetary disks. As these applications increasingly probe non-solar elemental abundances and previously underrepresented elements, equilibrium chemistry solvers must be both numerically robust and capable of handling complex chemical systems. Here we present FastChem 4, a major update to the open-source FastChem equilibrium chemistry code. We extend the gas-phase solver with a multidimensional Newton-method that mitigates the slow convergence previously encountered for strongly non-solar elemental abundances. We further reformulate the gas-phase equations in logarithmic element densities, removing the dependence on quad-precision arithmetic and allowing FastChem to be applied at low temperatures on any platform supporting double precision. The condensate solver is upgraded with adaptive Levenberg-Marquardt regularisation, a perturbed-Hessian fallback, and a combined gas-condensate Newton solver. These changes lead to a strong increase in computational performance and stability. The thermochemical data is expanded using thermochemical data from the NIST-JANAF tables and the Barin compilation, and now comprises 800 gas-phase molecules and ions and 511 condensates spanning 44 elements. We apply the updated code to a wide pressure-temperature grid for both solar and carbon-rich (C/O = 2) elemental compositions. The resulting grids reproduce the classical solar-composition condensation sequence and reveal the marked shifts that occur under carbon-rich conditions. We also find that silicon monoxide is stable as a condensate over a limited pressure-temperature range, consistent with recent JWST observations of brown dwarfs. FastChem 4 is released under the GPLv3 licence, together with a pre-compiled Python package.

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arXiv2026

An Ultra-Short Period Super-Earth and a Sub-Neptune Orbiting the K dwarf TOI-4311

We report the discovery and characterisation of the multi-planetary system around TOI-4311, a K dwarf kinematically between the Galactic thick disk and Hercules stream. TOI-4311 hosts an ultra-short-period super-Earth (P$\sim$0.99 d, $1.376\substack{+0.077\\-0.080}$ R$_\oplus$) and a longer period sub-Neptune (P$\sim$15 d, $2.47\substack{+0.12\\-0.11}$ R$_\oplus$) that was first detected in the TESS photometry. Using follow-up observations with CHEOPS and HARPS, we refine the planetary radius of both planets, derive the mass of planet b ($4.5\substack{+1.5\\-1.4}$ M$_\oplus$) and confirm the planetary nature of planet c. Intriguingly, a third periodic signal is clearly detected in our HARPS RVs that we cannot link to stellar activity. This signal could be attributed to a third planet (P$\sim$38 d, Msin(i)=$26.4\substack{+6.3\\-6.8}$ M$_\oplus$) in the system, however with the current photometric dataset we do not find a transit. Our dynamical analysis highlights that this potential outer planet would remain stable. Using the precise radius and mass for TOI-4311 b we model its interior structure and find that it is very dense given the host star's galactic kinematics and chemistry. Hence this system could challenge current formation theories and provide insights into planet formation across the galaxy.

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arXiv2026

NCCR PlanetS: Observational and computational characterization of exoplanet atmospheres

This chapter reviews the current state of observational and theoretical efforts in the characterization of exoplanet atmospheres, with a focus on developments enabled through the Swiss National Centre for Competence in Research (NCCR) PlanetS. It covers the essential physical and chemical processes that govern atmospheric dynamics, radiative transfer, chemistry, and cloud formation in exoplanets and brown dwarfs. The review discusses the modeling approaches used to simulate these processes, ranging from simplified 1D models to fully coupled 3D general circulation models. Atmospheric retrieval frameworks are presented as tools for inferring atmospheric properties from observational data, highlighting both classical Bayesian techniques and emerging machine learning methods. Observational strategies using instruments like HST, JWST, and ground-based high-resolution spectrographs are also examined. Special emphasis is placed on the interplay between theory and observation, and how developments in modeling, data analysis, and instrumentation collectively advance our understanding of planetary atmospheres beyond the Solar System.

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arXiv2026

The Goldilocks problem for detecting water in terrestrial planets: Constraining water abundances in the mid-IR with LIFE

We investigate how well the Large Interferometer for Exoplanets (LIFE) mission concept can detect habitable conditions on exoplanets through the presence of atmospheric water vapor as a proxy for surface oceans. We model the atmosphere of a pre-biotic Earth-like planet across a range of water concentrations, from water-poor to water-rich, with surface partial pressures from 10$^{-7}$ to 1 bar of H$_2$O. We simulate LIFE-like noise at spectral resolutions R = 50 and 100 using LIFEsim and perform Bayesian atmospheric retrievals to determine the technical requirements for LIFE to confirm habitability. We model three vertical water distributions: a vertically constant profile, a Manabe-Wetherald based Earth-like profile, and a diffusion and photochemistry profile to test how the assumed vertical structure influences the retrieved abundances. Clouds are not modeled. We find the ability for LIFE to detect water strongly depends on the vertical profile assumed. LIFE is unable to constrain the highest water cases and provides upper limits on low water planets. For the highest water abundances, absorption features saturate and reduce sensitivity to characterize precise H$_2$O levels. Water vapor is not detectable in any profile modeled for $\leq10^{-6}$ bar in surface water, comparable to Mars. For an Earth-like profile, LIFE could constrain H$_2$O concentrations from $\sim10^{-3}$ to 1 bar, spanning below and above present-day Earth concentrations of 10$^{-2}$ bar. Detectable atmospheric water may imply surface oceans, as water is highly reactive and rapidly removed by surface mineral reactions. Thus, LIFE can characterize water abundances indicative of habitable surface conditions.

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arXiv2026

Hot Rocks Survey V: Secondary Eclipse Photometry of GJ 3473 b with JWST/MIRI

JWST is transforming our ability to characterise small exoplanets, from sub-Neptunes to rocky worlds. A key open question is whether highly irradiated rocky planets can retain atmospheres or are stripped bare by stellar irradiation -- a boundary that remains to be mapped observationally. Here we present the first JWST secondary eclipse observations of the rocky exoplanet GJ 3473 b, obtained with MIRI F1500W photometry. Using four visits, we confidently detect the eclipse at an average depth of 186$\pm$45 ppm, somewhat lower than expected for a blackbody. We test a wide range of data reduction and analysis assumptions and provide new insights into MIRI detector settling behaviour that will benefit future observations. We model a suite of airless surfaces with varied compositions, textures, and degrees of space weathering, as well as idealised atmospheric scenarios including the possibility of atmospheric collapse. Both atmospheric and bare-rock interpretations remain consistent with the data, but we exclude thick CO$_2$ atmospheres, placing a 95 % credible upper limit of 1.2-6.5 bar on the surface pressure. We also find tentative evidence for visit-to-visit variability in eclipse depth (33-371 ppm), though additional data are required to confirm this. Our results highlight the challenges and intrinsic degeneracies in interpreting MIRI F1500W eclipse measurements of rocky exoplanets, indicating that such observations alone may not uniquely distinguish between bare-rock and atmospheric scenarios. Future spectroscopic or phase-curve observations will be required to determine whether or not GJ 3473 b hosts a substantial atmosphere

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arXiv2026

Ultra-hot Jupiter atmospheres at high spectral resolution

Observations of ultra-hot Jupiters offer an unprecedented opportunity to study the physics of some of the most extreme planetary atmospheres known. With exceedingly high amounts of irradiation blasting their upper atmospheres, ultra-hot Jupiters have dayside temperatures comparable to some late type stars enabling refractory metals otherwise condensed in colder planets to exist in the gas phase, all the while still maintaining comparatively cool nightsides. The ensuing intense temperature contrasts can give rise not only to strong day-to-night winds, but also to vastly different chemical and cloud properties on opposing hemispheres. With its ability to resolve spectral features that are unique to individual chemical species, high resolution spectroscopy can unambiguously disentangle atmospheric signals of exoplanetary origin, which follow a well-defined Keplerian motion, from stationary or pseudo-stationary telluric and stellar lines. Combined, the high temperature of ultra-hot Jupiters providing access to refractory metals with narrow spectral features and the ability of high-resolution spectroscopy to resolve said narrow lines provides access to a wealth of information about these atmospheres that would otherwise be unavailable at lower resolving powers or for other types of planets. In this chapter we explore some of the key physical and chemical transitions that differentiate ultra-hot Jupiters from their colder counterparts and highlight the unique opportunities arising from probing their atmospheres using high resolution spectroscopy.

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arXiv2026

Climates of Terrestrial Exoplanets and Biosignatures

Understanding the climates of terrestrial exoplanets and the detectability of biosignatures is an inherently interdisciplinary challenge, requiring the integration of insights from Solar System exploration, exoplanet observations and climate science. Building from Earth as the only known inhabited planet, NCCR PlanetS has developed models, tools and observational strategies to assess planetary environments far beyond direct reach. Between 2018 and 2025, PlanetS made major contributions across theory, modelling, instrumentation and mission preparation. On the modelling side, the Generic Planetary Climate Model enabled climate studies across a wide range of planetary regimes, from early Venus to temperate terrestrial exoplanets including Proxima b, incorporating advanced developments such as a dynamical slab ocean. In parallel, the THOR global climate model was developed to avoid Earth-centric assumptions and to stably simulate diverse atmospheric regimes. PlanetS has also advanced atmospheric retrieval techniques combining forward modelling, Bayesian inference and machine learning, applied to targets ranging from Solar System bodies to exoplanet phase curves and directly imaged spectra. These efforts have helped assess the scientific return of future missions, notably the Large Interferometer for Exoplanets (LIFE) and to define instrumental requirements for detecting Earth-like atmospheres and biosignatures. Within the Solar System, PlanetS contributed key technologies for biosignature detection, including ORIGIN and SenseLife, enabling in-situ and remote detection of organics, isotopic ratios and microstructures. Finally, PlanetS has played a major role in preparing the next generation of observatories, from JWST, VLT and ELT instruments to LIFE and the Habitable Worlds Observatory. Together, these contributions form an integrated framework advancing the search for life beyond Earth.

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arXiv2025

JWST NIRSpec finds no clear signs of an atmosphere on TOI-1685 b

Determining the prevalence of atmospheres on terrestrial planets is a core objective in exoplanetary science. While M dwarf systems offer a promising opportunity, conclusive observations of terrestrial atmospheres have remained elusive, with many yielding flat transmission spectra. We observe four transits of the hot terrestrial planet TOI-1685 b using JWST's NIRSpec G395H instrument. Combining this with the transit from the previously-observed phase curve of the planet with the same instrument, we perform a detailed analysis to determine the possibility of an atmosphere on TOI-1685 b. From our retrievals, the Bayesian evidence favours a simple flat line model, indicating no evidence for an atmosphere on TOI-1685 b, in line with results from the phase curve analysis. Our results show that hydrogen-dominated atmospheres can be confidently ruled out. For heavier, secondary atmospheres we find a lower limit on the mean molecular weight of ~10, at a significance of ~5 sigma. Pure CO2, SO2, H2O, and CH4 atmospheres, or a mixed secondary atmosphere (CO+CO2+SO2) could explain the data (Delta lnZ < 3). However, pure CH4 atmospheres may be physically unlikely, and the pure H2O and CO2 cases require a high-altitude cloud, which could also be interpreted as a thin cloud-free atmosphere. We discuss the theoretical possibility for different types of atmosphere on this planet, and consider the effects of atmospheric escape and stellar activity on the system. Though we find that TOI-1685 b is likely a bare rock, this study also highlights the challenges of detecting secondary atmospheres on rocky planets with JWST.

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arXiv2025

An Ultra-Short Period Super-Earth and Sub-Neptune Spanning the Radius Valley Orbiting the Kinematic Thick Disk Star TOI-2345

A crucial chemical link between stars and their orbiting exoplanets is thought to exist. If universal, this connection could affect the formation and evolution of all planets. Therefore, this potential vital link needs testing by characterising exoplanets around chemically-diverse stars. We present the discovery of two planets orbiting the metal-poor, kinematic thick-disk K-dwarf TOI-2345. TOI-2345 b is a super-Earth with a period of 1.05 days and TOI-2345 c is a sub-Neptune with a period of 21 days. In addition to the target being observed in 4 TESS sectors, we obtained 5 CHEOPS visits and 26 radial velocities from HARPS. By conducting a joint analysis of all the data, we find TOI-2345 b to have a radius of $1.504\substack{+0.047\\-0.044}$ R$_\oplus$ and a mass of $3.49\pm0.85$ M$_\oplus$; and TOI-2345 c to have a radius of $2.451\substack{+0.045\\-0.046}$ R$_\oplus$ and a mass of $7.27\substack{+2.27\\-2.45}$ M$_\oplus$. To explore chemical links between these planets and their host star, we model their interior structures newly accounting for devolatised stellar abundances. TOI-2345 adds to the limited sample of well characterised planetary systems around thick disk stars. This system challenges theories of formation and populations of planets around thick disk stars with its Ultra-Short Period super-Earth and the wide period distribution of these two planets spanning the radius valley.

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arXiv2025

Hot Rocks Survey IV: Emission from LTT 3780 b is consistent with a bare rock

It is an open question whether small planets around M dwarfs are able to maintain atmospheres. The Hot Rocks Survey aims to address this question by observing 9 rocky exoplanets orbiting M dwarfs with MIRI emission photometry to constrain the onset of atmospheres. In this paper, we present two MIRI F1500W (15$\mu$m) eclipses of LTT 3780 b, an ultra-short period super-Earth ($P=0.768$ d, $R=1.325 \,R_\oplus$, $M = 2.46\,M_\oplus$) that receives 111x Earth's instellation, the highest in the survey. We find a combined eclipse depth of $312\pm38$ ppm, which is consistent between different data reduction and analysis assumptions, bolstering our confidence in the eclipse detection. This eclipse depth is consistent with the thermal emission from a bare rock surface, with a dayside temperature of $T_d=1143^{+104}_{-99}$ K, $98\pm9$ % of the maximum temperature predicted for a zero albedo, zero heat redistribution blackbody. We are able to confidently rule out CO$_2$-based atmospheres down to 0.01 bar surface pressure to greater than 3$\sigma$ (ruling out an approximately Mars-like atmosphere). We are unable to rule out a pure H$_2$O 1 bar atmosphere, though we argue that this composition is unlikely on such a highly irradiated planet, nor O$_2$ atmospheres due to the lack of features in the bandpass, though we can put constraints on CO$_2$-mixture atmospheres. As a potential bare rock, we consider a variety of surface composition models, but are unable to distinguish between them. However, LTT 3780 b is an excellent target for follow-up JWST observations to determine its surface composition and rule out additional atmospheric compositions.

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arXiv2025

Modelling the 3D atmospheric structure of the cold Jupiter WD1856+534b orbiting a white dwarf

WD-1856b+534b (WD-1856b) is to date the only detected cold Jupiter outside of our Solar System. This cold Jupiter can provide useful information about the cold giants in our Solar System. Recent JWST observations have targeted WD-1856b, with more scheduled in the near future. To support the interpretation of these observations, we simulated WD-1856b using a three-dimensional (3D) General Circulation Model (GCM) and produced synthetic emission spectra of the planet. We used the Exo-FMS GCM with correlated-k radiative transfer (RT) and mixing-length theory (MLT). In addition, we included abundances of 13 chemical species using the thermochemical kinetic model mini-chem. Because there are substantial uncertainties in the metallicity and internal temperature of WD-1856b, we ran simulations with 1x, 10x, and 100x solar compositions and at low and high internal temperatures (100 K and 500 K). We generated emission spectra and brightness temperature curves with the GCM output using the 3D Monte Carlo radiative-transfer code gCMCRT. Our results suggest larger volume mixing ratios (VMR) of CO and \CO2 with a warmer core at higher metallicity. With a colder core, H2O and CH4 become more relevant and increase to 0.01 VMR at 100x Solar. We suggest possible \H2O cloud formation in the upper atmosphere in the warm 100x solar case and in all cold cases, which may reduce gas phase H2O in the upper atmosphere moderately.

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arXiv2025

Hot Rocks Survey III: A deep eclipse for LHS 1140c and a new Gaussian process method to account for correlated noise in individual pixels

Time-series photometry at mid-infrared wavelengths is becoming a common technique to search for atmospheres around rocky exoplanets. This method constrains the brightness temperature of the planet to determine whether heat redistribution is taking place - indicative of an atmosphere - or whether the heat is reradiated from a low albedo bare rock. By observing at 15$\mu$m we are also highly sensitive to CO$_2$ absorption. We observed three eclipses of the rocky super-Earth LHS 1140c using MIRI/Imaging with the F1500W filter. We found significant variation in the initial settling ramp for these observations and identify a potential trend between detector settling and the previous filter used by MIRI. We analysed our data using aperture photometry but also developed a novel approach which joint-fits pixel light curves directly using a shared eclipse model and a flexible multi-dimensional Gaussian process which models changes in the PSF over time. We demonstrate using simulated data that our method has the ability to weight away from particular pixels which show increased systematics, allowing for the recovery of eclipse depths in a more robust and precise way. Both methods and an independent analysis detect the eclipse at $>5\sigma$ and are highly consistent with a low albedo bare rock. We recover a dayside brightness temperature of $T_\mathrm{day} = 561\pm44$ K, close to the theoretical maximum of $T_\text{day; max} = 537\pm9$ K. We rule out a wide range of atmospheric forward models to $>3\sigma$ including pure CO$_2$ atmospheres with surface pressure $\ge10$ mbar and pure H$_2$O atmospheres with surface pressure $\ge1$ bar. Our strict constraints on potential atmospheric composition, in combination with future observations of the exciting outer planet LHS 1140b, could provide a powerful benchmark to understand atmospheric escape around M dwarfs.

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arXiv2025

Competing chemical signatures in the atmosphere of TOI-270 d: Inference of sulfur and carbon chemistry

Recent JWST measurements allow access to the near-infrared spectrum of the sub-Neptune TOI-270 d, for which two different interpretations, a high-metallicity miscible envelope and a lower metallicity hycean world, are currently in conflict. Here, we reanalyze the published data and reproduce previously retrieved molecular abundances based on an independent data reduction and a different retrieval framework. The aim of this study is to refine the understanding of TOI-270 d and highlight considerations for JWST data analysis. Additionally, we test the impact of data resolution on atmospheric retrieval calculations. We reduce one JWST NIRSpec G395H and one NIRISS SOSS GR700XD transit dataset using the Eureka! pipeline and a custom MCMC-based light curve fitting algorithm at the instruments' native resolutions. The atmospheric composition is estimated with the updated BeAR retrieval code across a grid of retrieval setups and spectral resolutions. Our transit spectrum is consistent with previous studies, except at the red end of the NIRISS data. Our retrievals support a higher mean molecular weight atmosphere for TOI-270 d. We provide refined abundance constraints and find statistically favored model extensions indicating either sulfur-rich chemistry with species such as CS2, CS, and H2CS, or the possible presence of CH3Cl or CH3F. However, Bayesian inference cannot distinguish between these scenarios due to similar opacities below 4 microns. Our analysis reinforces TOI-270 d as a highly interesting warm sub-Neptune for atmospheric studies, with a complex chemistry in a cloud-free upper atmosphere. However, its exact nature remains uncertain and warrants further detailed photochemical modeling and observations.

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arXiv2025

Parameter degeneracies associated with interpreting HST WFC3 transmission spectra of exoplanetary atmospheres

The Wide Field Camera 3 (WFC3) instrument on the Hubble Space Telescope has provided an abundance of exoplanet spectra over the years. These spectra have enabled analysis studies using atmospheric retrievals to constrain the properties of these objects. However, follow-up observations from the James Webb Space Telescope have called into question some of the results from these older datasets, and highlighted the need to properly understand the degeneracies associated with retrievals of WFC3 spectra. In this study, we perform atmospheric retrievals of 38 transmission spectra from WFC3 and use model comparison to determine the complexity required to fit the data. We explore the effect of retrieving system parameters such as the stellar radius and planet's surface gravity, and thoroughly investigate the degeneracies between individual model parameters -- specifically the temperature, abundance of water, and cloud-top level. We focus on three case studies (HD 209458b, WASP-12b, and WASP-39b) in an attempt to diagnose some of the issues with these retrievals, in particular the low retrieved temperatures when compared to the equilibrium values. Our study advocates for the careful consideration of parameter degeneracies when interpreting retrieval results, as well as the importance of wider wavelength coverage to break these degeneracies, in agreement with previous studies. The combination of data from multiple instruments, as well as analysis from multiple data reductions and retrieval codes, will allow us to robustly characterise the atmosphere of these exoplanets.

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arXiv2025

Kinetic and photochemical disequilibrium in the potentially carbon-rich atmosphere of the warm-Jupiter WASP-69b

High-resolution transmission spectroscopy of the warm gas-giant WASP-69b has revealed the presence of H2O, CO, CH4, NH3, and C2H2 in its atmosphere. This study investigates the impact of vertical diffusion and photochemistry on its atmospheric composition, with a focus on the detected species plus HCN and CO2, to constrain the atmospheric C/O ratio. We utilize non-equilibrium gas-phase simulations to conduct a parameter study for vertical diffusion strength, local gas temperature, and C/O ratio. Our results indicate that a carbon-rich atmosphere enhances CH4 and C2H2 concentrations, while NH3 undergoes chemical conversion into HCN in carbon-rich, high-temperature environments. Consequently, HCN is abundantly produced in such atmospheres, though its strong spectral features remain undetected in WASP-69b. Photochemical production of HCN and C2H2 is highly sensitive to vertical diffusion strength, with weaker diffusion resulting in higher concentrations. Cross-correlation of synthetic spectra with observed data shows that models with C/O=2 best match observations, but models with C/O=0.55 and 0.9 lead to statistically equivalent fits, leaving the C/O ratio unconstrained. We highlight the importance of accurately modeling NH3 quenching at pressures greater than 100 bars. Models for WASP-69b capped at 100 bars bias cross-correlation fits towards carbon-rich values. We suggest that if the atmosphere of WASP-69b is indeed carbon-rich with a solar metallicity, future observations should reveal the presence of HCN.

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