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J. Carretero

Publications and source records attributed to J. Carretero.

At least 73 records · Page 4Linked to original sources

Euclid. Populating a dark universe with galaxies using SciPIC

High-fidelity galaxy mocks are crucial for validating analysis pipelines and for cosmological inference. In this context, the Science Pipeline at PIC (SciPIC) is a pipeline specifically designed for the fast generation of synthetic galaxy catalogues from the halo properties identified in cosmological simulations. SciPIC delivers galaxy catalogues that aim to reproduce the observed luminosity function and clustering above a given flux detection limit over a wide redshift range. In this work, we introduce SciPICal, an automated pipeline that calibrates the parameters that set the main mock galaxy properties, namely number density, luminosities, colours, and positions. The pipeline is applied to the Euclid Flagship 2 Wide and Deep halo catalogues, specifically built to support the \textit{Euclid} wide and deep surveys. Compared to the recently released Flagship 2 Wide mock, our calibrated version improves the clustering predictions by approximately 50\% based on chi-squared values. Furthermore, we produce the Euclid Deep mock catalogue, which reaches up to $z = 10$ by populating a light-cone and a complementary snapshot at $z = 0$. We validate these catalogues using measurements from spectroscopic and photometric galaxy surveys, as well as with results from a hydrodynamical simulation. The obtained good agreement (within $15\%$ for most of the samples) in the clustering predictions across the different galaxy samples considered, validates our calibration strategy and demonstrates the strong predictive power of the generated mocks. This pipeline will allow us to improve the methodology applied in assigning the galaxy properties and ensures that the galaxy mocks remain up-to-date by incorporating constraints from upcoming observational data in the calibration procedure.

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Dark Energy Survey: DESI-Independent Angular BAO Measurement

We present a measurement of the angular baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) scale from the completed Dark Energy Survey (DES) dataset excluding the area of overlap with the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI). We follow the same methodology and validation process as in the DES year 6 (Y6) BAO analysis. We interpret the impact of this measurement in the context of the statistical preference for $w_0w_a$ cold dark matter (CDM) over $Λ$CDM when combined with DES Y5 Type Ia supernovae (SN), Planck Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) and DESI BAO. Based on our previous work, using the full Y6 DES BAO sample, in combination with SN, CMB and DESI data release 1 (DR1) BAO, added $0.3σ$ in this preference (from $3.7σ$ to $4.0σ$), but this ignored possible correlations between datasets. Using our new DESI-independent DES BAO likelihood instead, we find a smaller increase in the statistical preference for $w_0w_a$CDM, from $3.7σ$ to $3.8σ$ when using DESI DR1 BAO, and from $4.0σ$ to $4.1σ$ when updating to the more recent DESI data release 2 (DR2) BAO. These significances reduce to $3.1σ$ when using the new calibrated DES SN-Dovekie. Alongside this work, we publicly release \texttt{BAOfit\_wtheta}, the BAO fitting code for the angular correlation function used in the DES Y6 BAO analysis.

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Constraints on the normal branch of DGP gravity from SPT galaxy clusters with DES and HST weak-lensing mass calibration and from Planck PR4 CMB anisotropies

We present constraints on the normal branch of the Dvali-Gabadadze-Porrati (nDGP) braneworld gravity model from the abundance of massive galaxy clusters. On scales below the nDGP crossover scale $r_{\rm c}$, the nDGP model features an effective gravity-like fifth force that alters the growth of structure, leading to an enhancement of the halo mass function (HMF) on cluster scales. The enhanced cluster abundance allows for constraints on the nDGP model using cluster samples. We employ the SPT cluster sample, selected through the thermal Sunyaev-Zel`dovich effect (tSZE) with the South Pole Telescope (SPT) and with mass calibration using weak-lensing data from the Dark Energy Survey (DES) and the Hubble Space Telescope (HST). The cluster sample contains 1,005 clusters with redshifts $0.25 < z < 1.78$, which are confirmed with the Multi-Component Matched Filter (MCMF) algorithm using optical and near-infrared data. Weak-lensing data from DES and HST enable a robust mass measurement of the cluster sample. We use DES Year 3 data for 688 clusters with redshifts $z < 0.95$, and HST data for 39 clusters with redshifts $ 0.6 < z <1.7$. We account for the enhancement in the HMF through a semi-analytic correction factor to the standard cosmology HMF derived from the spherical collapse model in the nDGP model. We then further calibrate this model using $N$-body simulations. In addition, for the first time, we analyze the primary cosmic microwave background (CMB) temperature and polarization anisotropy measurements from Planck PR4 within the nDGP model. We obtain a competitive constraint from the joint analysis of the SPT cluster abundance with the Planck PR4 data, and report an upper bound of $1/\sqrt{(H_0r_{\rm c})}< 1.41$ at $95\,\%$ when assuming a cosmology with massive neutrinos.

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Euclid preparation. CIV. Impact of galaxy intrinsic alignment modelling choices on Euclid 3x2pt cosmology

The Euclid galaxy survey will provide unprecedented constraints on cosmology, but achieving unbiased results will require an optimal characterisation and mitigation of systematic effects. The intrinsic alignments (IAs) of galaxies are one of the dominant contaminants of the weak lensing (WL) and galaxy-galaxy lensing (GGL) probes. In this work, we assess IA modelling choices for Euclid DR1 3x2pt analyses by using synthetic data vectors and comparing the performance of the two most commonly used IA models, non-linear alignment (NLA) and tidal alignment tidal torquing (TATT), along with several variations. Our analyses combine three perspectives: (i) the constraining power on the IA and cosmological parameters for each IA model, (ii) the bias that results when the IA analysis model differs from the model used to generate the synthetic data vector, and (iii) the degeneracies between IAs and photometric redshift (photo-z) nuisance parameters. Amongst the IA models analysed, the redshift-dependent TATT model (zTATT) provides the most flexible description of IAs, with a constraining power similar to simpler IA models, making it a suitable choice for Euclid DR1 3x2pt analyses.

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Dark Energy Survey Year 3 results: optimized $w$CDM simulation-based inference with weak lensing map-level hybrid statistics

We present cosmological constraints from the Dark Energy Survey Year 3 (DES Y3) weak lensing data using hierarchical hybrid statistics within a Bayesian simulation-based inference framework that is based on the Gower Street simulations. To maximize the precision of the inference, we have developed a new, information-theory based, data compression of the weak lensing maps to just seven highly informative summary statistics. The hybrid scheme exploits the high information content of the power spectrum, compressing both the power spectrum and neural-based summaries that are designed to extract further information. Our simulation-based approach enables principled forward modelling of all major sources of systematic uncertainty and survey properties into realistic mock observations, including the survey mask, photometric redshift uncertainties, intrinsic galaxy alignments, multiplicative shear calibration bias, source galaxy clustering, non-Gaussian shape noise, and non-linear structure formation. The summary statistics are then used in a Bayesian simulation-based inference pipeline. The inference is validated through coverage tests and checks for robustness against baryonic feedback. Assuming a $w$CDM cosmology, our analysis yields $S_8 = 0.808 \pm 0.017$, $Ω_{\rm m} = 0.325 \pm 0.024$, and $w < -0.766$ (marginalized posterior 68 per cent credible intervals). This rigorous combination of information theory, physics- and neural network-based extreme data compression, and principled Bayesian analysis improves the figure of merit for $(Ω_{\rm m}, S_8, w)$ by 60 per cent over the previous state-of-the-art, and by almost a factor of 3 over two-point analyses of the same data. They are the most precise joint constraints on $(Ω_{\rm m}, S_8, w)$ from weak gravitational lensing data alone of any survey to date. We intend to apply this analysis to the more recent DES Y6 data.

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Probing gravity with non-linear clustering in redshift space

We present the first computation of the gravity model testing parameter $E_G$ on realistic simulated modified gravity galaxy mocks. The analysis is conducted using two twin simulations presented in arXiv:1805.09824(1): one based on general relativity (GR) and the other on the $f(R)$ Hu $\&$ Sawicki model with $f=10^{-5}$ (F5). This study aims to measure the $E_G$ estimator in GR and $f(R)$ models using high-fidelity simulated galaxy catalogs, with the goal of assessing how future galaxy surveys can detect deviations from standard gravity. Deriving this estimator requires precise, unbiased measurements of the growth rate of structure and the linear galaxy bias. We achieve this by implementing an end-to-end cosmological analysis pipeline in configuration space, using the multipoles of the 2-point correlation function. Our analysis demonstrates how to measure the scale-dependent growth rate predicted by non-standard gravity models. We split the estimation of the RSD $β$ parameter over distinct scale ranges, separating large (quasi-linear) and small (non-linear) scales. We show that this estimator can be accurately measured using mock galaxies in low redshift bins ($z < 1$), where it offers strong discriminating power over competing gravity theories. We find that, for an all-sky galaxy survey and neglecting observational systematics, accurate and largely unbiased estimations of $E_G$ can be obtained across all redshifts. However, the error bars are too large to clearly distinguish between the theories. When measuring the scale-dependence of the $E_G$ estimator, we note that state-of-the-art theory modeling limitations and intrinsic "prior volume effects" prevent high-accuracy constraints. Alternatively, we propose a null test of gravity using RSD clustering, which, if small scales are modeled accurately in future surveys, could detect significant departures from GR.

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Euclid Quick Data Release (Q1): The impact of AGN emission on SED-derived physical properties

The Euclid Quick Data Release (Q1) is a powerful dataset to study active galactic nuclei (AGN) and their host galaxies. Deriving their physical properties through multi-component spectral energy distribution (SED) fitting is a challenging task for AGN, but it is greatly aided by the Euclid near-infrared photometry. Here we present a new method to quantify the reliability of SED-derived parameters, such as AGN bolometric and monochromatic luminosities, host's stellar mass $M_\star$, star-formation rate (SFR) and specific star-formation rate (sSFR), by using mock SEDs of AGN built by combining observed SEDs of QSOs and galaxies. We apply this methodology to the ${\sim}1$ million Q1 AGN candidates, constructing a catalogue of AGN and host galaxy properties, alongside their respective reliability values. With a reliability threshold at 0.5, we find 88\% of sources with robust stellar masses and 76\% with reliable AGN luminosities. Moreover, through SED fitting we also measure the AGN fraction $f_{\rm AGN}$ of the total mid-infrared flux and we use its lower-limit to select AGN. A $f_{\rm AGN, \, low} > 0.075$ threshold yields 85\% completeness and purity. Comparable to colour-colour AGN selections, this method has the advantage of being less affected by redshift evolution and exploring fainter magnitudes. Additionally, by comparing the AGN and host galaxy parameters across different identification methods, we find that the probed range in stellar mass and AGN luminosity can be quite different. This highlights the importance of combining different approaches and accounting for their selection biases when studying AGN and their role in galaxy evolution. Finally, for the X-ray detected sample, we present the X-ray to mid-IR luminosity relation, and the correlation between stellar mass and bolometric luminosity as a function of redshift, in good agreement with previous results.

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Euclid preparation. CII. Non-Gaussianity of 2-pt statistics likelihood: Parameter inference with a non-Gaussian likelihood in Fourier and configuration space

In this work we account for this skewness in parameter inference by modelling the likelihood through an Edgeworth expansion which involves the complete skewness tensor, composed of 1-point, 2-point, and 3-point correlators. To simplify the calculations of this expansion we perform a change of basis which reduces the precision matrix to the identity. In this basis, the off-diagonal elements of the skewness tensor are consistent with zero, while the amplitude of its diagonal match the level expected for a Gaussian underlying field. We perform parameter inference with this likelihood model and find that including only the diagonal part of the skewness is sufficient, while incorporating the full skewness tensor injects noise without improving accuracy. Despite the estimated excess skewness in the original basis, the cosmological constraints remain effectively unchanged when adopting a Gaussian likelihood or considering the more complete Edgeworth expansion, with variations in the figure of merit of cosmological parameters between the two cases below $5\%$. This result remains unchanged against variations of the survey volume and geometry, scale-cut, and 2-point statistic (power spectrum or correlation function). Using $10\, 000$ cloned \Euclid large mocks based on realistic galaxy catalogues with characteristics close to future \Euclid data, we find no detectable excess skewness on intermediate scales, due to the level of shot noise expected for the \Euclid spectroscopic sample. We conclude that the Gaussian likelihood assumption is robust for \Euclid 2-point statistics analyses in both Fourier and configuration space.

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Constraints on Dynamical Dark Energy from Multiple Probes in the Full Dark Energy Survey

We present results on dark energy evolution, assuming a time-dependent equation of state $w(a)=w_0+w_a(1-a)$, from growth and geometric probes using the full six-year Dark Energy Survey dataset: type Ia supernovae, baryon acoustic oscillations, and weak gravitational lensing and galaxy clustering (3$\times$2pt). The combination yields $w_0=-0.84^{+0.10}_{-0.10}$ and $w_a=-0.44^{+0.60}_{-0.55}$, the tightest constraints ever obtained from a single survey, with $2.2σ$ deviation from a cosmological constant. Adding the DESI DR2 BAO data yields $w_0=-0.84^{+0.06}_{-0.07}$ and $w_a=-0.53^{+0.33}_{-0.28}$, representing the most stringent low-redshift-only test of dynamical dark energy to date, with a $2.3σ$ deviation. In this combination, adding 3$\times$2pt doubles the constraining power. Finally, when combined with primary CMB information, we obtain $w_0=-0.82^{+0.05}_{-0.05}$, $w_a=-0.63^{+0.21}_{-0.18}$, with a $3.0σ$ deviation. We find that including 3$\times$2pt in the previously studied SN + DESI BAO + CMB combination leaves the significance essentially unchanged ($3.2 σ$ to $3.0σ$) while improving the figure of merit by $\sim$10\%. We systematically investigate the impact of leaving out each one of the probes and find that the significance of the deviation from a cosmological constant ranges from 2.3 to 3.2$σ$, with best-fit parameters consistently in the region $w_0 >-1$ and $w_a <0$. Excluding SN from the all data combination yields a $2.6σ$ departure from $Λ$CDM, providing a cross-check independent of supernova photometric calibration. These results support the weak preference for evolving dark energy reported by several recent cosmological analyses. By combining growth and geometric probes from a single survey, this work realizes the multi-probe dark energy program envisioned at the inception of DES.

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Euclid: Early Release Observations -- Internal kinematics and the convective-transition gap of NGC 6397

We present a 'multiple-pass' data-reduction tool designed for Euclid, based on software developed for the Hubble Space Telescope (HST), which improves the astrometric and photometric precision for faint sources and in crowded fields. In this work, we apply it to Euclid Early Release Observations of the Galactic globular cluster NGC 6397. By combining our new catalogue with archival HST data, separated by a time span of approximately 20 years, we were able to measure high-precision proper motions and investigate the radial variations in the energy equipartition and velocity anisotropy of the cluster. The combination of deep and wide-field observations also allowed us to derive the present-day local mass function of NGC 6397 and to study the radial dependence of mass segregation and binary fraction. Finally, we report the discovery of a subtle under-density of stars in the colour-magnitude diagram of NGC 6397 around a stellar mass of 0.35 M$_\odot$ with a more than 5$σ$ confidence level. This feature is consistent with the Gaia M-dwarf gap discovered in Galactic field stars, but it has never previously been observed in a globular cluster. The gap is caused by the onset of full convection in stellar interiors. We demonstrate that the properties of the gap provide tight constraints on the distance to NGC 6397 and its intrinsic metallicity dispersion, offering a new benchmark for stellar evolution models.

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Euclid Quick Data Release (Q1). The role of cosmic connectivity in shaping galaxy clusters

The matter distribution around galaxy clusters is distributed over several filaments, reflecting their positions as nodes in the large-scale cosmic web. The number of filaments connected to a cluster, namely its connectivity, is expected to affect the physical properties of clusters. Using the first Euclid galaxy catalogue from the Euclid Quick Release 1 (Q1), we investigate the connectivity of galaxy clusters and how it correlates with their physical and galaxy member properties. Around 220 clusters located within the three fields of Q1 (covering $\sim 63 \ \text{deg}^2$), are analysed in the redshift range $0.2 < z < 0.7$. Due to the photometric redshift uncertainty, we reconstruct the cosmic web skeleton, and measure cluster connectivity, in 2-D projected slices with a thickness of 170 comoving $h^{-1}.\text{Mpc}$ and centred on each cluster redshift, by using two different filament finder algorithms on the most massive galaxies ($M_*\ > 10^{10.3} \ M_\odot$). In agreement with previous measurements, we recover the mass-connectivity relation independently of the filament detection algorithm, showing that the most massive clusters are, on average, connected to a larger number of cosmic filaments, consistent with hierarchical structure formation models. Furthermore, we explore possible correlations between connectivities and two cluster properties: the fraction of early-type galaxies and the Sérsic index of galaxy members. Our result suggests that the clusters populated by early-type galaxies exhibit higher connectivity compared to clusters dominated by late-type galaxies. These preliminary investigations highlight our ability to quantify the impact of the cosmic web connectivity on cluster properties with Euclid.

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Euclid preparation. Probing galaxy evolution within cosmic voids in Euclid-like simulations

The evolution of galaxies is profoundly influenced by the environment in which they reside. Cosmic voids serve as pristine laboratories for studying galaxy evolution in the relative absence of the complex physical processes that dominate denser environments. In this study, we investigate galaxy properties and merger histories as a function of environment using the GAlaxy Evolution and Assembly (GAEA) mock-observation lightcone replicating the Euclid Deep Survey as foreseen for the first Euclid data release. The H$α$-selected galaxy sample spans the redshift range $0.4 < z < 1.8$, corresponding to the interval over which H$α$ is accessible to Euclid slitless spectroscopy. We classify galaxies based on their void-centric distance and local density contrast, and compare their stellar mass, specific star formation rate, bulge-to-total stellar mass ratio, and halo mass across different environments. We further analyse the merger histories of these galaxies to study their assembly evolution. We find that galaxies located closer to void centres ($d_{\rm cc} \lesssim 0.7 R_{\rm v}$) are less massive, more actively star-forming, and more disc-dominated than galaxies in denser regions. Merger histories indicate that void galaxies do not experience fewer mergers, but rather that mergers occur later relative to galaxies in high-density regions. These results support a scenario in which the environment regulates the timing and nature of mergers rather than their overall frequency, producing a slower evolutionary path in low-density regions. We conclude by discussing the extent to which these trends are shaped by environmental parametrisation methods and observational selection effects. Our analysis provides a framework for interpreting forthcoming Euclid data and demonstrates Euclid's potential to identify cosmic voids and probe environmental effects on galaxy evolution.

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Euclid: Photometric redshift calibration with the clustering redshifts technique

Aims: The precision of cosmological constraints from imaging surveys hinges on accurately estimating the redshift distribution $ n(z) $ of tomographic bins, especially their mean redshifts. We assess the effectiveness of the clustering redshifts technique in constraining Euclid tomographic redshift bins to meet the target uncertainty of $ σ( \langle z \rangle ) < 0.002 (1 + z) $. In this work, these mean redshifts are inferred from the small-scale angular clustering of Euclid galaxies, which are distributed into bins with spectroscopic samples localised in narrow redshift slices. Methods: We generate spectroscopic mocks from the Flagship2 simulation for the Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS), the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI), and Euclid's Near-Infrared Spectrometer and Photometer (NISP) spectroscopic survey. We evaluate and optimise the clustering redshifts pipeline, introducing a new method for measuring photometric galaxy bias (clustering), which is the primary limitation of this technique. Results: We have successfully constrained the means and standard deviations of the redshift distributions for all of the tomographic bins (with a maximum photometric redshift of 1.6), achieving precision beyond the required thresholds. We have identified the main sources of bias, particularly the impact of the 1-halo galaxy distribution, which imposed a minimal separation scale of 1.5 Mpc for evaluating cross-correlations. These results demonstrate the potential of clustering redshifts to meet the precision requirements for Euclid, and we highlight several avenues for future improvements.

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Euclid: Early Release Observations -- The formation of peanutty dwarf galaxies in Perseus

Dwarf galaxies in dense cluster environments are susceptible to tidal interactions that can alter their morphology and kinematics. Boxy isophotes are well studied in massive galaxies but remain poorly understood in dwarfs. We aim to identify and characterise boxy/peanutty dwarf galaxies in the Perseus cluster and determine the origin of their isophotal shapes. Using Euclid Early Release Observations of the Perseus cluster, we present a cumulative light fraction method for robustly measuring the isophotal shape parameter $c_4$, particularly suited to low surface brightness regimes. From ~1100 cataloged dwarfs, we select a clean sample of ~190 early-type systems with reliable $c_4$ measurement. Observed trends are interpreted through comparison with mock Euclid observations of $N$-body simulations of tidally transformed dwarfs. We identify 13 dwarfs with significantly boxy isophotes ($c_4 < -0.0175$). These galaxies lack visible thin disks, lie on the cluster red sequence, and show no preferential spatial concentration within Perseus. We find a significant anticorrelation between $c_4$ and effective radius: larger galaxies exhibit more boxy isophotes. An analogous size-shape anticorrelation is recovered in the simulations, where inner regions are dominated by box orbits associated with a triaxial peanut structure and outer regions by short-axis tube orbits. The boxy dwarfs in Perseus are tidally transformed remnants of moderately rotating progenitors, with boxy isophotes tracing inner box-orbit-dominated peanut structures. The size-shape correlation arises from viewing geometry: face-on orientations reveal the rectangular profile of the elongated triaxial structure (large and boxy), while edge-on views yield rounder, compact morphologies. Our sample represents an orientation-selected subset of tidally transformed, peanutty dwarfs in the cluster.

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Euclid preparation: Testing multi-field inflation with galaxy power spectrum and bispectrum

Primordial non-Gaussianity (PNG) is a powerful probe of the origin of cosmic structure. Stage-IV surveys like \Euclid will measure galaxy $2$- and $3$-point clustering at high signal-to-noise, whose exploitation requires robust joint analysis. We prepare for Euclid's spectroscopic sample by validating a redshift-space power-spectrum and bispectrum pipeline (one-loop $P_\ell$, tree-level $B_\ell$) on Euclid-like mocks from Abacus-PNG $N$-body simulations with Gaussian and local-PNG initial conditions, using a halo occupation distribution (HOD) tuned to Euclid Flagship 2. We stress-test analysis choices -- PNG-bias parametrisation, priors, and scale cuts -- and perform null tests without PNG. In a `prior-agnostic setup', detection of the dominant PNG term $\propto f_{\rm NL} \, b_ϕ$ in single redshift bins is difficult; nevertheless, the bispectrum provides constraints on other PNG combinations that partially lift degeneracies. We propose a physically motivated prior on $b_ϕ$ that yields unbiased $f_{\rm NL}$ while accounting for theory uncertainty, and determine scale cuts that give unbiased $Λ$CDM and $f_{\rm NL}$. With $V_{\rm eff}=16\,h^{-3}\,{\rm Gpc}^3$ across four snapshots ($0.8\le z\le1.7$), our likelihood analyses recover $<1σ$ bias in $f_{\rm NL}$ and $Λ$CDM. At fixed cuts, $B_\ell$ alone reduces $σ({f_{\rm NL}})$ by $\sim29$--$46\%$ relative to $P_\ell$, and joint power spectrum-bispectrum analysis tightens a further $\sim8$--$13\%$; the cumulative gain from $z=0.8$ to $1.7$ is $\sim2.3$ for the joint case. The bispectrum quadrupole is key. Our strongest results are at $z=1.7$: $1.9σ$ for $f_{\rm NL} \, b_ϕ$ (prior-agnostic) and $2.35σ$ for $f_{\rm NL}$ (prior-based). Joint analyses thus offer strong prospects for testing multi-field inflation, pending end-to-end validation in the full Euclid geometry with observational systematics.

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Euclid preparation. Decomposing components of the extragalactic background light using multi-band intensity mapping cross-correlations

The extragalactic background light (EBL) fluctuations in the optical/near-IR encode the cumulative integrated galaxy light (IGL), diffuse intra-halo light (IHL), and high-$z$ sources from the epoch of reionisation (EoR), but they are difficult to disentangle with auto-spectra alone. We aim to decompose the EBL into its principal constituents using multi-band intensity mapping combined with cosmic shear and galaxy clustering. We develop a joint halo-model framework in which IHL follows a mass- and redshift-dependent luminosity scaling, IGL is set by an evolving Schechter luminosity function, and EoR emission is modelled with Pop II/III stellar emissivities and a binned star-formation efficiency. Using mock surveys in a flat $Λ$CDM cosmology with ten spectral bands spanning 0.75-5.0$\rm μm$ in the NEP deep fields over about 100$°^2$ with source detections down to AB=20.5 for masking, and six redshift bins to $z=2.5$, we fit auto- and cross-power spectra using a MCMC method. The combined SPHEREx$\times$Euclid analysis recovers all fiducial parameters within 1$σ$ and reduces 1$σ$ uncertainties on IHL parameters by 10-35% relative to SPHEREx EBL-only, while EoR star-formation efficiency parameters improve by 20-35%. Cross-correlations reveal a stronger coupling of IHL than IGL to the shear field, enhancing component separation; conversely, the EoR contribution shows negligible correlation with cosmic shear and galaxy clustering, aiding its isolation in the EBL. Relative to the SPHEREx EBL-only case, the inferred IHL fraction as a function of halo mass is significantly tightened over $10^{11}-10^{14} M_{\odot}$, with uncertainties reduced by 5-30%, and the resulting star-formation rate density constraints extend to $z\sim 11$, with uncertainty reductions of 22-31%.

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Euclid preparation. XCVIII. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 5: Extensions beyond the standard modelling of theoretical probes and systematic effects

Euclid is expected to establish new state-of-the-art constraints on extensions beyond the standard LCDM cosmological model by measuring the positions and shapes of billions of galaxies. Specifically, its goal is to shed light on the nature of dark matter and dark energy. Achieving this requires developing and validating advanced statistical tools and theoretical prediction software capable of testing extensions of the LCDM model. In this work, we describe how the Euclid likelihood pipeline, Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE), has been extended to accommodate alternative cosmological models and to refine the theoretical modelling of Euclid primary probes. In particular, we detail modifications made to CLOE to incorporate the magnification bias term into the spectroscopic two-point correlation function of galaxy clustering. Additionally, we explain the adaptations made to CLOE's implementation of Euclid primary photometric probes to account for massive neutrinos and modified gravity extensions. Finally, we present the validation of these CLOE modifications through dedicated forecasts on synthetic Euclid-like data by sampling the full posterior distribution and comparing with the results of previous literature. In conclusion, we have identified in this work several functionalities with regards to beyond-LCDM modelling that could be further improved within CLOE, and outline potential research directions to enhance pipeline efficiency and flexibility through novel inference and machine learning techniques.

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Euclid preparation. XCVI. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 3. Inference and Forecasts

The Euclid mission aims to measure the positions, shapes, and redshifts of over a billion galaxies to provide unprecedented constraints on the nature of dark matter and dark energy. Achieving this goal requires a continuous reassessment of the mission's scientific performance, particularly in terms of its ability to constrain cosmological parameters, as our understanding of how to model large-scale structure observables improves. In this study, we present the first scientific forecasts using CLOE (Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid), a dedicated Euclid cosmological pipeline developed to support this endeavour. Using advanced Bayesian inference techniques applied to synthetic Euclid-like data, we sample the posterior distribution of cosmological and nuisance parameters across a variety of cosmological models and Euclid primary probes: cosmic shear, angular photometric galaxy clustering, galaxy-galaxy lensing, and spectroscopic galaxy clustering. We validate the capability of CLOE to produce reliable cosmological forecasts, showcasing Euclid's potential to achieve a figure of merit for the dark energy parameters $w_0$ and $w_a$ exceeding 400 when combining all primary probes. Furthermore, we illustrate the behaviour of the posterior probability distribution of the parameters of interest given different priors and scale cuts. Finally, we emphasise the importance of addressing computational challenges, proposing further exploration of innovative data science techniques to efficiently navigate the Euclid high-dimensional parameter space in upcoming cosmological data releases.

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