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Daniel Vebman

Publications and source records attributed to Daniel Vebman.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Regression with Many Generated Controls

We consider linear regression when some covariates are endogenous, a variable sufficient to control for endogeneity exists but is latent, and the practitioner can generate many proxies for the latent control. For instance, one could cheaply but imperfectly impute the latent control using different AI/ML methods, each generating a different proxy. There are several options the practitioner might consider in this scenario: including all proxies or factors computed from the proxies as controls, instrumental variables estimation, and some nonlinear variants thereof. We use a transparent model to derive the implicit estimand each approach targets, determine when these estimands recover the parameter of interest, and provide some practical recommendations. We show that with a sufficiently rich set of generated controls, practitioners can consistently estimate the parameter of interest without relying on validation data.

econ.EM↗

Quantifying the Reliance of Black-Box Decision-Makers on Variables of Interest

This paper introduces a framework for measuring how much black-box decision-makers rely on variables of interest. The framework adapts a permutation-based measure of variable importance from the explainable machine learning literature. With an emphasis on applicability, I present some of the framework's theoretical and computational properties, explain how reliance computations have policy implications, and work through an illustrative example. In the empirical application to interruptions by Supreme Court Justices during oral argument, I find that the effect of gender is more muted compared to the existing literature's estimate; I then use this paper's framework to compare Justices' reliance on gender and alignment to their reliance on experience, which are incomparable using regression coefficients.

econ.EM↗