Futong Li | Search arXiv

arXiv2026

Enhanced Agriculture-informed Neural Network by Domain Knowledge

Accurate prediction of nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions from agriculture is important for assessing environmental impacts and supporting sustainable farming. However, prediction remains difficult because N2O emissions result from complex interactions among soil properties, climate, biochemical processes, and management practices, while high-quality observations are limited. Deep learning models can capture nonlinear relationships but often lack physical interpretability and may generalize poorly across environmental conditions. We propose the Knowledge-enhanced Agriculture-informed Neural Network (KAINN), a hybrid neural-mechanistic framework that extends the Agriculture-informed Neural Network by incorporating domain knowledge about fertilizer diffusion, soil respiration, and water-filled porosity. We evaluate KAINN using CNN, LSTM, and Transformer architectures across multiple growing seasons and input-feature configurations. The results show that KAINN generally provides lower root mean square error and mean absolute error and higher R-squared values than purely data-driven models and the original AINN. Analysis of the learned interfaces also shows smoother and more physically consistent parameter trajectories with reduced uncertainty. These findings demonstrate that incorporating environmental knowledge into neural networks can improve the reliability, interpretability, and generalization of agricultural N2O-emission predictions.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Preserving Temporal Dynamics in Time Series Generation

Time-series data augmentation plays a crucial role in regression-oriented forecasting tasks, where limited data restricts the performance of deep learning models. While Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have shown promise in synthetic time-series generation, existing approaches primarily focus on matching marginal data distributions and often overlook the temporal dynamics that naturally exist in the original multivariate time series. When generating multivariate time series, this mismatch leads to distribution shift and temporal drift, thereby degrading the fidelity of the synthetic sequences. In this work, we propose a model-agnostic Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)-based framework to mitigate distribution shift and preserve temporal dynamics in synthetic time series. We provide a theoretical analysis of how conditional generative models accumulate deviations under sequential generation and demonstrate that the MCMC algorithm can correct these discrepancies by enforcing consistency with empirical transition statistics between neighboring time points. Extensive experiments on the Lorenz, Licor, ETTh, and ILI datasets using RCGAN, GCWGAN, TimeGAN, SigCWGAN, and AECGAN demonstrate that the proposed MCMC framework consistently improves autocorrelation alignment, skewness error, kurtosis error, R$^2$, discriminative score, and predictive score. These results suggest that synthetic time series consistent with the original data require explicit preservation of transition laws rather than solely relying on adversarial distribution matching, thereby offering a principled direction for improving generative modeling of time-series data.

cs.LG↗