arXiv subjects

Daniel Temko

Publications and source records attributed to Daniel Temko.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Modeling Time-course Gene Expression Data through Bayesian Partition Functional Principal Component Analysis

High-dimensional biomarkers such as gene expression levels are now routinely measured over time, allowing biological processes to be studied dynamically rather than through cross-sectional snapshots. However, existing methods do not adequately address the central applied challenges posed by such data: simultaneously reducing dimensionality, quantifying inter-individual variability and uncovering temporal structure shared across biomarkers. We introduce Partition Functional Principal Component Analysis (PFPCA), a Bayesian model that jointly learns shared temporal patterns and clusters variables according to their latent dynamics. PFPCA combines a mixture model with multivariate functional principal component analysis performed within each group. We develop a scalable mean-field variational algorithm for joint inference of functional principal component loadings, individual-level scores, group assignments and partition sizes. Simulations show clear gains from joint inference: PFPCA recovers both the partition and the latent functional structure more accurately than a two-step baseline. In the most challenging settings, PFPCA retrieves the true partition in 27% of replicates compared with 1% for the two-step baseline. Applied to longitudinal gene-expression data from individuals experimentally infected with H3N2 influenza virus, PFPCA identifies groups of genes with coordinated activation patterns and reveals temporal signatures associated with immune-response dynamics and symptom status.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2026

A scalable Bayesian functional factor model for high-dimensional longitudinal molecular data

Large-scale longitudinal molecular profiling is now firmly established in biomedical research, prompted by the need to uncover coordinated biomarker trajectories reflecting the dynamics of underlying biological mechanisms and characterise patient heterogeneity in disease progression. While a range of statistical tools exist for either longitudinal modelling or high-dimensional analysis, there is no unified framework tailored to address these questions jointly. Motivated by a longitudinal COVID-19 study conducted in Cambridge hospitals, we propose a Bayesian functional factor model to address this gap. The framework combines latent factor modelling with functional principal component analysis to represent shared temporal programmes across subsets of variables while capturing individual variation through low-dimensional functional scores. We specify sparsity-inducing priors that yield interpretable factor structure and allow the effective number of factors to be inferred via overspecification. An annealed variational algorithm ensures efficient joint posterior inference at scale. The approach achieves accurate recovery of temporal structure in simulations with up to 20 000 variables. Application to the COVID-19 data reveals clinically meaningful heterogeneity in recovery dynamics through interpretable subject-level scores capturing coordinated inflammatory and immune-response pathway activity. The methodology is implemented in the R package bayesSYNC.

stat.ME↗