arXiv subjects

Lumen Boco

Publications and source records attributed to Lumen Boco.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Cosmography with DESI-DR1 Cosmic Chronometers: Direct H(z) measurements from Luminous Red Galaxy ages

Providing robust redshift estimates for almost 3 million luminous red galaxies (LRGs), the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) offers a unique opportunity to test the expansion rate of the Universe with independent approaches. We apply the cosmic chronometer method to derive new, independent constraints on the Hubble parameter at 0.3<z<1.2 from the differential age evolution of DESI LRGs. We select spectra applying spectroscopic cuts to ensure sample purity and remove contamination by star-forming objects, then build a robust sample of cosmic chronometers (CCs) by stacking to obtain stable, high signal-to-noise (S/N) spectra, which also serves as a democratic binning choice for the $t-z$ plane. Ages are estimated by measuring Lick indices on the stacked spectra and fitting them with a theoretical stellar population model. We obtain $t-z$ relations from which we derive $H(z)$ constraints via two independent approaches: a fit with a pivotal-redshift cosmography, and a direct estimate from the original CC method. The cosmographic fit yields posteriors for the kinematic parameters $\{H_{z_0}, q_{z_0}, j_{z_0}\}$ compatible with currently considered cosmologies, giving a precision-level estimate of $H(z)$. We provide the maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) $H(z)$ estimate, an array of the median confidence region in the $H-z$ plane, and its covariance matrix. We also leverage the redshift distributions of the $t-z$ relation for different velocity dispersion groups to obtain two independent local measurements using the discrete approximation $H(z) \approx -Δz/[Δt (1+z)]$; the one from the reddest envelope of CCs gives $H(z \approx 0.61) = 88.5^{+6.7}_{-12.6}$ (stat.) $\pm 8.1$ (syst.) km s$^{-1}$ Mpc$^{-1}$. Systematic uncertainties for both the cosmographic and discrete $H(z)$ measurements come from a comprehensive analysis of all methodological choices in the data treatment.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Cosmic merger rates and population evolution of binary black hole mergers in AGN disks

Active galactic nuclei (AGN) disks are promising sites for hierarchical binary black hole (BBH) mergers, which next-generation gravitational-wave detectors will probe out to high redshift. Predicting their contribution requires linking BBH evolution in AGN disks to the poorly constrained high-redshift evolution of active supermassive black holes (SMBHs). We introduce ARISE (AGN Rates and Intrinsic Stellar-BH Evolution), a framework that embeds semi-analytical models of BBH evolution in AGN disks into a cosmological description of the AGN number density, SMBH mass function, Eddington-ratio distribution, and nuclear metallicity. We consider a conservative AGN-abundance model anchored to observed luminosity functions, as well as Eddington-limited and super-Eddington scenarios based on the CAT cosmological model, compatible with JWST observations of high-redshift AGNs. The merger-rate density is set primarily by the disk viscosity parameter $α$: at $z = 0.2$, we find a rate of $12$--$37$ Gpc$^{-3}$ yr$^{-1}$ for $α= 0.01$ and $0.5$--$6$ Gpc$^{-3}$ yr$^{-1}$ for $α= 0.1$. The redshift evolution depends strongly on how SMBHs grow. The rate density peaks at $z \simeq 1.8$, $3.3$, and $3.9$ ($1.5$, $3.6$, and $3.9$) for $α=0.01$ ($0.1$) in the conservative, Eddington-limited, and super-Eddington models, respectively, and in the super-Eddington model it stays nearly flat out to $z \simeq 10$. For $α= 0.1$, AGN disks account for $\sim 2$--$40\%$ of the LVK-inferred merger rate, consistent with current upper limits from GW--AGN associations. For $α= 0.01$, they match or exceed it. The Einstein Telescope (ET) should detect $\sim 10^{5}$ ($\sim 10^{4}$) AGN-disk mergers per year for $α= 0.01$ ($0.1$). ET will test the AGN channel at redshifts where the AGN population models differ most strongly, providing independent constraints on the growth of early SMBHs.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

Can current models predict the local black hole merger rate?

After four observational runs, the Ligo-Virgo-Kagra collaboration estimated a local binary black hole (BBH) merger rate density of $R_{0,\textrm{LVK}}\simeq 14-26\,\textrm{Gpc}^{-3}\,\textrm{yr}^{-1}$ within the 90% credible interval. Some previous studies already pointed out that, when a realistic evolution of the metallicity-dependent cosmic star formation rate density (SFRD) is adopted, theoretical models predict a local BBH merger rate density that exceeds the observed value by at least a factor of $\sim 10$. In this paper, we confirm and strengthen this claim by constructing an empirical model for the SFRD and metallicity evolution that includes a correction accounting for iron abundance. The adopted metallicity relation is flexible, enabling us to bracket the wide range of observational uncertainties. We show that, even under the most conservative assumptions regarding both the SFRD and the metallicity relation, the local BBH merger rate density is overestimated by a factor $> 10$. Attempts to reconcile the predicted and observed merger rates by modifying only the metallicity-dependent SFRD would require unrealistically high metallicities ($Z>Z_\odot$) even in low-mass galaxies at high redshift. This finding indicates that revisions to the treatment of stellar and binary evolution are necessary to achieve consistency between theoretical predictions and observations. We suggest that even a modest steepening of the delay-time distribution could help alleviate this tension.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

A binary black hole merger rate comparison within the same metallicity-star formation rate framework

Recent studies have suggested that binary population synthesis models, when coupled with observationally based, metallicity-dependent SFRD, overpredict the observed local BBH merger rate density. The significance of this tension might vary depending on the specific code and parameters adopted. Thus, a more extensive exploration of the parameter space is required. Here, we perform such an extended analysis. We first carry out a comprehensive analysis by using a large set of BBH merger efficiencies across a wide range of physical assumptions, parameters, and initial conditions. We combine these efficiencies with an observationally motivated SFRD and explore 18 metallicity variations to encompass observational uncertainties. We find that the tension between predicted and observed BBH merger rate density persists: in 17 out of 18 metallicity variations none of the models considered predicts a local BBH merger rate within or below the observed 90% credible interval. Even in the most favorable metallicity variation, only <10% of the models are consistent with the observational constraints. Then, we perform a full calculation, including a self-consistent delay time distribution, for the models yielding the lowest BBH merger rate densities. This analysis confirms that even the most conservative models overpredict the observed local BBH merger rate for almost all the metallicity variations. We show that the inclusion of the low-metallicity tail contributed by low-mass galaxies and starbursts, together with a treatment of iron rather than oxygen abundance, systematically shift the predicted rates toward higher values. Consequently, even literature models that predict moderate BBH merger rates can instead produce substantially higher rates when coupled to an observationally motivated SFRD.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

N/O-enhanced chemical enrichment by massive stars: the interplay of optically-thick winds and rotation

Recent JWST observations have revealed a sample of high-$z$ galaxies with highly enhanced N/O abundance ratios, $\log\rm (N/O)\gtrsim -1.1$. Strong optically-thick winds of rotating massive stars going through the Wolf-Rayet (WR) phase provide a viable explanation for such N/O enhancements, supported by the direct spectroscopic WR signatures discovered in a few galaxies. Such strong winds are also needed to reproduce the single WR stars in the Small Magellanic Cloud (SMC). Here, we compute the metal yields of massive ($\sim 20-100\ \rm M_\odot$), metal-poor stars using two sets of MESA single stellar evolution models with and without optically-thick winds in a dense grid of metallicities ($Z_\star\sim 0.001-0.0045$) and initial spins ($ω\equivΩ/Ω_{\rm crit}\sim 0-0.7$). Considering an initial spin distribution based on observations of O-type stars in the SMC, we find that both sets produce strong N/O enhancements up to $\rm \log(N/O)\sim 0.1$ within a few Myr after a starburst. The models with optically-thick winds undergo a rapid transition from high N/O to the `normal' state of $\rm \log(N/O)\sim -1.5$ at $t\sim 3-4$ Myr driven by C/O-rich winds, while the transition is slower and weaker without optically-thick winds. The optically-thick-wind scenario can reproduce the nebular C, N, O, and He abundance patterns of three representative high-$z$ galaxies showing direct WR signatures: RXCJ2248-ID, Sunburst Arc, and MARTA 4327, with stellar metallicities and ages similar to those inferred from SED-fitting. This can be interpreted as a coherent evolution sequence captured before ($t\lesssim 3$ Myr), during ($t\sim 3-4$ Myr), and after ($t\gtrsim 5$ Myr) the transition. In contrast, the optically-thin-wind-only scenario ejects much less C and O via winds and cannot reproduce Sunburst Arc and MARTA 4327. The yields are available at https://zenodo.org/records/22897057.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

Shaping binary black hole merger efficiency with gravitational wave observations

Gravitational wave (GW) astronomy offers unprecedented insights into binary black hole (BBH) coalescence. However, many of the key quantities involved remain inaccessible to direct observations. The BBH merger rate density is deeply linked to both the merger efficiency and the distribution of delay time between binary formation and merger, neither of which is directly constrained by observations. Disentangling their impact on the merger rate represents a highly non-trivial endeavour. Here we present a semi-parametric BBH population model, based on population synthesis simulations of both isolated and dynamically-formed BBHs, anchored on an observation-driven, metallicity-dependent star formation history. We parametrise the merger efficiency of these two formation channels, fitting the model to GW events from the Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog 5.0 within a hierarchical Bayesian framework. Our analysis suggests that the isolated BBH merger efficiency should be lowered by a factor $\mathcal{O}(10)$ relative to standard population synthesis results. The dynamical channel requires an efficiency more than an order of magnitude larger than the isolated one to reproduce current GW observations. Nevertheless, we find that the two channels provide comparable contributions to the observed number of events. Finally, we introduce a parametrisation for the delay time distribution of the isolated BBHs. We derive a distribution consistent with the observed local merger rate and show its degeneracy with the merger efficiency.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

StAGE: Stellar Archaeology-driven Galaxy Evolution II. Binary Black Hole Mergers in Quiescent Galaxies and their Star-forming Progenitors

We apply StAGE, a data-driven galaxy-evolution framework based on stellar archaeology, to study binary black hole (BBH) mergers in quiescent galaxies (QGs) and their star-forming progenitors. We combine StAGE star-formation and chemical-enrichment histories with pre-computed SEVN binary population-synthesis catalogs to derive the BBH merger-rate density, its dependence on intrinsic binary and host-galaxy properties, and the associated stochastic gravitational-wave (GW) background. We assess uncertainties related to stellar-archaeology prescriptions, common-envelope evolution, and $α$-enhanced abundances. We find that QGs and their progenitors can contribute a sizeable fraction of the cosmic BBH merger rate. For most of the binary-evolution prescriptions explored here, we highlight a tension with the local LVK-inferred merger rates, underscoring the need to revisit some assumptions in the underlying modeling. Most BBHs form at moderately subsolar metallicities, $Z\lesssim Z_\odot/3$, while their merger-time hosts typically have stellar masses $M_\star\lesssim10^{11}\,M_\odot$. At $z\gtrsim2$, hosts lie mainly on the galaxy main sequence, whereas starbursting and quenching descendants contribute increasingly toward lower redshift. Isolated binaries broadly reproduce the observed bulk of the primary- and chirp-mass distributions, but the predictions decline rapidly above $\sim 40-50\,M_\odot$, providing little support for the highest-mass systems inferred by LVK. Dynamical formation in young and globular clusters can populate this regime, but also increases the total merger-rate density, exacerbating the tension with LVK for the fiducial cluster normalizations adopted here. Finally, the predicted stochastic background approaches the projected sensitivity of planned LVK upgrades and lies within reach of the Einstein Telescope.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

The Stellar Winds Atlas II: Black Hole Formation at Solar Metallicity

Stellar winds are a primary source of uncertainty in predicting the masses of black holes (BHs) from massive stars. At solar metallicity, theoretical models lead to widely divergent results due to differing wind prescriptions. A key obstacle remains the lack of systematic investigations across a common parameter space. To address this, we construct a ``Wind Atlas'' using detailed 1D MESA stellar evolution models and population synthesis techniques to estimate the Galactic population of solar metallicity BH progenitors. We systematically investigate 14 distinct wind models, ranging from the most traditional and widespread prescriptions to the most recent. By evaluating stellar evolution across this extensive grid, we show that the final BH mass is dictated by a fundamental bifurcation: whether a star collapses as a cool supergiant or is first stripped of its envelope to become a Wolf-Rayet (WR) star. If a star enters the WR stage, its strong thick winds dominate, making the final mass sensitive to the WR wind prescription while largely erasing the memory of its prior mass-loss history. Conversely, stars that face core collapse as supergiants form significantly more massive BHs, producing a mass peak around an initial mass of 40 $M_\odot$. Rather than simply reproducing these divergent outcomes, our comprehensive evaluation demonstrates that this bifurcation is universally controlled by the highly uncertain mass loss during the cool supergiant phase. This framework strongly constrains the problem of BH mass prediction by identifying two key bottlenecks for future studies: envelope stripping efficiency and WR mass-loss rates. Our atlas provides a clear baseline for interpreting current theoretical discrepancies and testing wind models against observational constraints, such as the Galactic WR/OB population ratio.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2026

How galaxies acquire their stellar mass at high redshift: High star formation efficiencies and the relative roles of dust and initial mass function

JWST has measured an unprecedented abundance of galaxies above $z\gtrsim 4-5$, whose formation and evolution are still difficult to reconcile within traditional galaxy evolution models in a $Λ$CDM framework. Here, we present a study on the star formation histories of these high-redshift galaxies between $z\simeq5-12$ via a data-driven semi-empirical model that uses the observed UV LFs as input to retrieve SFRs, naturally bypassing any uncertain modelling of cooling, feedback and/or stochastic processes. Galaxy stellar masses are progressively built in time by integrating their SFRs assigned along their progenitor haloes via the SFR-halo accretion rate relation, derived from abundance matching between the input observed UV LFs with the dark matter halo accretion rate distributions at each redshift. This makes the SFEs a full prediction of the model rather than a tuned input, serving as a natural baseline to test burstiness, dust attenuation, or IMF variations. Our approach naturally reproduces the total stellar mass function, the large-scale clustering, and the star-forming main sequence. We find that massive galaxies grew their stellar mass with a bursty star formation at $z\sim9-10$, broadly in agreement with the star formation histories inferred from spectral energy distribution fitting, with the SFE reaching high peaks of $0.8-0.9$ at $z>9$ and lowering to standard values of $0.2-0.3$ below $z\lesssim9$. We find that the presence of dust could enhance the predicted SFRs at $z\lesssim8$, better reproducing the observed SFRs of massive dusty galaxies, and increase the SFEs to values close to or even above unity at $z \gtrsim 8$. Finally, switching to top-heavy IMFs reduces the SFEs by a factor of $2-3$, highlighting the need for a variable IMF as an inevitable ingredient in the evolution of galaxies at high redshifts to avoid unphysical SFEs, especially in the presence of dust.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

The impact of stellar binaries and star cluster dynamics on pair-instability supernovae

Pair-instability supernovae (PISNe) are among the most luminous transients in the Universe. However, they have never been confidently observed. Solving this puzzle would have key implications for several astrophysical topics, including galaxy chemical enrichment, the interpretation of gravitational waves from binary black hole mergers, and the nature of red dropout sources seen by JWST. With this aim, we present the first in-depth study of PISN occurrence in binary stars, both in isolation and in dense star clusters. We employ the SEVN code, with PARSEC stellar tracks, to evolve a suite of 35 synthetic binary populations, including variations on formation channels, cluster properties, and upper limit of the stellar initial mass function. We find that binary interactions can boost the PISN rate by up to threefold, relative to single stars, whereas binary hardening can either enhance or suppress PISN production, depending on whether the progenitors are primordial or dynamically formed. Moreover, we showcase how our comprehensive framework for the cosmic PISN rate can be used to constrain uncertain aspects of stellar and galaxy evolution models, via comparison with observations, including the recipes for stellar-wind mass loss in very-massive stars, and the galaxy metallicity distribution throughout the Universe.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

Impact of initial mass function on the chemical evolution of high-redshift galaxies

Recent observations by the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) have found evidence for an invariant relation between stellar mass, metallicity, and star formation rate up to $z\sim 8$ and its breakdown at higher redshifts. Understanding the underlying physics driving such correlations is thus crucial. Here, we explore the impact of the initial mass function (IMF) on the chemical evolution of high-redshift galaxies. Indeed, star formation and metal enrichment in galaxies are regulated by supernova (SN) explosions and metal yields from massive stars, which are sensitive to the high-mass end of the IMF. Using the semi-analytical galaxy evolution code \textsc{a-sloth}, we follow galactic baryon cycles along merger trees built from a high-resolution cosmological simulation. Stellar feedback is modeled with up-to-date stellar evolution tracks covering the full metallicity range ($Z \sim 10^{-11} - 0.03$) and a broad stellar mass range ($m_\star\sim2 - 600\ \rm M_\odot$), including metal yields from stellar winds, core-collapse SNe, (pulsational) pair-instability SNe, and Type Ia SNe. Assuming a Kroupa-like IMF with a varying upper mass limit $m_{\max}$, we find that only models with $m_{\max} \gtrsim 200\ \rm M_\odot$ can simultaneously reproduce the observed mass-metallicity-star formation rate relation and cosmic star formation history at $z\gtrsim 4$ owing to enhanced metal yields from pair-instability SNe. Our results confirm that very massive ($\gtrsim 200\ \rm M_\odot$) stars and pair-instability SNe play an important role in the star formation and chemical enrichment histories of high-$z$ galaxies. They also have profound implications for electromagnetic transients and gravitational-wave events.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

Optically thick winds of very massive stars suppress intermediate-mass black hole formation

Intermediate-mass black holes (IMBHs) are the link between stellar-mass and supermassive black holes. Gravitational waves have started unveiling a population of IMBHs in the $\sim 100-300 \, \mathrm{M_{\odot}}$ range. Here, we investigate the formation of IMBHs from non-rotating very massive stars (VMSs, $>100\,{} \mathrm{M_{\odot}}$). We calculate new VMS models that account for the transition from optically thin to optically thick winds, and study how this enhanced mass loss affects IMBH formation and the black hole mass function at intermediate and high metallicity ($Z=10^{-4}-0.02$). We show that optically thick winds suppress the formation of IMBHs from direct VMS collapse at metallicities $Z>0.001$, one order of magnitude lower than predicted by previous models. Our models indicate that the stellar progenitors of GW231123 must have had a metallicity $Z<0.002$, if the primary black hole formed via direct VMS collapse.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

The role of black hole feedback on galaxy star formation and the degeneracy with halo quenching

The interplay between the accretion of supermassive black holes (SMBHs) and the stellar mass growth of the host galaxies is still a matter of hot debate. The accretion of the SMBHs is expected to release energy under the form of AGNs. This energy is believed to impact the star formation activity and contribute to the quenching of galaxies. Here, we address this key unsolved issue with our cosmological semi-empirical model DECODE. In DECODE, we grow galaxies with their SFR linked to halo accretion rate distributions via abundance matching. SMBHs are evolved following the stellar mass growth of their host galaxies by assigning an accretion rate at each redshift from the empirical Eddington ratio distributions and duty cycles. We test the assumption that galaxies permanently quench when their central SMBHs approach the limit imposed by the observed $M_{\rm BH} - σ_\star$ relation, as a proxy of SMBH disruptive feedback. We find that simply imposing the $M_{\rm BH} - σ_\star$ condition is sufficient to generate a fraction of quenched galaxies consistent with current data, including the newest ones from Euclid. In addition, our minimal, data-driven model, also predicts SMBH scaling relations consistent in slope and normalisation with those observed, and an $M_{\rm BH} - M_\star$ relation weakly evolving with redshift. The model also naturally generates SMBH accretion rates peaking within 1 Gyr of their host SFHs. We note that all the main predictions on galaxy quenched fractions and SMBH growth histories and scaling relations are degenerate with those expected in a halo quenching model. The comprehensive data-driven model presented in this work represents an invaluable tool to investigate SMBH demography across time and environments in an accurate, physically motivated manner, ideally suited to rapidly explore the implications from large surveys, such as Euclid and Rubin-LSST.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

Metal-poor single Wolf-Rayet stars: The interplay of optically thick winds and rotation

The Small Magellanic Cloud (SMC) hosts 12 known Wolf-Rayet (WR) stars, seven of which are apparently single. Their formation is a challenge for current stellar evolution models because line-driven winds are generally assumed to be quenched at a metallicity of Z < 0.004. Here, we present a set of mesa models of single stars with zero-age main sequence masses of 20 - 80 Msun considering different initial rotation speeds (Ω = 0 - 0.7 Ω_c), metallicities (Z = 0.002 - 0.0045), and wind mass-loss models (optically thin and thick winds). We show that if we account for optically thick winds, fast rotating (Ω = 0.6 Ω_c) single metal-poor O-type stars (with M > 20 Msun) shed their envelope and become WR stars even at the low metallicity of the SMC. The luminosity, effective temperature, evolutionary timescale, surface abundance, and rotational velocity of our simulated WR stars are compatible to the WRs observed in the SMC. We speculate that this scenario can also alleviate the excess of giant stars across the Humphreys-Davidson limit. Our results have key implications for black hole masses, (pair instability) supernova explosions, and other observable signatures.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2025

Semi-empirical Framework of Supermassive Black Hole Evolution: Highlighting a possible tension between Demographics and Gravitational Wave Background

The evolution of the supermassive Black Hole (BH) population across cosmic times remains a central unresolved issue in modern astrophysics, due to the many noticeable uncertainties in the involved physical processes that span a huge range of spatial, temporal and energy scales. Here we tackle the problem via a semi-empirical approach with minimal assumptions and data-driven inputs. This is based on a continuity plus Smoluchowski equation framework that allows to unitarily describe the two primary modes of BH growth: gas accretion and binary mergers. Key quantities related to the latter processes are incorporated through educated parameterizations, and then constrained in a Bayesian setup from joint observational estimates of the local BH mass function, of the large-scale BH clustering, and of the nano-Hz stochastic gravitational wave (GW) background measured from Pulsar Timimg Array (PTA) experiments. We find that the BH accretion-related parameters are strongly dependent on the local BH mass function determination: higher normalizations and flatter high-mass slopes in the latter imply lower radiative efficiencies and mean Eddington ratios with a stronger redshift evolution. Additionally, the binary BH merger rate is estimated to be a fraction $\lesssim 10^{-1}$ of the galaxy merger rate derived from galaxy pairs counts by \texttt{JWST}, and constrained not to exceed the latter at $\gtrsim 2σ$. Relatedly, we highlight hints of a possible tension between current constraints on BH demographics and the interpretation of the nano-Hz GW background as predominantly caused by binary BH mergers. Specifically, we bound the latter's contribution to $\lesssim 30-50\%$ at $\sim 3σ$, suggesting that additional astrophysical/cosmological sources are needed to explain the residual part of the signal measured by PTA experiments.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

Cosmography via stellar archaeology of low-redshift early-type galaxies from SDSS

Cosmic chronometers offer a model-independent way to trace the expansion history of the Universe via the dating of passively evolving objects. This enables testing the validity of cosmological models without concrete assumptions of their energy content. The main goal of this work is to derive model-independent constraints on the Hubble parameter up to $z \sim 0.4$ using stellar ages from the fitting of Lick index absorption lines in passively evolving galaxies. Contrary to recent related works that rely on finite differences to obtain a discrete measurement of the expansion of the Universe at an average redshift, our goal is to perform a cosmographic fit of $H(z)$ in terms of the Hubble constant ($H_0$) and the deceleration ($q_0$) and jerk ($j_0$) parameters. We carefully select spectra of massive and passively evolving galaxies from the SDSS Legacy Survey. After applying a stacking procedure to ensure a high signal-to-noise ratio, the strength of Lick indices is fit using two stellar population models (TMJ and Knowles) to derive stellar population parameters. A cosmographic fit to the stellar ages is performed, which in turn enables the sampling of the Hubble parameter within the considered redshift range. The baseline result comes from using the TMJ-modelled ages, and it yields a value of $H_0 = 70.0^{+4.1}_{-7.6} \text{ km s}^{-1} \text{ Mpc}^{-1}$ for the Hubble constant, where uncertainties refer only to the statistical treatment of the data. The sampling of the Hubble parameter at $0.05 < z < 0.35$ is competitive with discreet model-independent measurements from the literature. We finally draw attention to an unexpected oscillating pattern in a number of critical indices with respect to redshift, which translates into a similar behaviour in the $t-z$ relations. These features have never been discussed before, although they are present in previous measurements.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

Characterizing the roles of transitory obscured phases and inner torus in shaping the fractions of obscured AGN at cosmic noon

The origin of obscuration in Active Galactic Nuclei (AGN) is still a matter of contention. It is unclear whether obscured AGN are primarily due to line-of-sight effects, a transitory, dust-enshrouded phase in galaxy evolution, or a combination of both. The role of an inner torus around the central SMBH also remains unclear in pure Evolution models. We use cosmological semi-analytic models and semi-empirical prescriptions to explore obscuration effects in AGN at 1<z<3. We consider a realistic object-by-object modelling of AGN evolution including different light curves (LCs) composed of phases of varying levels of obscuration, mimicking the possible clearing effects of strong AGN feedback. Evolution models characterized by AGN LCs with relatively short pre-peak obscured phases followed by more extended optical/UV visible post-peak phases, struggle to reproduce the high fraction of obscured AGN at z~2-3 inferred from X-ray surveys. Evolution models characterised by LCs with sharp post-peak declines or persistent or multiple obscuration phases are more successful, although they still face challenges in reproducing the steady drop in the fractions of obscured AGN with increasing luminosity measured by some groups. Invoking a fine-tuning in the input LCs, with more luminous AGN defined by longer optical/UV visible windows, can improve the match to the decreasing fractions of obscured AGN with luminosity. Alternatively, a long-lived central torus-like component, with thickness decreasing with increasing AGN power, naturally boosts the luminosity-dependent fractions of obscured AGN, suggesting that small-scale orientation effects may still represent a key component even in Evolution models. We also find that in our models major mergers and starbursts, when considered in isolation, fall short in accounting for the large fractions of highly obscured faint AGN detected at cosmic noon.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

Impact of stellar winds on the pair-instability supernova rate

Very massive stars (VMSs, $M_{\star}$ $\geq$ 100 M$_{\odot}$) play a crucial role in several astrophysical processes. At low metallicity, they might collapse directly into black holes, or end their lives as pair-instability supernovae. Recent observational results set an upper limit of $0.7\,{}\mathrm{ yr}^{-1} \,{}\mathrm{ Gpc}^{-3}$ on the rate density of pair-instability supernovae in the nearby Universe. However, most theoretical models predict rates exceeding this limit. Here, we compute new VMS tracks with the MESA code, and use them to analyze the evolution of the (pulsational) pair-instability supernova rate density across cosmic time. We show that stellar wind models accounting for the transition between optically thin and thick winds yield a pair-instability supernova rate $\mathcal{R}_{\mathrm{PISN}}\sim{}0.1$ Gpc$^{-3}$ yr$^{-1}$ at redshift $z\sim{}0$, about two orders of magnitude lower than our previous models. We find that the main contribution to the pair-instability supernova rate comes from stars with metallicity $Z\sim{}0.001-0.002$. Stars with higher metallicities cannot enter the pair-instability supernova regime, even if their zero-age main sequence mass is up to 500 M$_\odot$. The main reason is that VMSs enter the regime for optically thick winds during the main sequence at metallicity as low as $Z\sim{4}\times{}10^{-4}$. This enhances the mass loss rate, quenching the growth of the He core and thus preventing the onset of pair-instability in later evolutionary stages. This result highlights the critical role of mass loss in shaping the final fate of very massive stars and the rate of pair-instability supernovae.

astro-ph.HE↗