Jaeho Jin | Search arXiv

arXiv2026

Temperature Scaling Attack Disrupting Model Confidence in Federated Learning

Predictive confidence serves as a foundational control signal in mission-critical systems, directly governing risk-aware logic such as escalation, abstention, and conservative fallback. While prior federated learning attacks predominantly target accuracy or implant backdoors, we identify confidence calibration as a distinct attack objective. We present the Temperature Scaling Attack (TSA), a training-time attack that degrades calibration while preserving accuracy. By injecting temperature scaling with learning rate-temperature coupling during local training, TSA shifts model confidence while keeping predictive accuracy and common optimization signals close to benign training. We provide a convergence analysis under non-IID settings, showing that the coupling controls the primary update scale while leaving a bounded temperature-induced residual, yielding the standard non-convex FL convergence structure with an additional residual term. Across three benchmarks, TSA substantially shifts calibration (e.g., 145% error increase on CIFAR-100) with <2% accuracy change, and remains effective under robust aggregation and post-hoc calibration defenses. Case studies further show up to a 7.2x increase in missed verifications in healthcare and severe confidence-gating failures in autonomous driving, even when accuracy is unchanged. Overall, our results establish calibration integrity as a critical attack surface in federated learning.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Pushing the (Decision) Boundaries: Dynamically Calibrating Differentially Private Noise to Explainability in Federated Learning

Federated Learning (FL) with Differential Privacy (DP) is increasingly adopted to preserve data confidentiality in distributed machine learning. However, DP noise distorts learned representations and degrades explanation fidelity, limiting differentially private FL where trustworthy explanations are required, such as assistive clinical diagnosis. Prior work adapted DP noise with static feature-importance signals, restricting explainability to post hoc analysis and precluding noise calibration to explanation quality during training. We propose XCal-FL, a closed-loop, explainability-driven local training algorithm for image classification in cross-silo FL that dynamically calibrates DP noise from three complementary signals: (1) prediction logit variations, measuring causal influence on model confidence, (2) counterfactual margins, capturing decision-boundary sensitivity, and (3) saliency concentration, quantifying spatial coherence of model attention, while enforcing formal DP guarantees via adaptive privacy accounting. Experiments on three medical imaging datasets across varying FL configurations show that XCal-FL yields more accurate and interpretable global models, improving predictive performance by over 10\% and explanation fidelity by up to 5$\times$ over static-noise FL, and outperforming state-of-the-art adaptive DP methods in fidelity. XCal-FL also achieves higher privacy-budget efficiency, turning each unit of cumulative privacy loss into larger gains in both accuracy and explanation fidelity. Our analysis further reveals that, unlike predictive performance, which scales roughly linearly with privacy loss, explanation fidelity exhibits non-linear dynamics. These findings suggest explainability is a distinct dimension of the privacy trade-off that cannot be inferred from utility alone, with implications for training and privacy-budget allocation in decision-critical applications.

cs.LG↗