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Keefe Mitman

Publications and source records attributed to Keefe Mitman.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
arXiv2026

NRSur7dq4v2: A multi-domain precessing surrogate model with improved accuracy

Numerical relativity simulations provide the most accurate waveforms for binary black hole coalescences, but are prohibitively expensive for direct use in gravitational-wave data analysis. Surrogate models overcome this cost, and NRSur7dq4 is commonly used in parameter estimation for this reason. However, there is evidence in the literature that NRSur7dq4's accuracy could be improved in the merger-ringdown portion of the waveform, which is particularly important for the analysis of high-mass binary black hole events. Motivated by these observations, we construct NRSur7dq4v2, a multi-domain extension of NRSur7dq4 in which overlapping temporal subdomains allow tighter, independent error control over the inspiral and merger-ringdown portions of the waveform before they are smoothly combined. To assess the new model's performance in the merger-ringdown regime, we infer the mass and spin of the remnant black hole from quasi-normal fits to the ringdown portion of the surrogate waveform. We find that NRSur7dq4v2 produces significantly improved remnant mass and spin estimates, with gains of roughly factors of $3$ to $10$ over NRSur7dq4. Compared to NRSur7dq4, NRSur7dq4v2 also includes modes up to $\ell=5$, includes more accurate modeling of certain subdominant modes, and introduces a runtime model-complexity feature that gives users direct control over the tradeoff between evaluation cost and accuracy. Finally, alongside the model development, we have optimized the gwsurrogate package to achieve a fourfold speedup for precessing surrogates. The resulting precessing surrogates called through gwsurrogate are now slightly faster than their LALSimulation counterparts.

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arXiv2026

Black hole spectroscopy: from theory to experiment

The "ringdown" radiation emitted by oscillating black holes has great scientific potential. By carefully predicting the frequencies and amplitudes of black hole quasinormal modes and comparing them with gravitational-wave data from compact binary mergers we can advance our understanding of the two-body problem in general relativity, verify the predictions of the theory in the regime of strong and dynamical gravitational fields, and search for physics beyond the Standard Model or new gravitational degrees of freedom. We summarize the state of the art in our understanding of black hole quasinormal modes in general relativity and modified gravity, their excitation, and the modeling of ringdown waveforms. We also review the status of LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA ringdown observations, data analysis techniques, and the bright prospects of the field in the era of LISA and next-generation ground-based gravitational-wave detectors.

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arXiv2026

Fixing the center-of-mass frame of numerical relativity waveforms using the post-Newtonian center-of-mass charge

The Bondi--van der Burg--Metzner--Sachs (BMS) frame of gravitational waves produced by numerical relativity (NR) simulations is crucial for building accurate waveform models. A proper comparison of NR waveforms with other models requires fixing the arbitrary BMS frame. In this work we improve the center-of-mass (CoM) frame fixing for quasicircular, nonprecessing binary systems. Past work approximated the CoM motion with just a linear fit. We compute a post-Newtonian result of the boosted CoM charge to also capture its physical out-spiraling oscillations. We show that using the analytical results improves the robustness of the fit parameters -- translation and boost vectors -- to the choice of duration and time of the fitting window. Our analysis demonstrates a maximum improvement in robustness when the window is placed at the center of the inspiral. We quantified this improvement by computing the ratio of variances of fit parameters when the fit window size is varied. The largest improvement in robustness of parameters is by a factor of $\sim 25$ for the boost vector and $\sim 20$ for the translation vector. Finally, we incorporate this method into the BMS frame-fixing routine of the python package $\texttt{scri}$ for waveforms produced with Cauchy-characteristic evolution.

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arXiv2026

Laying the foundation of the effective-one-body waveform models SEOBNRv5: improved accuracy and efficiency for spinning non-precessing binary black holes

We present SEOBNRv5HM, a more accurate and faster inspiral-merger-ringdown gravitational waveform model for quasi-circular, spinning, nonprecessing binary black holes within the effective-one-body (EOB) formalism. Compared to its predecessor, SEOBNRv4HM, the waveform model i) incorporates recent high-order post- Newtonian results in the inspiral, with improved resummations, ii) includes the gravitational modes (l, |m|) = (3, 2), (4, 3), in addition to the (2, 2), (3, 3), (2, 1), (4, 4), (5, 5) modes already implemented in SEOBNRv4HM, iii) is calibrated to larger mass-ratios and spins using a catalog of 442 numerical-relativity (NR) simulations and 13 additional waveforms from black-hole perturbation theory, iv) incorporates information from second-order gravitational self-force (2GSF) in the nonspinning modes and radiation-reaction force. Computing the unfaithfulness against NR simulations, we find that for the dominant (2, 2) mode the maximum unfaithfulness in the total mass range $10-300 M_{\odot}$ is below $10^{-3}$ for 90% of the cases (38% for SEOBNRv4HM). When including all modes up to l = 5 we find 98% (49%) of the cases with unfaithfulness below $10^{-2} (10^{-3})$, while these numbers reduce to 88% (5%) when using SEOBNRv4HM. Furthermore, the model shows improved agreement with NR in other dynamical quantities (e.g., the angular momentum flux and binding energy), providing a powerful check of its physical robustness. We implemented the waveform model in a high-performance Python package (pySEOBNR), which leads to evaluation times faster than SEOBNRv4HM by a factor 10 to 50, depending on the configuration, and provides the flexibility to easily include spin-precession and eccentric effects, thus making it the starting point for a new generation of EOBNR waveform models (SEOBNRv5) to be employed for upcoming observing runs of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA detectors.

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arXiv2026

Constraining Gravitational Wave Memory with Hierarchical Inference

With the multitude of gravitational wave observations that have been made in the past ten years, probing the dynamical and nonlinear nature of strong gravity is becoming more and more feasible. One promising way to test the nonlinear nature of Einstein's theory of general relativity (GR) is through the gravitational wave null memory effect: a nonlinear prediction of GR which corresponds to initially comoving observers being permanently displaced due to a burst of gravitational radiation. Previous studies have shown that, while it is unlikely that the memory effect will be observed in a single event by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) detectors, evidence for memory in the population of LVK events should be attainable after $\sim$2,000 gravitational wave detections. These works, however, largely relied on Bayes factors to perform their memory analyses: an approach that can depend sensitively on the analysis priors and, when naively multiplied across many events, can even favor incorrect conclusions. In this work, using the GWTC-5.0 catalog of binary black hole observations, we instead perform hierarchical Bayesian inference -- which is not subject to the issues associated with Bayes factors -- to measure the evidence for memory in current LVK observations. We find that we can constrain what we call the memory enhancement factor -- the constant appearing in front of the contribution to the strain from the supermomentum flux -- to $0.26_{-4.08}^{+4.09}$ (with $\pm$ values denoting the 68\% credible interval), consistent with its GR value of 1. We also forecast that $\sim$2,000 detections will be needed to constrain the memory enhancement factor away from zero at the $1σ$ level.

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arXiv2026

A comprehensive look into the accuracy of SpEC binary black hole waveforms

Numerical relativity simulations provide a full description of the dynamics of binary systems, including gravitational radiation. The waveforms produced by these simulations have a number of applications in gravitational-wave detection and inference. In this work, we revisit the accuracy of the waveforms produced by the Spectral Einstein Code. Motivated by the wide range of waveform applications, we propose and explore three accuracy metrics between simulation resolutions: (i) the generalized frequency-weighted mismatch, (ii) the relative amplitude difference, and (iii) the phase difference at different times. We confirm that numerical errors accumulate over the binary evolution, but the error is not intrinsically larger during the latest, more dynamical stages. Studying errors across the parameter space, we identify a positive correlation between both the mismatch and the phase difference with precessing spin, but little correlation with aligned spin or eccentricity. Lastly, amplitude and phases differences are symmetric upon exchanging resolutions across the catalog, suggesting that the dominant source of error is random, rather than something systematic that affects all waveforms similarly.

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arXiv2026

Merger remnant and eccentricity dynamics surrogates for eccentric nonspinning black hole binaries

Accurate models of merger remnants are increasingly important for gravitational-wave science, including precision tests of gravity with ringdown, inference of black-hole populations, and modeling hierarchical mergers. For eccentric binaries, remnant mass, spin, and recoil carry nontrivial imprints of eccentricity that are both physically informative and more challenging to model, yet remain less developed than in the quasi-circular case. We present two new models trained on numerical-relativity (NR) simulations of unequal-mass, non-spinning eccentric binary black holes: NRSurE_q4NoSpin_Remnant, which predicts remnant properties, and NRSurE_q4NoSpin_Dynamics, a time-domain surrogate for the evolution of eccentricity and mean anomaly. Both models are trained on NR simulations over a three-dimensional parameter space with mass ratios $q \leq 4$, eccentricity $e < 0.23$, and mean anomaly $\ell \in [0,2π)$ radians, where both $e$ and $\ell$ defined at $t=-1000M$ relative to peak amplitude and $M$ is the total mass. We highlight some applications, including the phenomenological impact of eccentricity on remnant properties and the enhancement or suppression of recoil. We also provide error estimates for all modeled quantities, supporting reliable use in current and future gravitational-wave parameter-estimation analyses. Both models will be made available through open-source codes.

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arXiv2025

Probing the ringdown perturbation in binary black hole coalescences with an improved quasi-normal mode extraction algorithm

Using gravitational waves to probe the geometry of the ringing remnant black hole formed in a binary black hole coalescence is a well-established way to test Einstein's theory of general relativity. However, doing so requires knowledge of when the predictions of black hole perturbation theory, i.e., quasi-normal modes (QNMs), are a valid description of the emitted gravitational wave as well as what the amplitudes of these excitations are. In this work, we develop an algorithm to systematically extract QNMs from the ringdown of black hole merger simulations. Our algorithm improves upon previous ones in three ways: it fits over the two-sphere, enabling a complete model of the strain; it performs a reverse-search in time for QNMs using a more robust nonlinear least squares routine called \texttt{VarPro}; and it checks the variance of QNM amplitudes, which we refer to as ``stability'', over an interval matching the natural time scale of each QNM. Using this algorithm, we not only demonstrate the stability of a multitude of QNMs and their overtones across the parameter space of quasi-circular, non-precessing binary black holes, but we also identify new quadratic QNMs that may be detectable in the near future using ground-based interferometers. Furthermore, we provide evidence which suggests that the source of remnant black hole perturbations is roughly independent of the overtone index in a given angular harmonic across binary parameter space, at least for overtones with $n\lesssim2$. This finding may hint at the spatiotemporal structure of ringdown perturbations in black hole coalescences, as well as the regime of validity of perturbation theory in the ringdown of these events. Our algorithm is made publicly available at the following GitHub repository: https://github.com/keefemitman/qnmfinder.

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arXiv2025

Length dependence of waveform mismatch: a caveat on waveform accuracy

The Simulating eXtreme Spacetimes Collaboration's code SpEC can now routinely simulate binary black hole mergers undergoing $\sim25$ orbits, with the longest simulations undergoing nearly $\sim180$ orbits. While this sounds impressive, the mismatch between the highest resolutions for this long simulation is $\mathcal{O}(10^{-1})$. Meanwhile, the mismatch between resolutions for the more typical simulations tends to be $\mathcal{O}(10^{-4})$, despite the resolutions being similar to the long simulations'. In this note, we explain why mismatch alone gives an incomplete picture of code -- and waveform -- quality, especially in the context of providing waveform templates for LISA and 3G detectors, which require templates with $\mathcal{O}(10^{3}) - \mathcal{O}(10^{5})$ orbits. We argue that to ready the GW community for the sensitivity of future detectors, numerical relativity groups must be aware of this caveat, and also run future simulations with at least three resolutions to properly assess waveform accuracy.

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arXiv2025

The SXS Collaboration's third catalog of binary black hole simulations

We present a major update to the Simulating eXtreme Spacetimes (SXS) Collaboration's catalog of binary black hole simulations. Using highly efficient spectral methods implemented in the Spectral Einstein Code (SpEC), we have nearly doubled the total number of binary configurations from 2,018 to 3,756. The catalog now densely covers the parameter space with precessing simulations up to mass ratio $q=8$ and dimensionless spins up to $|\vecχ|\le0.8$ with near-zero eccentricity. The catalog also includes some simulations at higher mass ratios with moderate spin and more than 250 eccentric simulations. We have also deprecated and rerun some simulations from our previous catalog (e.g., simulations run with a much older version of SpEC or that had anomalously high errors in the waveform). The median waveform difference (which is similar to the mismatch) between resolutions over the simulations in the catalog is $4\times10^{-4}$. The simulations have a median of 22 orbits, while the longest simulation has 148 orbits. We have corrected each waveform in the catalog to be in the binary's center-of-mass frame and exhibit gravitational-wave memory. We estimate the total CPU cost of all simulations in the catalog to be 480,000,000 core-hours. We find that using spectral methods for binary black hole simulations is over 1,000 times more efficient than much shorter finite-difference simulations of comparable accuracy. The full catalog is publicly available through the sxs Python package and at https://data.black-holes.org .

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arXiv2025

Overtones and Nonlinearities in Binary Black Hole Ringdowns

Using high-accuracy numerical relativity waveforms, we confirm the presence of numerous overtones of the $\ell=2$, $m=2$ quasinormal mode early in the ringdown of binary black hole mergers. We do this by demonstrating the stability of the mode amplitudes at different fit times, ruling out the possibility that a linear superposition of modes unphysically fits a highly nonlinear part of the waveform. We also find a number of previously unidentified subdominant second-order quasinormal modes in the $(2,2)$ mode. Even though these modes are mathematically nonlinear, they nevertheless confirm the validity of perturbation theory as a good approximation for describing much of the ringdown.

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arXiv2025

GWSurrogate: A Python package for gravitational wave surrogate models

Fast and accurate waveform models are fundamentally important to modern gravitational wave astrophysics, enabling the study of merging compact objects like black holes and neutron stars. However, generating high-fidelity gravitational waveforms through numerical relativity simulations is computationally intensive, often requiring days to months of computation time on supercomputers. Surrogate models provide a practical solution to dramatically accelerate waveform evaluations (typically tens of milliseconds per evaluation) while retaining the accuracy of computationally expensive simulations. The GWSurrogate Python package provides easy access to these gravitational wave surrogate models through a user-friendly interface. Currently, the package supports 16 surrogate models, each varying in duration, included physical effects (e.g., nonlinear memory, tidal forces, harmonic modes, eccentricity, mass ratio range, precession effects), and underlying solution methods (e.g., Effective One Body, numerical relativity, black hole perturbation theory). GWSurrogate models follow the waveform model conventions used by the LIGO-Virgo-Kagra collaboration, making the package immediately suitable for both theoretical studies and practical gravitational wave data analysis. By enabling rapid and precise waveform generation, GWSurrogate serves as a production-level tool for diverse applications, including parameter estimation, template bank generation, and tests of general relativity.

astro-ph.IM↗
arXiv2025

Modeling the BMS transformation induced by a binary black hole merger

Understanding the characteristics of the remnant black hole formed in a binary black hole merger is crucial for conducting gravitational wave astronomy. Typically, models of remnant black holes provide information about their mass, spin, and kick velocity. However, other information related to the supertranslation symmetries of the BMS group, such as the memory effect, is also important for characterizing the final state of the system. In this work, we build a model of the BMS transformation that maps a binary black hole's inspiral frame to the remnant black hole's canonical rest frame. Training data for this model are created using high-precision numerical relativity simulations of quasi-circular systems with mass ratios $q \le 8$ and spins parallel to the orbital angular momentum with magnitudes $χ_{1}, χ_{2} \le 0.8$. We use Gaussian Process Regression to model the BMS transformations over the three-dimensional parameter space $\left(q, χ_{1}^{z}, χ_{2}^{z}\right)$. The physics captured by this model is strictly non-perturbative and cannot be obtained from post-Newtonian approximations alone, as it requires knowledge of the strong nonlinear effects that are sourced during the merger. Apart from providing the first model of the supertranslation induced by a binary black hole merger, we also find that the kick velocities predicted using Cauchy-characteristic evolution waveforms are, on average, $\sim5\%$ larger than the ones obtained from extrapolated waveforms. Our work has broad implications for improving gravitational wave models and studying the large-scale impact of memory, such as on the cosmological background. The fits produced in this work are available through the Python package $\texttt{surfinBH}$ under the name $\texttt{NRSur3dq8BMSRemnant}$.

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arXiv2025

Black Hole Spectroscopy for Precessing Binary Black Hole Coalescences

The spectroscopic study of black hole quasinormal modes in gravitational-wave ringdown observations is hindered by our ignorance of which modes should dominate astrophysical signals for different binary configurations, limiting tests of general relativity and astrophysics. In this work, we present a description of the quasinormal modes that are excited in the ringdowns of comparable mass, quasi-circular precessing binary black hole coalescences -- a key region of parameter space that has yet to be fully explored within the framework of black hole spectroscopy. We suggest that the remnant perturbation for precessing and non-precessing systems is approximately the same up to a rotation, which implies that the relative amplitudes of the quasinormal modes in both systems are also related by a rotation. We present evidence for this by analyzing an extensive catalog of numerical relativity simulations. Additional structure in the amplitudes is connected to the system's kick velocity and other asymmetries in the orbital dynamics. We find that the ringdowns of precessing systems need not be dominated by the ${(\ell,m)=(2,\pm 2)}$ quasinormal modes, and that instead the $(2,\pm 1)$~or~$(2,0)$ quasinormal modes can dominate. Our results are consistent with a ringdown analysis of the LIGO-Virgo gravitational wave signal GW190521, and may also help in understanding phenomenological inspiral-merger-ringdown waveform model systematics.

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arXiv2025

Simulating binary black hole mergers using discontinuous Galerkin methods

Binary black holes are the most abundant source of gravitational-wave observations. Gravitational-wave observatories in the next decade will require tremendous increases in the accuracy of numerical waveforms modeling binary black holes, compared to today's state of the art. One approach to achieving the required accuracy is using spectral-type methods that scale to many processors. Using the SpECTRE numerical-relativity code, we present the first simulations of a binary black hole inspiral, merger, and ringdown using discontinuous Galerkin methods. The efficiency of discontinuous Galerkin methods allows us to evolve the binary through ~18 orbits at reasonable computational cost. We then use SpECTRE's Cauchy Characteristic Evolution (CCE) code to extract the gravitational waves at future null infinity. The open-source nature of SpECTRE means this is the first time a spectral-type method for simulating binary black hole evolutions is available to the entire numerical-relativity community.

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arXiv2024

Late-time tails in nonlinear evolutions of merging black holes

We uncover late-time gravitational-wave tails in fully nonlinear 3+1 dimensional numerical relativity simulations of merging black holes, using the highly accurate SpEC code. We achieve this result by exploiting the strong magnification of late-time tails due to binary eccentricity, recently observed in perturbative evolutions, and showcase here the tail presence in head-on configurations for several mass ratios close to unity. We validate the result through a large battery of numerical tests and detailed comparison with perturbative evolutions, which display striking agreement with full nonlinear ones. Our results offer yet another confirmation of the highly predictive power of black hole perturbation theory in the presence of a source, even when applied to nonlinear solutions. The late-time tail signal is much more prominent than anticipated until recently, and possibly within reach of gravitational-wave detectors measurements, unlocking observational investigations of an additional set of general relativistic predictions on the long-range gravitational dynamics.

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arXiv2024

Optimizing post-Newtonian parameters and fixing the BMS frame for numerical-relativity waveform hybridizations

Numerical relativity (NR) simulations of binary black holes provide precise waveforms, but are typically too computationally expensive to produce waveforms with enough orbits to cover the whole frequency band of gravitational-wave observatories. Accordingly, it is important to be able to hybridize NR waveforms with analytic, post-Newtonian (PN) waveforms, which are accurate during the early inspiral phase. We show that to build such hybrids, it is crucial to both fix the Bondi-Metzner-Sachs (BMS) frame of the NR waveforms to match that of PN theory, and optimize over the PN parameters. We test such a hybridization procedure including all spin-weighted spherical harmonic modes with $|m|\leq \ell$ for $\ell\leq 8$, using 29 NR waveforms with mass ratios $q\leq 10$ and spin magnitudes $|χ_1|, |χ_2|\leq 0.8$. We find that for spin-aligned systems, the PN and NR waveforms agree very well. The difference is limited by the small nonzero orbital eccentricity of the NR waveforms, or equivalently by the lack of eccentric terms in the PN waveforms. To maintain full accuracy of the simulations, the matching window for spin-aligned systems should be at least 5 orbits long and end at least 15 orbits before merger. For precessing systems, the errors are larger than for spin-aligned cases. The errors are likely limited by the absence of precession-related spin-spin PN terms. Using $10^5\,M$ long NR waveforms, we find that there is no optimal choice of the matching window within this time span, because the hybridization result for precessing cases is always better if using earlier or longer matching windows. We provide the mean orbital frequency of the smallest acceptable matching window as a function of the target error between the PN and NR waveforms and the black hole spins.

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arXiv2024

A Review of Gravitational Memory and BMS Frame Fixing in Numerical Relativity

Gravitational memory effects and the BMS freedoms exhibited at future null infinity have recently been resolved and utilized in numerical relativity simulations. With this, gravitational wave models and our understanding of the fundamental nature of general relativity have been vastly improved. In this paper, we review the history and intuition behind memory effects and BMS symmetries, how they manifest in gravitational waves, and how controlling the infinite number of BMS freedoms of numerical relativity simulations can crucially improve the waveform models that are used by gravitational wave detectors. We reiterate the fact that, with memory effects and BMS symmetries, not only can these next-generation numerical waveforms be used to observe never-before-seen physics, but they can also be used to test GR and learn new astrophysical information about our universe.

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