arXiv subjects

Lijun Sun

Publications and source records attributed to Lijun Sun.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Lifting connectivity bottlenecks in superconducting quantum processors via enriched native two-qubit gates

Limited qubit connectivity is a central architectural constraint in superconducting quantum processors, whose planar layouts require additional gates to mediate interactions between distant qubits. Here, we use the AshN control scheme, where rich two-qubit control on every nearest-neighbour pair allows a logical interaction and the required qubit routing to be merged into a single native operation, effectively transforming a sparse hardware graph into a more connected computational architecture. For the benchmark instances studied, the resulting synthesis capability enables reliable execution on constrained one- and two-dimensional lattices, with compiled two-qubit gate counts approaching those of an all-to-all-connected reference. Across seven benchmark circuits on one- and two-dimensional topologies, the AshN-based implementation achieves geometric-mean reductions of $45.2\%$ and $43.7\%$ in two-qubit gate count compared with controlled-Z-based compilation, respectively. Using AshN gates, we prepare an eight-qubit two-excitation Dicke state with a fidelity of $0.736$ and certify its genuine multipartite entanglement using a fully positive-partial-transpose witness, whereas the same witness does not certify entanglement for the CZ-based implementation. The state fidelity and entanglement certification remain robust across the tested lattice configurations, including those with up to three connectivity defects. Our work establishes native-gate engineering as a practical approach to mitigating connectivity constraints.

quant-ph↗

arXiv2026

The Calibration Illusion in Traffic Microsimulation

The transportation community seeks to use calibration methods for highway traffic microsimulation. This is a response to the time-consuming and subjective nature of traditional manual calibration, as well as the growing prevalence of data for calibration. This work argues that this "automatic" calibration is largely an illusion. A significant - and unquantified - amount of bespoke manual work is hidden behind these methods. This illusion inhibits a core component of scientific advancement: objective comparison against a shared standard. This impedes evaluation, undermines reproducibility, and fragments research. To address this gap, this paper introduces a comprehensive benchmark designed to simultaneously expose the calibration illusion for highway microsimulation and provide a common ruler. The results across a range of scenarios present a new baseline for what the algorithms can achieve without bespoke tuning, revealing the research gap that remains and providing a tool to advance a cumulative science of calibration. Additional experiments provide insights into the source of calibration errors that arise in large-scale highway calibration relative to the simplified settings under which methods are commonly developed.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2026

Generalized Least Squares Kernelized Tensor Factorization

Recovering incomplete multidimensional tensor-structured data is a fundamental task in many real-world applications. Smoothness-constrained low-rank tensor factorization effectively captures global and long-range correlations, but often struggles to characterize short-scale, high-frequency, or locally varying structures. We propose GLSKF, a complementary Generalized Least Squares Kernelized Tensor Factorization framework, for multidimensional spatiotemporal data completion. GLSKF additively integrates a covariance-regularized low-rank global component with an explicitly modeled locally correlated residual component under a GLS objective, enabling effective modeling of both global dependencies and localized variations. A covariance norm regularizer encodes spatiotemporal dependencies in both components: structured covariances are imposed on the latent factor columns to enforce smoothness in the global factorization, whereas compactly supported sparse kernels are used to model local correlations in the residual. We develop an alternating least squares algorithm with blockwise linear-system updates that exploit the Kronecker structure of the covariance matrices under missing data and facilitate fast conjugate gradient solves. Additional computational gains are obtained by exploiting the sparsity and Toeplitz structure of the local residual covariance matrices for efficient matrix-vector multiplications. We evaluate GLSKF on four real-world multidimensional data-completion tasks: traffic speed imputation, color image completion, digital video recovery, and MRI data reconstruction. Experimental results demonstrate that GLSKF achieves superior reconstruction performance and favorable scalability across a range of tensor completion tasks, supporting its broad applicability to multidimensional data completion.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2026

Overcoming the Modality Gap in Context-Aided Forecasting

Context-aided forecasting (CAF) holds promise for integrating domain knowledge and forward-looking information, enabling AI systems to surpass traditional statistical methods. However, recent empirical studies reveal a puzzling gap: multimodal models often fail to outperform their unimodal counterparts. We hypothesize that this underperformance stems from poor context quality in existing datasets, as verification is challenging. To address these limitations, we introduce a semi-synthetic data augmentation method that generates contexts both descriptive of temporal dynamics and verifiably complementary to numerical histories. This approach enables massive-scale dataset creation, resulting in CAF-7M, a corpus of 7 million context-augmented time series windows, including a rigorously verified test set. We demonstrate that semi-synthetic pre-training transfers effectively to real-world evaluation, and show clear evidence of context utilization. Our results suggest that dataset quality, rather than architectural limitations, has been the primary bottleneck in context-aided forecasting.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

NEST: Tackling Dataset-Level Distribution Shifts via Regime-Oriented Mixture-of-Experts

Accurate long-term forecasting in complex systems is frequently compromised by dataset-level distribution shifts, where diverse underlying behavioral modes and evolving system states drive the dynamic multivariate time-series. While existing methods predominantly focus on local temporal shifts, they fail to explicitly model the global structural challenge where datasets are composites of distinct operational regimes. In this paper, we propose NEST, a specialized framework designed to model and recompose these evolving structures through a two-phase dense MoE architecture. NEST first facilitates structural specialization by partitioning the dataset into distinct operational regimes through unsupervised clustering in a principled moment-entropy space. We introduce a regime-oriented router mechanism that generates initial expert weights based on temporal content, subsequently refined through geometric modulation to regime centroids. Crucially, rather than acting as monolithic predictors, individual experts function as specialized kernels that capture regime-specific dynamics by evolving unique variate-attention patterns. Extensive evaluations on diverse benchmarks, including heterogeneous network traffic and physical phenomena, demonstrate that NEST consistently achieves state-of-the-art performance. Our code and datasets are available at https://github.com/Aaralshin/NEST

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

LLMSynthor: Macro-Aligned Micro-Records Synthesis with Large Language Models

Macro-aligned micro-records are crucial for credible simulations in social science and urban studies. For example, epidemic models are only reliable when individual-level mobility and contacts mirror real behavior, while aggregates match real-world statistics like case counts or travel flows. However, collecting such fine-grained data at scale is impractical, leaving researchers with only macro-level data. LLMSynthor addresses this by turning a pretrained LLM into a macro-aware simulator that generates realistic micro-records consistent with target macro-statistics. It iteratively builds synthetic datasets: in each step, the LLM generates batches of records to minimize discrepancies between synthetic and target aggregates. Treating the LLM as a nonparametric copula allows the model to capture realistic joint dependencies among variables. To improve efficiency, LLM Proposal Sampling guides the LLM to propose targeted record batches, specifying variable ranges and counts, to efficiently correct discrepancies while preserving realism grounded in the model's priors. Evaluations across domains (mobility, e-commerce, population) show that LLMSynthor achieves strong realism, statistical fidelity, and practical utility, making it broadly applicable to economics, social science, and urban studies.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

MobEvolve: An Agentic Self-Evolving Heuristic System for Interpretable Human Mobility Generation

Human mobility generation aims to synthesize realistic trip chains for target populations based on individual features. Existing paradigms, including deep generative models, LLM-based methods, and traditional heuristics, struggle to satisfy the complex demands of this task while simultaneously maintaining interpretability, behavioral plausibility, population-level distributional alignment, and inference efficiency. To bridge this gap, we introduce MobEvolve, the first agentic self-evolving heuristic framework for human mobility generation. MobEvolve initializes a behavior-inspired heuristic system and employs an LLM agent to iteratively evolve its internal logic. By diagnosing empirical misalignments and failure cases on a validation set, the agent proposes targeted updates and accumulates evolution memory for cumulative self-improvement. Extensive evaluations on the Singapore and Montreal benchmarks demonstrate that MobEvolve significantly outperforms state-of-the-art deep generative and LLM-based methods in individual trajectory fidelity, population-level distribution alignment, and behavioral plausibility, while preserving interpretability and high inference efficiency.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

E3AD: An Emotion-Aware Vision-Language-Action Model for Human-Centric End-to-End Autonomous Driving

End-to-end autonomous driving (AD) systems increasingly adopt vision-language-action (VLA) models, yet they typically ignore the passenger's emotional state, which is central to comfort and AD acceptance. We introduce Open-Domain End-to-End (OD-E2E) autonomous driving, where an autonomous vehicle (AV) must interpret free-form natural-language commands, infer the emotion, and plan a physically feasible trajectory. We propose E3AD, an emotion-aware VLA framework that augments semantic understanding with two cognitively inspired components: a continuous Valenc-Arousal-Dominance (VAD) emotion model that captures tone and urgency from language, and a dual-pathway spatial reasoning module that fuses egocentric and allocentric views for human-like spatial cognition. A consistency-oriented training scheme, combining modality pretraining with preference-based alignment, further enforces coherence between emotional intent and driving actions. Across real-world datasets, E3AD improves visual grounding and waypoint planning and achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) VAD correlation for emotion estimation. These evaluation results show that injecting emotion into VLA-style driving yields more human-aligned grounding, planning, and feedback.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Reasoning-preserved Efficient Distillation of Large Language Models via Activation-aware Initialization

Efficient Distillation (EDistill) compresses large language models (LLMs) by structured pruning parameters and tuning lightweight modules with high training efficiency. Although these EDistilled LLMs achieve state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance on general ability benchmarks relative to similarly sized LLMs, we identify a severe degradation in their multi-step reasoning ability, which we term reasoning collapse. We systematically analyze the geometric origins of reasoning collapse and show that the SOTA EDistill method based on width-reducing projection matrices suffers from eRank collapse, in which the effective rank (eRank) of hidden representations drops. We theoretically explain how singular values of randomly initialized projection matrices become unevenly distributed, leading to eRank collapse and thus token indistinguishability. To address this issue, we propose RED (Reasoning-preserved Efficient Distillation) for LLMs, which introduces activation-aware initialization to initialize projection matrices as channel-selection matrices, thus theoretically mitigating eRank collapse. Experiments on Llama and Qwen series demonstrate that RED substantially recovers reasoning while maintaining high training efficiency and SOTA general ability.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Dr-CiK: A Testbed for Foresight-Driven Agents

Time series forecasting in real-world settings often depends not only on historical observations, but also on external context that must be actively discovered from noisy, heterogeneous information sources. Yet existing context-aided forecasting benchmarks typically assume that the supporting context is already provided, leaving open whether agents can identify it on their own. Therefore, we introduce Dr-CiK, a benchmark for evaluating whether agents can retrieve forecasting-relevant supporting context from a document corpus, filter out distractors, distill the retrieved context into forecast-useful evidence, and generate forecasts supported by that evidence. Through context ablations and evaluations of state-of-the-art deep research and forecasting methods paired together, we show that high-quality context substantially improves forecasting performance in Dr-CiK. However, most existing DR agents recover only a small fraction of the ground-truth supporting evidence (usually <5%), are frequently misled by distractors (>80% distractor citations), and can cause forecasters to perform worse with retrieved context than without context. Our results motivate research on foresight-driven agents that search for the right context to predict the future.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Bridge: Retrieval-Augmented Spatiotemporal Modeling for Urban Delivery Demand

Forecasting urban delivery demand becomes substantially more challenging when newly added service regions lack historical records. Existing spatiotemporal forecasters effectively model spatial dependence once sufficient node histories are available. Still, they remain parametric and therefore struggle to recover short-term operational dynamics in cold-start regions. Geospatial embeddings help identify where a region is and what function it serves, yet they do not directly reveal how a similar region behaves under a comparable temporal context. We propose Bridge, a retrieval-augmented spatiotemporal graph framework that combines an inductive contextual graph backbone with a time-aware memory of region-time windows. For each target region, Bridge retrieves future demand patterns from the memory using both regional context and recent dynamics, and refines the backbone forecast through a gated fusion mechanism. To align retrieval with forecasting utility, we further train the retriever with a future-aware objective that favors entries whose future trajectories best match the target. Experiments on four real-world delivery datasets show that Bridge consistently improves over competitive spatiotemporal baselines in both within-city cold-start and cross-city transfer with partial observations. The results show that retrieval augmentation provides a useful operational memory for cold-start urban demand forecasting when parametric graph generalization alone is insufficient.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Mixing plant for JUNO liquid scintillator: Design, construction, installation and commissioning

The most challenging part of building the Jiangmen Underground Neutrino Observatory (JUNO) is the production of 20 kilotons of ultra pure Liquid Scintillator (LS). This paper presents the design, construction, installation, and commissioning of the LS Mixing Plant, a core facility dedicated to blending the primary organic solvent (LAB) with essential functional solutes (PPO, bis-MSB, and BHT). The main purpose of the Mixing Plant is to prepare and purify the concentrated Master Solution (MS) to achieve a low radioactive contamination background. The amount of radioactive contaminants in the MS are lowered by approximately two orders of magnitude after acid and water extraction, followed by a multi-stage filtration procedure. The purified MS is mixed with LAB and then diluted into the LS for JUNO experiments. Commissioning results of the LS verify that the Mixing Plant achieved its design goal, delivering ultra pure LS that satisfies the stringent radiopurity requirements for neutrino physics.

physics.ins-det↗

arXiv2026

An Empirical Study of Multi-Agent Collaboration for Automated Research

As AI agents evolve, the community is rapidly shifting from single Large Language Models (LLMs) to Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) to overcome cognitive bottlenecks in automated research. However, the optimal multi-agent coordination framework for these autonomous agents remains largely unexplored. In this paper, we present a systematic empirical study investigating the comparative efficacy of distinct multi-agent structures for automated machine learning optimization. Utilizing a rigorously controlled, execution-based testbed equipped with Git worktree isolation and explicit global memory, we benchmark a single-agent baseline against two multi-agent paradigms: a subagent architecture (parallel exploration with post-hoc consolidation) and an agent team architecture (experts with pre-execution handoffs). By evaluating these systems under strictly fixed computational time budgets, our findings reveal a fundamental trade-off between operational stability and theoretical deliberation. The subagent mode functions as a highly resilient, high-throughput search engine optimal for broad, shallow optimizations under strict time constraints. Conversely, the agent team topology exhibits higher operational fragility due to multi-author code generation but achieves the deep theoretical alignment necessary for complex architectural refactoring given extended compute budgets. These empirical insights provide actionable guidelines for designing future autoresearch systems, advocating for dynamically routed architectures that adapt their collaborative structures to real-time task complexity.

cs.MA↗

arXiv2026

ADV-0: Closed-Loop Min-Max Adversarial Training for Long-Tail Robustness in Autonomous Driving

Deploying autonomous driving systems requires robustness against long-tail scenarios that are rare but safety-critical. While adversarial training offers a promising solution, existing methods typically decouple scenario generation from policy optimization and rely on heuristic surrogates. This leads to objective misalignment and fails to capture the shifting failure modes of evolving policies. This paper presents ADV-0, a closed-loop min-max optimization framework that treats the interaction between driving policy (defender) and adversarial agent (attacker) as a zero-sum Markov game. By aligning the attacker's utility directly with the defender's objective, we reveal the optimal adversary distribution. To make this tractable, we cast dynamic adversary evolution as iterative preference learning, efficiently approximating this optimum and offering an algorithm-agnostic solution to the game. Theoretically, ADV-0 converges to a Nash Equilibrium and maximizes a certified lower bound on real-world performance. Experiments indicate that it effectively exposes diverse safety-critical failures and greatly enhances the generalizability of both learned policies and motion planners against unseen long-tail risks.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Active Simulation-Based Inference for Scalable Car-Following Model Calibration

Credible microscopic traffic simulation requires car-following models that capture both the average response and the substantial variability observed across drivers and situations. However, most data-driven calibrations remain deterministic, producing a single best-fit parameter vector and offering limited guidance for uncertainty-aware prediction, risk-sensitive evaluation, and population-level simulation. Bayesian calibration addresses this gap by inferring a posterior distribution over parameters, but per-trajectory sampling methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) are computationally infeasible for modern large-scale naturalistic driving datasets. This paper proposes an active simulation-based inference framework for scalable car-following model calibration. The approach combines (i) a residual-augmented car-following simulator with two alternatives for the residual process and (ii) an amortized conditional density estimator that maps an observed leader--follower trajectory directly to a driver-specific posterior over model parameters with a single forward pass at test time. To reduce simulation cost during training, we introduce a joint active design strategy that selects informative parameter proposals together with representative driving contexts, focusing simulations where the current inference model is most uncertain while maintaining realism. Experiments on the HighD dataset show improved predictive accuracy and closer agreement between simulated and observed trajectory distributions relative to Bayesian calibration baselines, with convergence and ablation studies supporting the robustness of the proposed design choices. The framework enables scalable, uncertainty-aware driver population modeling for traffic flow simulation and risk-sensitive transportation analysis.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2026

When Context Is Not Enough: Modeling Unexplained Variability in Car-Following Behavior

Modeling car-following behavior is fundamental to microscopic traffic simulation, yet traditional deterministic models often fail to capture the full extent of variability and unpredictability in human driving. While many modern approaches incorporate context-aware inputs (e.g., spacing, speed, relative speed), they frequently overlook structured stochasticity that arises from latent driver intentions, perception errors, and memory effects -- factors that are not directly observable from context alone. To fill the gap, this study introduces an interpretable stochastic modeling framework that captures not only context-dependent dynamics but also residual variability beyond what context can explain. Leveraging deep neural networks integrated with nonstationary Gaussian processes (GPs), our model employs a scenario-adaptive Gibbs kernel to learn dynamic temporal correlations in acceleration decisions, where the strength and duration of correlations between acceleration decisions evolve with the driving context. This formulation enables a principled, data-driven quantification of uncertainty in acceleration, speed, and spacing, grounded in both observable context and latent behavioral variability. Comprehensive experiments on the naturalistic vehicle trajectory dataset collected from the German highway, i.e., the HighD dataset, demonstrate that the proposed stochastic simulation method within this framework surpasses conventional methods in both predictive performance and interpretable uncertainty quantification. The integration of interpretability and accuracy makes this framework a promising tool for traffic analysis and safety-critical applications.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2026

Link Representation Learning for Probabilistic Travel Time Estimation

Travel time estimation is a key task in navigation apps and web mapping services. Existing deterministic and probabilistic methods, based on the assumption of trip independence, predominantly focus on modeling individual trips while overlooking trip correlations. However, real-world conditions frequently introduce strong correlations between trips, influenced by external and internal factors such as weather and the tendencies of drivers. To address this, we propose a deep hierarchical joint probabilistic model ProbETA for travel time estimation, capturing both inter-trip and intra-trip correlations. The joint distribution of travel times across multiple trips is modeled as a low-rank multivariate Gaussian, parameterized by learnable link representations estimated using the empirical Bayes approach. We also introduce a data augmentation method based on trip sub-sampling, allowing for fine-grained gradient backpropagation when learning link representations. During inference, our model estimates the probability distribution of travel time for a queried trip, conditional on spatiotemporally adjacent completed trips. Evaluation on two real-world GPS trajectory datasets demonstrates that ProbETA outperforms state-of-the-art deterministic and probabilistic baselines, with Mean Absolute Percentage Error decreasing by over 12.60%. Moreover, the learned link representations align with the physical network geometry, potentially making them applicable for other tasks.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

MCGA: Mixture of Codebooks Hyperspectral Reconstruction via Grayscale-Aware Attention

Reconstructing hyperspectral images (HSIs) from RGB inputs provides a cost-effective alternative to hyperspectral cameras, but reconstructing high-dimensional spectra from three channels is inherently ill-posed. Existing methods typically directly regress RGB-to-HSI mappings using large attention networks, which are computationally expensive and handle ill-posedness only implicitly. We propose MCGA, a Mixture-of-Codebooks with Grayscale-aware Attention framework that explicitly addresses these challenges using spectral priors and photometric consistency. MCGA first learns transferable spectral priors via a mixture-of-codebooks (MoC) from heterogeneous HSI datasets, then aligns RGB features with these priors through grayscale-aware photometric attention (GANet). Efficiency and robustness are further improved via top-K attention design and test-time adaptation (TTA). Experiments on multiple real-world benchmarks demonstrate the state-of-the-art accuracy, strong cross-dataset generalization, and 4-5x faster inference. Codes will be available once acceptance at https://github.com/Fibonaccirabbit/MCGA.

cs.CV↗