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Junichi Hirukawa

Publications and source records attributed to Junichi Hirukawa.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

A Second-Order Extension of Hájek's Convolution Theorem with Statistical Applications

For a class of regular estimators, Hájek, in his celebrated ``Convolution Theorem,'' showed that the asymptotic distribution of a regular estimator is the convolution of the distribution of an efficient estimator and some residual distribution. This result constitutes the foundation of the concept of asymptotic efficiency of regular estimators. In this paper, we provide a second-order version of that classical result. Introducing a class of second-order regular estimators with a valid Edgeworth expansion, we derive their asymptotic distribution under contiguous alternatives and show that it is the convolution of the second-order efficient distribution and some second-order residual distribution. This constitutes a second-order extension of Hájek's convolution theorem. Based on this, we introduce a concept of {\it second-order robustness} for second-order regular estimators. For a class of general Bayes estimators and minimum contrast estimators in time series models, this second-order robustness is used (i) in the characterization of second-order robust priors, (ii) in a comparison between the second-order robustness of maximum likelihood and Whittle estimators.

math.ST↗

Inference for Non-Stationary Heavy Tailed Time Series

We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with heavy-tails. This enable us to introduce a local approximation-based estimator which estimates consistently time-varying parameters of the model at hand. To develop a robust method, we also suggest a self-weighing scheme which is shown to recover the asymptotic normality of the estimator regardless of whether the finite variance of the underlying process exists. Empirical evidence favoring this approach is provided.

math.ST↗

Investigating linear relationships between non constant variances of economic variables

In this paper we aim to assess linear relationships between the non constant variances of economic variables. The proposed methodology is based on a bootstrap cumulative sum (CUSUM) test. Simulations suggest a good behavior of the test for sample sizes commonly encountered in practice. The tool we provide is intended to highlight relations or draw common patterns between economic variables through their non constant variances. The outputs of this paper is illustrated considering U.S. regional data.

stat.ME↗