Joonhyeong Park | Search arXiv

arXiv2026

Stochastic Optimal Control for Continuous-Time fMRI Representation Learning

Learning robust representations from functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) is fundamentally challenged by the temporal irregularity and noise inherent in data from heterogeneous sources. Existing self-supervised learning (SSL) methods often discard critical temporal information by discretizing or averaging fMRI signals. To address this, we introduce a novel framework that reframes SSL as a Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC) problem. Our approach models brain activity as continuous-time latent dynamics, learning a robust representation of brain dynamics by optimizing a control policy that is agnostic to the temporal irregularity. This SOC framework naturally unifies masked autoencoding (MAE) and joint-embedding prediction (JEPA) to extract compact, control-derived representations. Furthermore, a simulation-free inference strategy ensures computational efficiency and scalability for large-scale fMRI datasets. Our model demonstrates state-of-the-art performance across diverse downstream applications, highlighting the potential of the SOC-based continuous-time representation learning framework.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Proper Scoring Rule-based Diffusion for Probabilistic Weather Forecasting

Recent probabilistic weather forecasters train stochastic predictors with the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) to generate each ensemble member in a single forward pass. These models learn the predictive distribution from the forecast context alone, which becomes difficult at longer forecast horizons where uncertainty is high. To learn the predictive distribution more effectively, we introduce auxiliary conditional denoising tasks that predict the same future state from the context and its corrupted version, which provides partial future information that can reduce prediction ambiguity. Building on distributional diffusion models, we learn the conditional distributions of these tasks with a single stochastic predictor by minimizing a proper scoring rule across noise levels. At inference, the predictor can still generate each ensemble member in a single forward pass at the fully corrupted endpoint. Standard CRPS training is recovered as the endpoint-only special case of our formulation, so our framework extends existing CRPS-based forecasters with only additional conditioning inputs. Controlled experiments show that the auxiliary tasks improve one-step forecasting across architectures, with larger gains at longer forecast horizons. The gains extend to high-dimensional global weather forecasting under both training from scratch and fine-tuning, along with improved calibration and potential benefits for generalization under distribution shift.

cs.LG↗