Search arXivSearch

arXiv subjects

Hadar Sharvit

Publications and source records attributed to Hadar Sharvit.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Dynamic Amplification of Risk-Estimate Bias Through Differential Detection: A Markov Model for History-Based Covariates

History-based risk factors, such as known family history, recorded personal history, and documented regional history, are often treated as covariates. Because these variables depend on testing, diagnosis, and recording, their observed values are influenced by detection. However, monitoring data are often unavailable, making it difficult to distinguish true history effects from detection-driven associations. We study the feedback loop that arises when observed history affects future monitoring and future monitoring affects which histories become observed. Prostate cancer screening serves as a case in point: knowing a family history may raise awareness and increase testing compared with having no known history. We develop Markov models for true and observed history states and show that differential detection can distort both observed risk ratios and the distribution of the observed history variable, and can create an apparent history effect even when true event risk does not depend on history. With history-dependent true risk, the observed history process is generally not Markovian, although the joint true-observed process is. Uniform incomplete detection can attenuate true history effects by shifting individuals with missed events into less recent observed-history states. We also develop an inverse sensitivity-analysis framework that combines a published observed association, a baseline event probability, and plausible detection probabilities to obtain the implied true risk contrast. Numerical analyses illustrate the distortions, and a prostate cancer family-history example demonstrates the sensitivity calculation using external calibration values. The framework is intended for registry, electronic health record, and surveillance studies that use documented history as a risk factor.

stat.ME

A Deep Inverse-Mapping Model for a Flapping Robotic Wing

In systems control, the dynamics of a system are governed by modulating its inputs to achieve a desired outcome. For example, to control the thrust of a quad-copter propeller the controller modulates its rotation rate, relying on a straightforward mapping between the input rotation rate and the resulting thrust. This mapping can be inverted to determine the rotation rate needed to generate a desired thrust. However, in complex systems, such as flapping-wing robots where intricate fluid motions are involved, mapping inputs (wing kinematics) to outcomes (aerodynamic forces) is nontrivial and inverting this mapping for real-time control is computationally impractical. Here, we report a machine-learning solution for the inverse mapping of a flapping-wing system based on data from an experimental system we have developed. Our model learns the input wing motion required to generate a desired aerodynamic force outcome. We used a sequence-to-sequence model tailored for time-series data and augmented it with a novel adaptive-spectrum layer that implements representation learning in the frequency domain. To train our model, we developed a flapping wing system that simultaneously measures the wing's aerodynamic force and its 3D motion using high-speed cameras. We demonstrate the performance of our system on an additional open-source dataset of a flapping wing in a different flow regime. Results show superior performance compared with more complex state-of-the-art transformer-based models, with 11% improvement on the test datasets median loss. Moreover, our model shows superior inference time, making it practical for onboard robotic control. Our open-source data and framework may improve modeling and real-time control of systems governed by complex dynamics, from biomimetic robots to biomedical devices.

cs.AI