Enrico Halim | Search arXiv

arXiv2026

A Confidence-Driven Evolutionary Algorithm for Noisy Optimization with Joint Chance Constraints

Many real-world optimization problems involve noisy objective evaluations and probabilistic constraints, particularly in the form of joint chance constraints, which are computationally expensive to evaluate. In this work, we propose CR-EA-C, a confidence-driven evolutionary algorithm for solving noisy black-box optimization problems under joint chance constraints. CR-EA-C introduces three key components: (1) analytical feasibility estimation for joint chance constraints, (2) a pairwise statistical ranking mechanism for robust comparison under noise, and (3) a modified infeasibility-driven survival strategy to accelerate convergence. These components enable statistically reliable decision-making while improving the efficiency of function evaluations. The proposed method is evaluated against four recent metaheuristic algorithms under various uncertainty distributions. Furthermore, its practical effectiveness is also assessed on two additional real-world optimization problems and compared with conventional static sampling methods. Experimental results show that CR-EA-C consistently satisfies the prescribed joint chance constraints while achieving competitive objective values overall. This demonstrates that CR-EA-C is an effective general-purpose approach for noisy optimization.

cs.NE↗

arXiv2026

Confidence-based Ranking with Adaptive Sampling for Noisy Black-Box Optimisation

Real-world optimization problems often involve black-box functions and uncertainties in their evaluation, widely referred to as noisy optimization problems (NOPs). Evolutionary algorithms (EA), including Evolutionary Strategies (ES) and genetic algorithms (GA) have been commonly adopted to solve these problems in the contemporary literature. An ongoing challenge is the computational expense involved, given the number of evaluations required for good fitness estimation and ranking. Two fundamental methods commonly used for fitness estimation for NOPs are implicit averaging and explicit averaging. Explicit averaging uses resampling of solutions to improve the estimates, while implicit averaging typically uses a large population size with low resampling. Implicit averaging has been shown to have theoretical advantages for certain cases, which has motivated some recent approaches to use them. However, a recent study demonstrated that its performance is highly dependent on certain assumptions about the function, such as steepness and constant noise level, which may not apply for majority of the real world problems. Moreover, most existing algorithms have only considered homoscedastic noise, where the amplitude of variation is uniform across the entire search space, as opposed to more generic case of heteroscedastic noise. To address these issues, we introduce a set of heteroscedastic test problems and propose a novel confidence ranking method that employs a computationally efficient explicit averaging strategy with sampling budget adaptation. It is implemented within the Covariance Matrix Adaptation ES (CMA-ES) and GA frameworks to demonstrate its effectiveness and versatility. The resulting algorithm is evaluated on a range of problems with both homoscedastic and heteroscedastic noise, and it demonstrates superior performance compared to state-of-the-art approaches.

cs.NE↗