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Francesco Sinigaglia

Publications and source records attributed to Francesco Sinigaglia.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Ridged Lagrangian Perturbation Theory (RLPT)

Galaxy surveys demand fast large-scale structure forward models that preserve large-scale phases while providing realistic nonlinear morphology at fixed force resolution. Single-step Lagrangian Perturbation Theory (LPT) solvers are efficient, but they typically yield overly diffuse filaments and knots and underpredict small-scale clustering. We introduce Ridged Lagrangian Perturbation Theory (RLPT), a modular two-step scheme: a standard long-range LPT/ALPT transport is followed by a single post-processing Eulerian ridging update that reconstructs a short-range, curl-free displacement from the realised density field through a smooth scale separation and a Poisson inversion. This explicit completion layer is inexpensive, preserves the large-scale solution, and provides a small set of transparent parameters to tune the short-range response. We test RLPT against particle-mesh and $N$-body references and find that one additional ridging step systematically improves both nonlinear power and field-level agreement relative to 2LPT/ALPT baselines. Finally, we demonstrate that ridging can be repurposed as a deterministic subgrid relocation model: even when the underlying dark-matter field is only ``good enough'' on the mesh, ridging enables controlled tuning of tracer clustering beyond the nominal resolution, which is particularly relevant for mock-galaxy production and observational systematics sensitive to close pairs.

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Spectral Hierarchy of the Cosmic Web

We introduce a spectral hierarchy of cosmic-web classifications obtained by applying simple scale-weighting kernels to the density field before performing a standard eigenvalue-based web classification. This unifies and extends several widely used web definitions within a single framework: the familiar potential/tidal web (large-scale, nonlocal), a curvature-based web (more local, peak- and ridge-sensitive), and additional higher-derivative levels that progressively emphasize smaller-scale structure. Because the classification is built from second derivatives of the filtered field, successive hierarchy levels align naturally with operator families that appear in renormalised bias and effective descriptions of large-scale structure, providing an explicit bridge between cosmic-web environments and long- and short-range nonlocal bias ingredients. We quantify the information content of the hierarchy with a compact statistic: we map each cell to one of four ordered web types (void, sheet, filament, knot), construct a corresponding ``web contrast'' field, and measure its cross-correlation with halos from the AbacusSummit simulation suite on a coarse mesh with $ΔL\simeq 5.5\,h^{-1}\mathrm{Mpc}$. We find that the hierarchy retains significant tracer-relevant information from very large scales down to the mesh Nyquist limit, with the more local (curvature/higher-derivative) levels dominating toward nonlinear scales. This makes the spectral hierarchy a practical, interpretable conditioning basis for fast mock-galaxy production and field-level modelling, and a flexible tool for studying environment-dependent clustering and assembly bias.

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The baryonic Tully-Fisher relation as an independent direct probe of cosmology and of the nature of dark matter

The baryonic Tully-Fisher relation (BTFR), a well-established galaxy scaling relation linking the dynamical mass of rotation-supported galaxies through their maximum circular velocity to the baryonic luminous mass, has emerged over the decades as a fundamental scaling relation and as a robust calibrated distance indicator, thereby providing a robust benchmark to test galaxy formation and evolution theories as well as an independent probe of the expansion of the Universe. In this paper, we show for the first time that the BTFR is also simultaneously directly sensitive to the cosmological parameters $Ω_m$ and $σ_8$, the astrophysical feedback from supernovae (SNe) and active galactic nuclei (AGN), and the mass of warm dark matter particles $M_{\rm wdm}$, and can therefore be used as novel, direct probe of cosmology and fundamental physics. We perform simulation-based inference on the large DREAMS cosmological magneto-hydrodynamic simulations suite and train deep neural networks in the form of normalizing flows to estimate the posterior distributions of $Ω_m$, $σ_8$, $M_{\rm wdm}$ and the three astrophysical free parameters, given a BTFR measurement. Our framework is able to recover unbiased values for $Ω_m$ and $σ_8$, with subpercent deviations accuracy and a $\sim 2.6\%$ and $\sim 3.9\%$ median precision, respectively, to capture the warm dark matter particle mass $M_{\rm wdm}$ within a $\sim 30-35\%$ precision, as well as to constrain the SN feedback parameters (but not the one regulating AGN feedback). We conclude that, beyond its usage as a distance indicator, the BTFR constitutes a direct independent probe of cosmology and fundamental physics and opens new promising avenues, such as constraining the cosmic growth rate and testing gravity theories, to be explored with the future Square Kilometer Array.

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An HI+radio continuum study of local cluster galaxies: Intercepting the early stages of environmental processing with MeerKAT

The evolution of galaxies in clusters is driven by their interaction with the environment, which deeply affects and alters the properties of the multi-phase interstellar medium. Here we make use of MeerKAT observations to study the properties of the neutral and nonthermal interstellar medium, traced respectively by the HI 21 cm line and by the radio continuum emission at 1.4 GHz, out to about twice the virial radius of three local ($z\simeq0.04$) galaxy clusters, namely IIZW108, A4059 and A3558, with $M_{200}\simeq2-9\times10^{14}~M_\odot$. We assemble a sample of 61 galaxies, including the so-called jellyfish and unwinding galaxies, detected in both HI and radio continuum, and derive their optical properties from IR-to-UV photometry using ancillary data. We find that cluster galaxies in our sample are on average $\sim2.7$ times more star-forming than galaxies with the same stellar and HI mass in the field, indicating that the HI + radio-continuum selection has intercepted galaxies at the very early stages of their environmental processing when the external pressure has not yet removed the gas, but the resulting fast compression has enhanced both the star formation and the radio continuum luminosity. The study also reveals that galaxies at the initial stage can features a radio luminosity excess due to the old relativistic electrons permeating the interstellar medium. We show that unwinding galaxies are characterized by high stellar and HI masses, arguing that their peculiar morphology may results from their large baryonic mass. Finally, via the stacking analysis of 677 optically-selected cluster members we quantitatively show that cluster galaxies are more HI-poor than in the field, and the deficiency steadily grows approaching the cluster center where galaxies have, on average, a factor $\sim3\times$ less HI mass than those in the field.

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Cosmic variance or galaxy bias? Disentangling finite-volume and galaxy formation effects in cosmological analysis

Current and forthcoming galaxy redshift surveys, such as DESI and Euclid, are going to bring cosmological analysis to an unprecedentedly exquisite level of precision in the determination of the cosmological parameters. However, these efforts require a high degree of control over theory and systematics, to obtain unbiased results. In this sense, the cosmic variance associated to finite-volume effects represents a major challenge and should adequately accounted for. In this work, we revisit the definition of cosmic variance and develop a novel framework to describe it using a `galaxy biasing' formalism. In particular, we use halo/galaxy Eulerian perturbation theory to relate the density field from an arbitrary cosmic realization to its counterpart having statistical properties reproducing the ensemble average, introducing a new set of bias parameters. We then apply this idea to the description of the non-linear shift of BAO, disentangling the source of uncertainty from cosmic variance and galaxy biasing associated with the measurement of the BAO scale. We finally check our analytical argument against cosmological variance-suppressed $N$-body simulations, finding an expected reduction in the uncertainty on the BAO peak position. We conclude that extra care should be used when inferring cosmological information from perturbative approaches involving the estimation of bias parameters and propose new practical strategies to optimally leverage the novel formulation of cosmic variance presented herein in cosmological analysis.

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HI Simulations for Cosmology with the SKA Observatory

We present a comparative overview of state-of-the-art methods for modelling the distribution of neutral hydrogen (HI) in the post-reionization Universe, developed in preparation for upcoming SKAO cosmological surveys. Our aim is to assess how different physical and empirical assumptions reflect into predictions for key observables such as the cosmic HI density, the HI mass function, and the HI-halo mass relation. We consider both: (i) semi-analytical approaches that self-consistently evolve baryonic components within dark matter merger trees through physically motivated prescriptions and (ii) empirical schemes tailored to different observables and based on fast approximations designed for large ensemble studies. By comparing the predictions from the different methods considered, we find overall consistency in integrated quantities such as $Ω_{\mathrm{HI}}$, yet systematic differences in the detailed shape and scatter of the HI--halo mass relation and its redshift evolution. Semi-analytical models offer physically grounded predictions but depend on assumed prescriptions, while empirical methods provide flexibility and computational efficiency at the expense of robustness in extrapolated regions of the parameter space. The increasing number of HI measurements from SKA precursors and pathfinders (including surveys with MeerKAT, ASKAP, and FAST) will provide critical observational constraints to refine and calibrate current simulation methodologies. In turn, increasingly realistic HI simulations play a key role in interpreting these data, guiding survey design and analysis strategies, in preparation for the advent of SKAO data.

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Integral field spectroscopy with no IFUs: combining wide-field rotational slitless spectroscopy with tomographic reconstruction

Among spectroscopic techniques, Integral Field Spectroscopy (IFS) is regarded as one of the most versatile and powerful, but it is limited by small FoVs, complex designs, and high costs. We hereby present ROSSINI: the ROtational Slitless Spectrograph for INtegral field spectroscopy and Imager, a novel spectrograph design aimed at performing IFS without IFUs but in a slitless fashion instead. The device relies on generating a series of independent detector images of the same field by rotating the whole telescope and/or the dispersion direction of the optical element, and on a postprocessing tomographic reconstruction algorithm, yielding a full IFS datacube with arbitrary angular and spectral pixelization defined by the user. We first develop the mathematical formulation of the problem and derive the solution as a linear matrix inversion. Then, we provide an interpretation of ROSSINI as a particular application of tomography and leverage this to propose a practical numerical solution based on iterative reconstruction. We test this novel conception through a series of numerical experiments: we first generate toy datacubes on the sky, then simulate the spectrograph and the corresponding detector images, and finally apply tomographic reconstruction, recovering the input datacube. The number of needed rotations can be easily computed from the relative pixelization of the datacube and the pixel number of the detector. From the numerical experiments, ROSSINI turns out to be able to reconstruct the benchmark datacubes with percent accuracy and in just a few hundred iterations, using negligible computational resources. ROSSINI is a promising way forward for future spectroscopic facilities, as it allows us to perform wide-field IFS in an efficient and cheap fashion by relying mostly on existing slitless spectrograph technologies.

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Simulation-based inference from the Lyman-alpha forest 1D power spectrum with CAMELS

We perform for the first time full simulation-based inference on the Lyman-$α$ forest 1D power spectrum. In particular, we consider the prediction of the Lyman-$α$ forest $P_{\rm 1D}(k)$ at $2.0<z<3.5$ from the CAMELS cosmological hydrodynamic simulations run with the IllustrisTNG and SIMBA galaxy formation models. We train a normalizing flow to perform neural posterior estimation of two cosmological parameters ($Ω_m$ and $σ_8$) and four astrophysical parameters parametrizing supernova and AGN feedback. When training and testing the neural network on the same baryon physics model, the posterior distributions of the cosmological parameters are found to be in excellent agreement with the true parameters values (within $10\%$ deviations in $\gtrsim 75\%$ and $\gtrsim 90\%$ of the cases for $Ω_m$ and $σ_8$, and a precision better than $10\%$ in both), while the astrophysical parameters are generally unconstrained due to the limited probed volume. When training on one model and testing on the other (e.g., training on IllustrisTNG and testing on SIMBA, or viceversa), the performance is significantly worse, both in accuracy and in precision, resulting in a $\sim 10\%$ positive bias on the predicted values for $σ_8$. We show that a multi-domain training based on the combination of simulations from both models recovers unbiased constraints, offering an effective solution to cope with the complex problem of the lack of convergence in the predictions from different galaxy formation models. This study represents a promising way forward to constrain cosmology and fundamental physics with the Lyman-$α$ forest with artificial intelligence.

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Gas Fraction and Depletion Time Drive the Main-Sequence Scatter in Massive Galaxies at $z\sim1.5$

We present ALMA Band 7 dust continuum observations of 57 massive ($M_\ast \gtrsim 10^{10.8}~M_\odot$) star-forming galaxies at $1.45 3σ$ detections for 55 galaxies. Combining the ALMA data with multiwavelength photometry, we reliably derive dust masses and infer molecular gas masses using metallicity-dependent gas-to-dust ratios estimated from individual metallicity measurements. The derived molecular gas mass ratio spans $μ_\mathrm{gas} = M_\mathrm{gas}/M_\ast=0.11\text{--}2.8$, with a median value of 0.65, corresponding to gas reservoirs more than an order of magnitude larger than in local galaxies at fixed stellar mass. The integrated Schmidt--Kennicutt relation is consistent with previous measurements over $z=0\text{--}2$. Across the MS, both molecular gas mass ratio and star formation efficiency scale approximately as $(\mathrm{sSFR}/\mathrm{sSFR}_\mathrm{MS})^{0.5}$, indicating that the MS scatter is driven nearly equally by variations in gas content and depletion time. The intrinsic scatter of $0.19$~dex suggests additional galaxy-to-galaxy diversity in star formation efficiency. Our results provide a controlled test of the unified gas scaling framework in the massive regime at $z\sim1.5$, demonstrating that the fundamental regulation of star formation through coupled modulation of gas supply and efficiency is already in place at cosmic noon.

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Fast and accurate Gaia-unWISE quasar mock catalogs from LPT and Eulerian bias

We present $100$ full-sky quasar spectrophotometric mock catalogs with smooth redshift evolution from $z=0$ to $z\sim 4$, tailored to analyze the Gaia-unWISE Quasar Catalog (Quaia). In particular, we apply a novel hierarchical nonlocal nonlinear bias scheme (Hicobian) to dark matter fields generated through Augmented Lagrangian Perturbation Theory on the lightcone (WebON code), calibrating the free parameters of the bias model on Abacus quasar HOD mock catalogs tuned to reproduce DESI Early Data Release observations in real and redshift space. After having obtained such accurate spectroscopic catalogs, we inject in the mocks the observational effects characterizing the Quaia catalog: (i) spectrophotometric redshift uncertainties, (ii) the angular selection function, and (iii) the redshift number counts distribution. We assess the accuracy of our catalogs by validating a number of summary statistics: the full-sky QSO maps, the redshift uncertainty distributions as a function of redshift, the redshift $n(z)$ distribution, the angular power spectra and their normalized covariance matrices, and the angular two-point correlation functions. We find excellent agreement between these metrics from the mocks and from the Quaia catalog. We publicly release the mock catalogs to the community.

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Dust and gas modelling in radiative transfer simulations of disc-dominated galaxies with RADMC-3D

Bridging theory and observations is a key task to understand galaxy formation and evolution. With the advent of state-of-the-art observational facilities, an accurate modelling of galaxy observables through radiative transfer simulations coupled to hydrodynamic simulations of galaxy formation must be performed. We present a novel pipeline, dubbed RTGen, based on the Monte Carlo radiative transfer code RADMC-3D , and explore the impact of the physical assumptions and modelling of dust and gas phases on the resulting galaxy observables. In particular, we address the impact of the dust abundance, composition, and grain size, as well as model the atomic-to-molecular transition and study the resulting emission from molecular gas. We apply Monte Carlo radiative transfer a posteriori to determine the dust temperature in six different hydrodynamic simulations of isolated galaxies. Afterwards, we apply ray tracing to compute the spectral energy distribution, as well as continuum images and spectral line profiles. We find our pipeline to predict accurate spectral energy distribution distributions of the studied galaxies, as well as continuum and CO luminosity images, in good agreement with literature results from both observations and theoretical studies. In particular, we find the dust modelling to have an important impact on the convergence of the resulting predicted galaxy observables, and that an adequate modelling of dust grains composition and size is required. We conclude that our novel framework is ready to perform high-accuracy studies of the observables of the ISM, reaching few tens percent convergence under the studied baseline configuration. This will enable robust studies of galaxy formation, and in particular of the nature of massive clumps in high-redshift galaxies, through the generation of mock images mimicking observations from state-of-the-art facilities such as JWST and ALMA.

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Tracing the high-z cosmic web with Quaia: catalogues of voids and clusters in the quasar distribution

Understanding the formation and evolution of the cosmic web of galaxies is a fundamental goal of cosmology, using various tracers of the cosmic large-scale structure at an ever wider range of redshifts. Our principal aim is to advance the mapping of the cosmic web at high redshifts using observational and synthetic catalogues of quasars (QSOs), which offer a powerful probe of structure formation and the validity of the concordance cosmological model. In this analysis, we selected 708,483 QSOs at $0.8<z<2.2$ from the Quaia data set, allowing a reconstruction of the matter density field using 24,372 deg$^2$ sky area with a well-understood selection function, and thus going beyond previous studies. Using the REVOLVER method, we created catalogues of voids and clusters based on the estimation of the local density at QSO positions with Voronoi tessellation. We tested the consistency of Quaia data and 50 mock catalogues, including various parameters of the voids and clusters in data subsets, and also measurements of the density profiles of these cosmic super-structures at $100 h^{-1}$Mpc scales. We identified 12,842 voids and 41,111 clusters in the distribution of Quaia QSOs. The agreement between data and mocks is at a level of 5-10%, considering void and cluster radii, average inner density, and density profiles. In particular, we tested the role of survey mask proximity effects in the void and cluster detection, which albeit present, are consistent in simulations and observations. The largest voids and clusters reach $R_{eff} \approx 250 h^{-1}$Mpc and $150 h^{-1}$Mpc, respectively, but without evidence for ultra-large cosmic structures exceeding the dimensions of the largest structures in the mocks. As an important deliverable, we share our density field estimation, void catalogues, and cluster catalogues with the public, allowing various additional cross-correlation probes at high-z.

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EGS-z11-R0: a red, dust-rich galaxy at Cosmic Dawn

Context. Galaxies discovered by JWST at z > 10 are predominantly characterized by extremely blue rest-frame UV slopes. Conversely, the existence of dust-reddened systems at such early epochs has remained largely unconfirmed spectroscopically. Aims. We present the spectroscopic confirmation of EGS-z11-R0 at z = 11.45, the most distant red galaxy identified to date, discovered serendipitously through inspection of publicly available JWST/NIRSpec data. Methods. We analyze JWST/NIRSpec PRISM and G395M spectroscopy together with multiwavelength HST, NIRCam, and MIRI photometry. We identify significant detections of the C IV 1548,1551 and C III] 1908 transitions, yielding a redshift of zspec = 11.452 +/- 0.021. We measure rest-frame UV emission-line fluxes and equivalent widths and use these diagnostics to constrain the nature of the ionizing radiation field. Finally, we perform spectral energy distribution modeling with CIGALE, combining spectroscopy with photometry and including stellar, nebular, dust, and active galactic nuclei (AGN) components. Results. EGS-z11-R0 exhibits a red UV continuum slope (betaUV approximately -1.0), placing it well above the canonical MUV-betaUV relation at z~10-12 and making it the highest-z spectroscopically confirmed member of the emerging "red monster" population. Emission-line diagnostics reveal a hard ionizing spectrum consistent with extreme star formation and compatible with a composite stellar plus AGN scenario. The best-fit SED solution favors a stellar mass of log(M*/Msun) ~ 9.2-9.6, a SFR of 10-40 Msun yr^-1, and substantial dust attenuation (AV~1.2 mag). Conclusions. The confirmation of EGS-z11-R0 establishes that chemically evolved, dust-enriched galaxies were already in place at z approximately 11.5. [abridged]

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Semi-empirical constraints on the HI mass function of star-forming galaxies and $Ω_{\rm HI}$ at $z\sim 0.37$ from interferometric surveys

The HI mass function is a crucial tool to understand the evolution of the HI content in galaxies over cosmic times. We aim to derive semi-empirical constraints at $z\sim 0.37$ by combining literature results on the $M_\star$ function from optical surveys with recent findings on the $M_{\rm HI}-M_\star$ scaling relation derived via spectral stacking analysis applied to 21-cm line interferometric data from the MIGHTEE and CHILES surveys, conducted with the MeerKAT and VLA radio telescopes, respectively. We draw synthetic $M_\star$ samples directly from the publicly-available results underlying the analysis of the COSMOS2020 galaxy photometric sample. Afterwards, we convert $M_\star$ into $M_{\rm HI}$ using analytical fitting functions to the data points from HI stacking. We then fit a Schechter function to the median HIMF from all the samples via MCMC. We finally derive the posterior distribution for $Ω_{\rm HI}$ by integrating the models for the HIMF built from the posteriors samples of the Schechter parameters. We find a deviation of the HIMF at $z\sim 0.37$ from the results at $z\sim 0$ from the ALFALFA survey and at $z\sim 1$ from uGMRT data. Our results for $Ω_{\rm HI}$ are in broad agreement with other literature results, and follow the overall trend on $Ω_{\rm HI}$ as a function of redshift. The derived value $Ω_{\rm HI}=\left(7.02^{+0.59}_{-0.52}\right)\times10^{-4}$ at $z\sim 0.37$ from the combined analysis deviates at $\sim 2.9σ$ from the ALFALFA result at $z\sim 0$. Our findings about the HIMF and $Ω_{\rm HI}$ differ from previous literature results at $z\sim0$ and $z\sim1$, although we are unable to confirm at this stage whether these differences are due to cosmic evolution consistent with a smooth transition of the HI content of galaxies over the last 8 Gyr or due to selection biases and systematics.

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New constraints on the evolution of the MHI-M* scaling relation combining CHILES and MIGHTEE-HI data

The improved sensitivity of interferometric facilities to the 21-cm line of atomic hydrogen (HI) enables studies of its properties in galaxies beyond the local Universe. In this work, we perform a 21 cm line spectral stacking analysis combining the MIGHTEE and CHILES surveys in the COSMOS field to derive a robust HI-stellar mass relation at z=0.36. In particular, by stacking thousands of star-forming galaxies subdivided into stellar mass bins, we optimize the signal-to-noise ratio of targets and derive mean HI masses in the different stellar mass intervals for the investigated galaxy population. We combine spectra from the two surveys, estimate HI masses, and derive the scaling relation log10(MHI) = (0.32 +- 0.04)log10(M*) + (6.65 +- 0.36). Our findings indicate that galaxies at z=0.36 are HI richer than those at z=0, but HI poorer than those at z=1, with a slope consistent across redshift, suggesting that stellar mass does not significantly affect HI exchange mechanisms. We also observe a slower growth rate HI relative to the molecular gas, supporting the idea that the accretion of cold gas is slower than the rate of consumption of molecular gas to form stars. This study contributes to understanding the role of atomic gas in galaxy evolution and sets the stage for future development of the field in the upcoming SKA era.

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An optically-dark merging system at z~6 detected by JWST

Near- to mid-Infrared observations (from Spitzer and JWST) have revealed a hidden population of galaxies at redshift z=3-6, called optically-dark objects, which are believed to be massive and dusty star-formers. While optically-dark sources are widely recognized as a significant component of the stellar mass function, the history of their stellar mass assembly remains unexplored. However, they are thought to be the progenitors of the more massive early-type galaxies found in present-day groups and clusters. It is thus important to examine the possible connection between dark sources and merging events, in order to understand the environment in which they live. Here, we report our search for close companions in a sample of 19 optically-dark objects identified in the SMACS0723 JWST deep field. They were selected in the NIRCam F444W band and undetected below 2mu. We restrict our analysis to the reddest (i.e. F277W-F444W> 1.3) and brightest (F444W< 26 mag) objects. We have identified an optically-dark source showing a very close companion (<0.5"). The spatially resolved SED fitting procedure indicates that all components lying within 1.5" from the dark source are indeed at z~5.7. Tidal features (leading to a whale shaped morphology) corroborate the hypothesis that the dark source is the most massive (log(M/Msun)>10.3) and dusty (Av~3 at the core) system of an ongoing merger with a mass ratio of ~10. Similar merging systems are identified in the SERRA simulations, allowing us to reconstruct their stellar mass assembly history and predict their molecular gas properties The discovery of mergers within dark galaxies at the end of the Epoch of Reionization underscores the importance of conducting a statistical search for additional candidates in deep NIRCam fields. Such research will aid in understanding the role of merging processes during the obscured phase of stellar mass accumulation.

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Field-level Lyman-alpha forest modelling in redshift space via augmented non-local Fluctuating Gunn-Peterson Approximation

We present an improved analytical model to predict the Lyman-alpha forest at the field level in redshift space from the dark matter field, expanding upon the widely-used Fluctuating Gunn-Peterson approximation (FGPA). In particular, we introduce the dependence on the cosmic web environment (knots, filaments, sheets, voids) in the model, thereby effectively accounting for non-local bias. Furthermore, we include a detailed treatment of velocity bias in the redshift space distortions modelling, allowing the velocity bias to be cosmic-web dependent. We find evidence for a significant difference of the same model parameters in different environments, suggesting that for the investigated setup the simple standard FGPA is not able to adequately predict the Lyman-alpha forest in the different cosmic web regimes. We reproduce the summary statistics of the reference cosmological hydrodynamic simulation we use for comparison, yielding accurate mean transmitted flux, probability distribution function, 3D power spectrum, and bispectrum. In particular, we achieve maximum deviation and average deviations accuracy in the Lyman-alpha forest 3D power spectrum of $\sim 3\%$ and $\sim 0.1\%$ up to $k\sim 0.4 \, h \, {\rm Mpc}^{-1}$, $\sim 5\%$ and $\sim 1.8\%$ up to $k \sim 1.4 \, h \, {\rm Mpc}^{-1}$. Our new model outperforms previous analytical efforts to predict the Lyman-alpha forest at the field level in all the probed summary statistics, and has the potential to become instrumental in the generation of fast accurate mocks for covariance matrices estimation in the context of current and forthcoming Lyman-alpha forest surveys.

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The negative BAO shift in the Ly$α$ forest from cosmological simulations

We present the first measurement of the Ly$α$ forest BAO shift parameter from cosmological simulations. In particular, we generate a suite of $1000$ accurate effective field-level bias-based Ly$α$ forest simulations of volume $V=(1 \, h^{-1} \, {\rm Gpc})^3$ at $z=2$, both in real and redshift space, calibrated upon two fixed-and-paired cosmological hydrodynamic simulations. To measure the BAO, we stack the three-dimensional power spectra of the $1000$ different realizations, compute the average, and use a model accounting for a proper smooth-peak component decomposition of the power spectrum, to fit it via an efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme estimating the covariance matrices directly from the simulations. We report the BAO shift parameters to be $α=0.9969^{+0.0014}_{-0.0014}$ and $α=0.9905^{+0.0027}_{-0.0027}$ in real and redshift space, respectively. We also measure the bias $b_{\rm lya}$ and the BAO broadening parameter $Σ_{\rm nl}$, finding $b_{\rm lya}=-0.1786^{+0.0001}_{-0.0001}$ and $Σ_{\rm nl}=3.87^{+0.20}_{-0.20}$ in real space, and $b_{\rm lya}=-0.073^{+0.005}_{-0.004}$ and $Σ_{\rm nl}=6.55^{+0.23}_{-0.22}$ in redshift space. Moreover, we measure the linear Kaiser factor $β_{\rm lya}=1.39^{+0.24}_{-0.18}$ from the isotropic redshift space fit. Overall, we find evidence for a negative shift of the BAO peak at the $\sim 2.2σ$ and $\sim 3.5σ$ level in real and redshift space, respectively. This work sets new important theoretical constraints on the Ly$α$ forest BAO scale and offers a potential solution to the tension emerging from previous observational analysis, in light of ongoing and upcoming Ly$α$ forest spectroscopic surveys, such as DESI, PFS, and WEAVE-QSO.

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