arXiv subjects

Hao Xue

Publications and source records attributed to Hao Xue.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2026

A2TTA: Anchored-and-Agile Test-Time Adaptation for Evolving Traffic Sensor Networks

Traffic forecasting is important for efficient traffic management and route planning in smart cities. Existing traffic forecasting studies typically assume fixed sensor graphs, overlooking the continuous evolution of real-world traffic networks, e.g., ongoing road network construction and evolving human mobility patterns. These dynamic changes can substantially degrade conventional forecasting models, motivating test-time adaptation (TTA) to efficiently adapt pretrained models during deployment. However, applying TTA to evolving traffic sensor networks remains challenging in two aspects. First, topology expansion introduces new sensors and connections, continuously reshaping the sensor graph. Second, tem- poral shifts vary in time scale and stability, requiring differentiated adaptation to long-term and short-term shifts. In this study, we address these challenges by proposing A2TTA, an Anchored-and-Agile Test-Time Adaptation framework for evolving traffic sensor networks, which transforms topology-induced forecasting errors into an expandable output calibration problem and separates tem- poral adaptation into persistent global correction and agile context-specific specialization. By jointly addressing topology evolution and multi-scale temporal shifts, A2TTA enables efficient and robust adaptation to continuously evolving traffic environments. Extensive experiments on ten real-world traffic networks demonstrate that A2TTA consistently improves forecasting performance across different backbones, datasets, and prediction horizons. Our code is available in https://github.com/lixus7/A2TTA.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

An Empirical Evaluation of Cross-City POI Recommendation on a Large-Scale Benchmark

Cross-city point-of-interest (POI) recommendation is crucial for navigating unfamiliar urban environments, yet its progress has historically been constrained by data limitations. Using the recently proposed large-scale benchmark Trip World, we empirically re-examine whether conclusions drawn on small prior benchmarks still hold under worldwide coverage, low home-destination region overlap, and large, semantically rich POI inventories. Our evaluation surfaces three bottlenecks of representative state-of-the-art methods: (1) hometown-aware models appear to rely more on destination-region priors than on user-specific preference transfer; (2) their accuracy-efficiency trade-off degrades at this scale, where the simplest model is among the strongest; and (3) existing mechanisms for integrating semantic metadata yield little benefit. We further include a diagnostic pilot on agentic methods adapted from next-POI recommendation, finding that naive adaptation trails a simple popularity prior even though the relevant semantic signal is present in the data. These results highlight the need for task-specific designs that support cross-city preference transfer, semantic grounding, and scalable reasoning over unseen destination inventories.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Refine-POI: Reinforcement Fine-Tuned Large Language Models for Next Point-of-Interest Recommendation

Advancing large language models (LLMs) for the next point-of-interest (POI) recommendation task faces two fundamental challenges: (i) although existing methods produce semantic IDs that incorporate semantic information, their topology-blind indexing fails to preserve semantic continuity, meaning that proximity in ID values does not mirror the coherence of the underlying semantics; and (ii) supervised fine-tuning (SFT)-based methods restrict model outputs to top-1 predictions. These approaches suffer from "answer fixation" and neglect the need for top-k ranked lists and reasoning due to the scarcity of supervision. We propose Refine-POI, a framework that addresses these challenges through topology-aware ID generation and reinforcement fine-tuning. First, we introduce a hierarchical self-organizing map (SOM) quantization strategy to generate semantic IDs, ensuring that coordinate proximity in the codebook reflects semantic similarity in the latent space. Second, we employ a policy-gradient framework to optimize the generation of top-k recommendation lists, liberating the model from strict label matching. Extensive experiments on three real-world datasets demonstrate that Refine-POI significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, effectively synthesizing the reasoning capabilities of LLMs with the representational fidelity required for accurate and explainable next-POI recommendation.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2026

Massive-STEPS: Massive Semantic Trajectories for Understanding POI Check-ins -- Dataset and Benchmarks

Understanding human mobility through Point-of-Interest (POI) trajectory modeling is increasingly important for applications such as urban planning, personalized services, and generative agent simulation. However, progress in this field is hindered by two key challenges: the over-reliance on older datasets from 2012-2013 and the lack of reproducible, city-level check-in datasets that reflect diverse global regions. To address these gaps, we present Massive-STEPS (Massive Semantic Trajectories for Understanding POI Check-ins), a large-scale, publicly available benchmark dataset built upon the Semantic Trails dataset and enriched with semantic POI metadata. Massive-STEPS spans 15 geographically and culturally diverse cities and features check-in data from both 2012-2013 and 2017-2018, with a longer duration of 24 months than prior datasets. We benchmarked a wide range of POI models on Massive-STEPS using both supervised and zero-shot approaches, and evaluated their performance across multiple urban contexts. By releasing Massive-STEPS, we aim to facilitate reproducible and equitable research in human mobility and POI trajectory modeling. The dataset and benchmarking code are available at: https://github.com/cruiseresearchgroup/Massive-STEPS.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

AsyTO: Asymmetric Temporal Operator for Parameter-Efficient Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Multivariate time-series forecasting faces a structural dilemma: sharing one temporal predictor across variables is parameter-efficient but forces heterogeneous variables through an identical history-to-future map, whereas learning an independent predictor per variable restores flexibility at a cost that grows with the product of variable count, context length, and horizon. We argue that this dilemma dissolves once the object being compressed is the forecasting operator rather than the observed series. Auditing per-variable linear history-to-future maps across standard benchmarks, we find that a phase-locked seasonal component paired with a compact residual operator outperforms a dense phase-blind reference in most audited settings. The residual transport is also directional: lag-invariant alternatives consistently underperform asymmetric history-to-future maps. Guided by this structure, we propose AsyTO, an Asymmetric Temporal Operator that factorizes the tensor of per-variable operators into shared but distinct history-reading and future-writing temporal modes with per-variable mode-wise gains, complemented by a low-rank periodic prototype and a cycle-separable factorization of the temporal modes. Each forecast reads only its own variable's history, so parameters and compute grow linearly in the number of variables. Across eleven benchmarks and multiple forecast horizons, AsyTO attains the best lightweight error in 30 of 44 dataset-horizon settings, locating at the accuracy-compute Pareto frontier.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

StrideDiffusion: Accelerating Diffusion Models for Time-series Generation

Diffusion models have become competitive generators for time series, but their practical use is limited by the large number of sequential denoising steps required at inference time. Existing fast samplers typically use fixed or generic timestep schedules, overlooking a distinctive property of time-series diffusion: different spectral bands evolve at different rates during the reverse process. We introduce StrideDiffusion, a training-free spectral-aware sampler that adaptively selects the denoising stride from band-level activity. At each step, StrideDiffusion monitors relative band energy, log-power drift, and phase velocity to identify whether high- frequency dynamics remain active or whether the trajectory is dominated by stable low-frequency structure. It then takes fine steps when rapidly varying bands are active and larger jumps once only coarse components remain. A bandwise stability analysis shows that inactive frequency bands change only linearly with the jump size under deterministic affine reverse updates, providing a local justification for spectral activity as a step-size indicator. Across six unconditional time-series generation benchmarks, StrideDiffusion uses only 14-66 function evaluations instead of 500/1000 denoising steps, achieving up to 18.9x wall-clock speedup while preserving or improving generation quality. On conditional imputation and forecasting, it further delivers 5-14x average acceleration with comparable predictive accuracy. These results show that spectral evolution provides a practical and principled signal for fast time-series diffusion sampling. Our code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/stridediff-ts.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

GeoFlow: Geo-Aware Modeling of Inter-Area Relationships in Origin-Destination Flow Prediction and Generation

Origin-destination (OD) flow modeling underpins urban planning and mobility analysis, but prevailing graph-based methods often neglect salient geographic attributes, limiting their ability to model long-range and multi-area dependencies. In this paper, we introduce GeoFlow, a novel framework that (i) augments area representations with geospatial attributes, including relative positions, k-hop and geodesic distances, (ii) employs a specialized geometric-intrinsic fusion encoder design that combines graph attention for intrinsic area signals with coordinate-aware encoders for global structure, and (iii) adopts an axial-global attention decoder to capture OD-specific competitive dependencies. For OD flow generation, GeoFlow is paired with flow matching models to produce more authentic and diverse mobility samples. Empirically, GeoFlow achieves superior performance in predictive accuracy, while substantially improving generative fidelity and diversity. Ablation and analytical studies confirm the contribution of each component. Code is available at https://github.com/ZheruiHuang/GeoFlow.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Perturbation Effects on Robustness and Individual Fairness

Deep neural networks are vulnerable to adversarial perturbations that can simultaneously degrade prediction robustness and individual fairness across diverse application settings. However, existing evaluation protocols typically assess these dimensions in isolation, thereby obscuring critical failure modes. To bridge this gap, we formalize Robust Individual Fairness (RIF): under semantic-preserving (truth-condition-preserving) perturbations, predictions should remain both correct with respect to the ground truth and invariant across semantically equivalent individuals. To surface RIF violations in practice, we introduce RIFair, a black-box adversarial framework that leverages a decoupled perturbation strategy to construct semantically preserved yet unrobust and/or unfair instance pairs. Experiments across multiple model architectures and real-world textual datasets show that robustness-only or fairness-only metrics often miss Robust Biased and Unrobust Fair behaviors. RIFair}reliably exposes these hidden vulnerabilities, supporting RIF as a necessary criterion for trustworthy model assessment. The experimental code is publicly available at https://github.com/Xuran-LI/RIFair.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

HiT-JEPA: A Hierarchical Self-supervised Trajectory Embedding Framework for Similarity Computation

The representation of urban trajectory data plays a critical role in effectively analyzing spatial movement patterns. Despite considerable progress, the challenge of designing trajectory representations that can capture diverse and complementary information remains an open research problem. Existing methods struggle in incorporating trajectory fine-grained details and high-level summary in a single model, limiting their ability to attend to both long-term dependencies while preserving local nuances. To address this, we propose HiT-JEPA (Hierarchical Interactions of Trajectory Semantics via a Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture), a unified framework for learning multi-scale urban trajectory representations across semantic abstraction levels. HiT-JEPA adopts a three-layer hierarchy that progressively captures point-level fine-grained details, intermediate patterns, and high-level trajectory abstractions, enabling the model to integrate both local dynamics and global semantics in one coherent structure. Extensive experiments on multiple real-world datasets for trajectory similarity computation show that HiT-JEPA's hierarchical design yields richer, multi-scale representations. Code is available at: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/HiT-JEPA.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

From XXLTraffic to EvoXXLTraffic: Scaling Traffic Forecasting to Sensor-Evolving Networks

Existing traffic forecasting benchmarks assume a fixed sensor set, but real road-sensor networks grow continuously as the road network changes year by year. We introduce the XXLTraffic dataset family, which spans up to 27 years of California PeMS and Transport for NSW data. The fixed-sensor subsets of XXLTraffic support extremely long forecasting with multi-year gaps and standard hourly / daily long-horizon forecasting. We extend it to EvoXXLTraffic, a sensor-evolving reorganization that exposes per-year active sensors, yearly traffic-flow matrices, and yearly graph snapshots across nine PeMS districts, with growth ratios ranging from +305% to over +10,000%. We define a yearly streaming forecasting protocol on EvoXXLTraffic in which each calendar year is a continual task, and benchmark a wide range of representative baselines drawn from static spatio-temporal GNNs, naïve online schemes, evolving-graph continual methods, and retrieval / test-time methods. We find that our ultra-large evolutionary dataset better reflects the real world, and many state-of-the-art (SOTA) results no longer work. Our dataset complements existing benchmarks by enabling more realistic forecasting under ultra-long evolutionary road networks. Our code and baselines are available at github repo: https://github.com/cruiseresearchgroup/TSAS26-EvoXXLTraffic

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

TS-Fault: Benchmarking Time Series Forecasters Against Structural Faults

Time series forecasting (TSF) underpins consequential decisions in energy, transportation, finance, and healthcare, yet TSF models are almost universally ranked by a single number (e.g., average error) on clean held-out data, under the implicit assumption that it predicts deployed reliability. However, real faults are not i.i.d noise but structured events with temporal shape, broken cross-variable dependencies, regime change coupled with missingness, and causal propagation across a sensing pipeline. Treating TSF robustness as a data-quality problem, we present TS-Fault, a benchmark that evaluates forecasting models under explicit, parameterized fault scenarios with controllable semantic difficulty. TS-Fault organizes recurring failures into four modes along two orthogonal axes (observation- vs mechanism-level; univariate vs multivariate) and injects each fault into the most prediction-critical window via a unified importance score. This design enables robustness to be tested against the structures models actually rely on, rather than reduced to generic noise sensitivity. We evaluate 21 models across 6 datasets, 4 modes, and 5 difficulty levels under a paired clean/corrupt protocol. The results reveal three findings that contradict common leaderboard intuition: (i) clean-data accuracy anti-correlates with robustness; (ii) clean rankings are preserved under observation-level faults but reshuffled under mechanism-level faults; and (iii) all catastrophic failures occur under mechanism-level faults, with foundation models achieving the highest clean-data accuracy yet exhibiting the greatest fragility. The code is publicly available at https://github.com/Ray-zyy/TS-Fault.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Evaluating LLM Personalization via Semantic Constraint Verification

Current evaluation paradigms for Large Language Model (LLM) personalization rely heavily on brittle surface-matching metrics or computationally expensive LLM-as-a-judge protocols, both of which lack interpretability. To address these limitations, we introduce Natural Language Inference Constraint Verification (NLICV), a scalable, semantically invariant framework that maps sentence meanings to truth-condition sets to verify personalization constraints via a Natural Language Inference (NLI) model. Moving beyond binary scoring, NLICV categorizes LLM behaviors into four distinct modes: personalization, generalization, sycophancy, and failure. Extensive experiments demonstrate that NLICV aligns closely with human annotations while drastically reducing the latency and token costs associated with LLM judges (up to 2100 inference speedup). Finally, through an ablation-based procedure, NLICV pinpoints the exact sentences driving the constraint verification, yielding faithful, understandable evidence for its evaluations.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Knowledge Graph Enhanced Memory-Augmented Retrieval for Long Context Modeling

Long-context language modeling requires not only extending context windows but maintaining coherent understanding of entity states and relationships across thousands of tokens -- a challenge that semantic similarity alone cannot address. KGERMAR addresses this by constructing dynamic, context-specific knowledge graphs from input text during inference, enabling domain-adaptive retrieval that leverages both semantic similarity and explicit entity relationships. The framework performs real-time entity and relation extraction to build contextual knowledge graphs, then integrates graph-structural embeddings with textual semantics through a multi-component memory architecture. Three memory banks -- contextual, semantic, and structural -- are maintained with retrieval signals fused via learned weights to capture both surface-level semantics and deeper relational patterns. Evaluated on SlimPajama (84.7K training examples), WikiText-103 (4,358 examples), PG-19 (100 examples), and Proof-pile (46.3K examples), KGERMAR achieves up to 8.5\% lower perplexity and 2--2.5x better memory efficiency than memory-augmented baselines across context lengths from 1K to 32K tokens, with superior in-context learning performance across five NLU tasks. The dynamic knowledge graph construction approach advances memory-augmented language modeling by enabling domain-specific knowledge representation that adapts to input contexts rather than relying on fixed knowledge bases.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2026

An Infectious Disease Spread Simulation Based on Large Language Model Decision Making

Modelling individual decision-making during infectious disease outbreaks is crucial for understanding behavioural dynamics and informing effective public health interventions. Prior work has shown that large language models can simulate realistic human behaviour by generating agent decisions based on demographic prompts and situational context. We build on this foundation with a spatially grounded, agent-based simulation framework that integrates LLM-generated decisions about self-reported influenza-like illness into a census-based synthetic population of agents. Location is treated as a central feature: agents are assigned to spatial units within cities, capturing the spatial distributions of different demographic groups using real-world census data and enabling geographically diverse behavioural modelling. We implement and compare three decision scenarios, independent reasoning, household influence, and message framing, and simulate self-reporting outcomes in San Francisco and Atlanta. Results reveal that income and education are the dominant drivers of reporting rate variation, with smaller but consistent effects from geography, LLM model choice, and message framing. Our framework generates synthetic data that captures both social and geographic heterogeneity, supporting spatial epidemiological modelling and bias-aware behavioural analysis.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

AnyMo: Geometry-Aware Setup-Agnostic Modeling of Human Motion in the Wild

As wearable and mobile devices become increasingly embedded in daily life, they offer a practical way to continuously sense human motion in the wild. But inertial signals are highly dependent on the sensing setup, including body location, mounting position, sensor orientation, device hardware, and sampling protocol. This setup dependence makes it difficult to learn motion representations that transfer across devices and datasets, and limits the broader use of wearable IMUs beyond closed-set recognition. We introduce AnyMo, a geometry-aware framework for setup-agnostic human motion modeling. AnyMo uses physics-grounded IMU simulation over dense body-surface placements to generate diverse and plausible synthetic signals, pre-trains a graph encoder from paired synthetic placement views and masked partial observations, tokenizes multi-position IMU into full-body motion tokens, and aligns these tokens with an LLM for motion-language understanding. We evaluate AnyMo on three complementary tasks: zero-shot activity recognition across 14 unseen downstream datasets, cross-modal retrieval, and wearable IMU motion captioning, where it improves average Accuracy/F1/R@2 by 11.7\%/11.6\%/22.6\% on HAR, increases zero-shot IMU-to-text and text-to-IMU retrieval MRR by 15.9\% and 28.6\%, respectively, and improves zero-shot captioning BERT-F1 by 18.8\%. These results support AnyMo as a generalist model for wearable motion understanding in the wild. Project page: https://baiyuchen.com/project/AnyMo.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Long Context Modeling with Ranked Memory-Augmented Retrieval

Effective long-term memory management is crucial for language models handling extended contexts. We introduce the Enhanced Ranked Memory Augmented Retrieval (ERMAR) framework, which dynamically ranks memory entries based on relevance. Unlike prior models, ERMAR employs a novel relevance scoring mechanism and a pointwise re-ranking model for key-value embeddings, inspired by learning-to-rank techniques in information retrieval. By integrating historical usage patterns and adaptive retrieval, ERMAR achieves state-of-the-art results on standard benchmarks, demonstrating superior scalability and performance in long-context tasks.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2026

STAR: Failure-Aware Markovian Routing for Multi-Agent Spatiotemporal Reasoning

Compositional spatiotemporal reasoning often requires a system to invoke multiple heterogeneous specialists, such as geometric, temporal, topological, and trajectory agents. A central question is how such a system should route among specialists when execution does not simply succeed or fail, but fails in qualitatively different ways. Existing tool-augmented and multi-agent LLM systems typically leave this routing decision implicit in language generation, making recovery ad hoc, difficult to interpret, and hard to optimize. This paper presents STAR (Spatio-Temporal Agent Router), a failure-aware routing framework that externalizes inter-agent control as a state-conditioned transition policy over the current agent, task type, and typed execution status. At the center of STARis an agent routing matrix that combines expert-specified nominal routes with recovery transitions learned from execution traces. Because the matrix conditions on distinct failure states, the router can respond differently to malformed outputs, missing dependencies, and tool--query mismatches, rather than collapsing them into a generic retry signal. Specialists execute through a tool-grounded extract--compute--deposit protocol and write intermediate results to a shared blackboard for downstream fusion. Results prove that retaining unsuccessful traces during training enlarges the support of the routing policy on error states, enabling recovery transitions that success-only training cannot represent. Across three spatiotemporal benchmarks and eight backbone LLMs, STAR improves over multiple baselines with the clearest gains on queries whose execution deviates from the nominal routing path. Router-specific ablations and recovery analyses further show that typed failure-aware routing, rather than specialist composition alone, is a key factor for these improvements.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

DeepLévy: Learning Heavy-Tailed Uncertainty in Highly Volatile Time Series

Modeling uncertainty in heavy-tailed time series remains a critical challenge for deep probabilistic forecasting models, which often struggle to capture abrupt, extreme events. While Lévy stable distributions offer a natural framework for modeling such non-Gaussian behaviors, the intractability of their probability density functions severely limits conventional likelihood-based inference. To address this, we introduce DeepLévy, a neural framework that learns mixtures of Lévy stable distributions by minimizing the discrepancy between empirical and parametric characteristic functions. DeepLévy incorporates a mixture mechanism that adaptively learns context-dependent weights and parameters over multiple Lévy components, enabling flexible multi-horizon uncertainty modeling. Evaluations on both real and synthetic datasets demonstrate that DeepLévy outperforms state-of-the-art deep probabilistic forecasting approaches in tail risk metrics, especially under extreme volatility.

cs.LG↗