arXiv subjects

Mahshad Lotfinia

Publications and source records attributed to Mahshad Lotfinia.

18 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

FRAME: Separating sampling variation from performance disparities in medical image analysis

Fairness audits of medical imaging models commonly report the largest performance difference between demographic subgroups and treat any positive value as evidence of bias. Yet a perfectly fair model also produces a positive difference, which grows as subgroups shrink. Some mitigation methods remove demographic information from models because they assume that it produces the difference. Here we introduce Fair-model Reference And Mechanism Evaluation (FRAME). Its first step compares each reported difference with the difference expected from a perfectly fair model at the same subgroup counts. Its second step tests whether candidate causes of any excess over this fair-model reference change the difference when they are injected into model features. We evaluated 36 encoders on nine datasets in three modalities and audited 89 published differences across six modalities. For 10 frozen encoders and 13 chest radiograph findings, the reference is a median 41% of the race difference and 22% of the age difference. It is exceeded by 40 of 53 published differences in sensitivity or false positive rate and by one of 36 in the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Adding race information to the features of two encoders does not change the race difference significantly. At matched disease performance, mitigation reduces the race difference by less than its spread across three pretraining seeds (medians 0.005 and 0.012) and the age difference by more (0.008 and 0.006). Image-text pretraining raises the worst-group AUROC for race by a median 0.049 over self-supervised pretraining. Reporting the fair-model reference beside every new and published subgroup difference could direct mitigation to the differences above it.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

The pretraining domain outweighs the training objective in setting the privacy-utility trade-off of differentially private medical image analysis

Differential privacy protects the patients whose images train medical imaging models, but it lowers diagnostic accuracy, and the initialization is the strongest known remedy. Practice increasingly favors large generic self-supervised encoders. Yet the pretraining objective and the pretraining domain are confounded in existing comparisons, so which one preserves utility under privacy is unknown, and the pretraining corpus is treated as public even when it holds patient images. We trained ConvNeXt classifiers with differentially private stochastic gradient descent from five initializations that vary the objective and the domain independently, at four privacy budgets and without privacy, and evaluated them locally on more than 590,000 chest radiographs from five external datasets in four countries. Supervised pretraining on chest radiographs ranked first in 24 of 25 dataset and budget combinations. Its lead over ImageNet grew from 2.5 to 14.6 points of macro-averaged area under the receiver operating characteristic curve as the budget tightened, and the domain effect exceeded the objective effect by a factor of 2.2 to 3.4. Pretraining that corpus privately cost about 5 points and, under privacy, still beat every public initialization. Low-rank adaptation removed about half the residual gap, and in-domain pretraining raised the worst-performing demographic subgroup. Under privacy, what a model was pretrained on outweighs how it was pretrained.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Self-supervision drives representational convergence in medical foundation models more than clinical supervision

Medical image encoders from different groups are increasingly treated as interchangeable, on the assumption that scale and clinical supervision concentrate their representations onto a shared structure. Whether this convergence is real, what produces it, and whether it is clinically usable are untested, and the similarity measures behind such claims are fragile. We present a controlled dissection across 18 image and 7 text encoders, all open-weight and run locally, spanning 7M to 27B parameters and five imaging modalities, including 650,982 chest radiographs from six datasets. To isolate cause, we train encoders that vary only the objective under fixed data, architecture, and scale, and reproduce the effect in a synthetic model. Convergence is modest but above a random floor, driven by the self-supervised objective, not clinical supervision: matched self-supervised encoders aligned most (40.4% on chest radiography), with label-supervised (21.1%) and image-text (3.3%) far lower, and did not grow with size (Spearman 0.302, p=0.223) or capability. It is within-modality, does not reach clinical language, and does not reproduce how radiologists judge case similarity. Yet a linear classifier transfers across encoders and to five held-out hospitals, retaining about 85% of within-encoder performance. Convergence in medical imaging is therefore set by the pretraining objective, not inherited from scale or clinical supervision. Interoperability is accordingly something to design for through that objective, and to validate where the shared geometry is weakest, across patient subgroups and against clinical judgment.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Vision-language models for chest radiography do not always need the image

Medical vision-language models report strong chest radiograph accuracy, and this is increasingly read as evidence that they use the image. That inference is unsafe: a model exploiting finding-name priors scores like one that reads the scan, and no standard benchmark separates them. We introduce a causal audit that intervenes on the image, occluding the relevant region, occluding an irrelevant one, and swapping in another patient's same-label scan, and combines three behavioral metrics to test whether a correct answer depends on the image. Across nine systems, a text-only model with no image access reaches within 5.7 accuracy points of the best multimodal one, and a 119-billion-parameter multimodal model is statistically indistinguishable from a 7-billion text-only baseline. The audit splits the cohort into three models that ignore the image, one that is unstable, and five that use it selectively, for a subset of findings; the categories hold across a second dataset, resolution, and prompt phrasing. Against board-certified radiologists, a text-only model is statistically indistinguishable from a radiologist's accuracy while grounding at zero, whereas the image-using models ground at radiologist-comparable rates. Reported confidence flags ungrounded answers only when a model uses the image. Grounding audits, not accuracy, should gate clinical deployment.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Cross-modal linkage risk in clinical vision-language models

Vision-language models (VLMs) trained on paired chest radiographs and radiology reports learn a shared embedding space that can preserve instance-level image-report correspondence. This poses a privacy risk in settings where radiographs and reports are deliberately kept separate after acquisition, such as image-only data sharing or access-controlled reports, because a de-identified image may be re-linked to its original narrative report through cosine similarity alone. We formalized this as image-to-report retrieval and used public paired cohorts, in which the true pairing is known by design, as ground-truth benchmarks to audit the risk rather than as the privacy scenario. Evaluating VLMs of increasing clinical specialization on 406,241 paired examples from 126,804 patients across MIMIC-CXR (43,793 held-out pairs) and external CheXpert Plus (29,296 pairs), we found that re-linkage rose systematically with specialization: the strongest VLM retrieved the correct report at 15 times chance at a candidate pool of N = 100, 50 times chance at N = 10,000, and well above chance at full-database scale. The signal persisted under pathology-matched hard negatives that removed disease-label shortcuts, indicating correspondence beyond broad diagnostic categories. To reduce it without retraining, we froze both encoders and applied differentially private optimization only to the projection heads defining the alignment layer (epsilon = 0.34, delta = 6x10-6). This reduced Recall@1 by 61.8% at N = 10,000 on MIMIC-CXR and transferred to CheXpert Plus without retraining, while image-side utility was largely preserved: macro AUROC for linear-probe classification across 14 labels shifted only from 79.63% to 79.43%. Targeted DP finetuning of the shared alignment layer can substantially reduce cross-modal re-linkage without materially degrading the image representations that make these models clinically useful.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Perceptual implications of automatic anonymization in pathological speech

Automatic anonymization is increasingly used to enable ethical sharing of clinical speech, yet its perceptual and clinical consequences remain undercharacterized. We present a human-centered evaluation of automatically anonymized pathological speech, using a structured protocol with ten native and non-native German listeners spanning clinical and signal-processing expertise. The cohort comprised 180 German speakers from CLP, Dysarthria, Dysglossia, Dysphonia, and adult and child controls. Each original recording and its automatically-anonymized counterpart was evaluated on four tasks: zero-shot Turing-style discrimination, few-shot discrimination after brief familiarization, 5-point quality rating, and 4-point blinded clinical severity rating by a senior phoniatrician. Listeners detected anonymization at 91% zero-shot and 93% few-shot accuracy, with significant variation across disorders (p=0.008) that attenuated with familiarization. Perceived quality dropped by 30 ppts on a 0-100 scale (p<0.001), reorganizing the perceived-quality hierarchy across groups. Native language modulated detectability but not quality degradation, while domain expertise modulated quality degradation but not detectability, a double dissociation between the two listener attributes; speaker sex and age produced no detectable bias. Clinical severity ratings were preserved at near-perfect agreement in Dysarthria, Dysglossia, and Dysphonia (quadratic-weighted Cohen's kappa 0.87-0.94), with no recording shifting by more than one grade. Crucially, perceptual outcomes were decoupled from the standard computational privacy metric: the pathology with the strongest computational anonymization was the least perceptually conspicuous, and vice versa. These findings argue for disorder-stratified, listener-stratified, clinician-validated evaluation as the minimum standard for licensing anonymized speech for clinical use.

eess.AS↗

arXiv2026

Safety and accuracy follow different scaling laws in clinical large language models

Clinical LLMs are often scaled by increasing model size, context length, retrieval complexity, or inference-time compute, with the implicit expectation that higher accuracy implies safer behavior. This assumption is incomplete in medicine, where a few confident, high-risk, or evidence-contradicting errors can matter more than average benchmark performance. We introduce SaFE-Scale, a framework for measuring how clinical LLM safety changes across model scale, evidence quality, retrieval strategy, context exposure, and inference-time compute. To instantiate this framework, we introduce RadSaFE-200, a Radiology Safety-Focused Evaluation benchmark of 200 multiple-choice questions with clinician-defined clean evidence, conflict evidence, and option-level labels for high-risk error, unsafe answer, and evidence contradiction. We evaluated 34 locally deployed LLMs across six deployment conditions: closed-book prompting (zero-shot), clean evidence, conflict evidence, standard RAG, agentic RAG, and max-context prompting. Clean evidence produced the strongest improvement, increasing mean accuracy from 73.5% to 94.1%, while reducing high-risk error from 12.0% to 2.6%, contradiction from 12.7% to 2.3%, and dangerous overconfidence from 8.0% to 1.6%. Standard RAG and agentic RAG did not reproduce this safety profile: agentic RAG improved accuracy over standard RAG and reduced contradiction, but high-risk error and dangerous overconfidence remained elevated. Max-context prompting increased latency without closing the safety gap, and additional inference-time compute produced only limited gains. Worst-case analysis showed that clinically consequential errors concentrated in a small subset of questions. Clinical LLM safety is therefore not a passive consequence of scaling, but a deployment property shaped by evidence quality, retrieval design, context construction, and collective failure behavior.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Case-Grounded Evidence Verification: A Framework for Constructing Evidence-Sensitive Supervision

Evidence-grounded reasoning requires more than attaching retrieved text to a prediction: a model should make decisions that depend on whether the provided evidence supports the target claim. In practice, this often fails because supervision is weak, evidence is only loosely tied to the claim, and evaluation does not test evidence dependence directly. We introduce case-grounded evidence verification, a general framework in which a model receives a local case context, external evidence, and a structured claim, and must decide whether the evidence supports the claim for that case. Our key contribution is a supervision construction procedure that generates explicit support examples together with semantically controlled non-support examples, including counterfactual wrong-state and topic-related negatives, without manual evidence annotation. We instantiate the framework in radiology and train a standard verifier on the resulting support task. The learned verifier substantially outperforms both case-only and evidence-only baselines, remains strong under correct evidence, and collapses when evidence is removed or swapped, indicating genuine evidence dependence. This behavior transfers across unseen evidence articles and an external case distribution, though performance degrades under evidence-source shift and remains sensitive to backbone choice. Overall, the results suggest that a major bottleneck in evidence grounding is not only model capacity, but the lack of supervision that encodes the causal role of evidence.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Agentic retrieval-augmented reasoning reshapes collective reliability under model variability in radiology question answering

Agentic retrieval-augmented reasoning pipelines are increasingly used to structure how large language models (LLMs) incorporate external evidence in clinical decision support. These systems iteratively retrieve curated domain knowledge and synthesize it into structured reports before answer selection. Although such pipelines can improve performance, their impact on reliability under model variability remains unclear. In real-world deployment, heterogeneous models may align, diverge, or synchronize errors in ways not captured by accuracy. We evaluated 34 LLMs on 169 expert-curated publicly available radiology questions, comparing zero-shot inference with a radiology-specific multi-step agentic retrieval condition in which all models received identical structured evidence reports derived from curated radiology knowledge. Agentic inference reduced inter-model decision dispersion (median entropy 0.48 vs. 0.13) and increased robustness of correctness across models (mean 0.74 vs. 0.81). Majority consensus also increased overall (P<0.001). Consensus strength and robust correctness remained correlated under both strategies (\r{ho}=0.88 for zero-shot; \r{ho}=0.87 for agentic), although high agreement did not guarantee correctness. Response verbosity showed no meaningful association with correctness. Among 572 incorrect outputs, 72% were associated with moderate or high clinically assessed severity, although inter-rater agreement was low (\k{appa}=0.02). Agentic retrieval therefore was associated with more concentrated decision distributions, stronger consensus, and higher cross-model robustness of correctness. These findings suggest that evaluating agentic systems through accuracy or agreement alone may not always be sufficient, and that complementary analyses of stability, cross-model robustness, and potential clinical impact are needed to characterize reliability under model variability.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Multi-step retrieval and reasoning improves radiology question answering with large language models

Clinical decision-making in radiology increasingly benefits from artificial intelligence (AI), particularly through large language models (LLMs). However, traditional retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) systems for radiology question answering (QA) typically rely on single-step retrieval, limiting their ability to handle complex clinical reasoning tasks. Here we propose radiology Retrieval and Reasoning (RaR), a multi-step retrieval and reasoning framework designed to improve diagnostic accuracy, factual consistency, and clinical reliability of LLMs in radiology question answering. We evaluated 25 LLMs spanning diverse architectures, parameter scales (0.5B to >670B), and training paradigms (general-purpose, reasoning-optimized, clinically fine-tuned), using 104 expert-curated radiology questions from previously established RSNA-RadioQA and ExtendedQA datasets. To assess generalizability, we additionally tested on an unseen internal dataset of 65 real-world radiology board examination questions. RaR significantly improved mean diagnostic accuracy over zero-shot prompting and conventional online RAG. The greatest gains occurred in small-scale models, while very large models (>200B parameters) demonstrated minimal changes (<2% improvement). Additionally, RaR retrieval reduced hallucinations (mean 9.4%) and retrieved clinically relevant context in 46% of cases, substantially aiding factual grounding. Even clinically fine-tuned models showed gains from RaR (e.g., MedGemma-27B), indicating that retrieval remains beneficial despite embedded domain knowledge. These results highlight the potential of RaR to enhance factuality and diagnostic accuracy in radiology QA, warranting future studies to validate their clinical utility. All datasets, code, and the full RaR framework are publicly available to support open research and clinical translation.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2025

Differential privacy for medical deep learning: methods, tradeoffs, and deployment implications

Differential privacy (DP) is a key technique for protecting sensitive patient data in medical deep learning (DL). As clinical models grow more data-dependent, balancing privacy with utility and fairness has become a critical challenge. This scoping review synthesizes recent developments in applying DP to medical DL, with a particular focus on DP-SGD and alternative mechanisms across centralized and federated settings. Using a structured search strategy, we identified 74 studies published up to March 2025. Our analysis spans diverse data modalities, training setups, and downstream tasks, and highlights the tradeoffs between privacy guarantees, model accuracy, and subgroup fairness. We find that while DP-especially at strong privacy budgets-can preserve performance in well-structured imaging tasks, severe degradation often occurs under strict privacy, particularly in underrepresented or complex modalities. Furthermore, privacy-induced performance gaps disproportionately affect demographic subgroups, with fairness impacts varying by data type and task. A small subset of studies explicitly addresses these tradeoffs through subgroup analysis or fairness metrics, but most omit them entirely. Beyond DP-SGD, emerging approaches leverage alternative mechanisms, generative models, and hybrid federated designs, though reporting remains inconsistent. We conclude by outlining key gaps in fairness auditing, standardization, and evaluation protocols, offering guidance for future work toward equitable and clinically robust privacy-preserving DL systems in medicine.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Boosting multi-demographic federated learning for chest radiograph analysis using general-purpose self-supervised representations

Reliable artificial intelligence (AI) models for medical image analysis often depend on large and diverse labeled datasets. Federated learning (FL) offers a decentralized and privacy-preserving approach to training but struggles in highly non-independent and identically distributed (non-IID) settings, where institutions with more representative data may experience degraded performance. Moreover, existing large-scale FL studies have been limited to adult datasets, neglecting the unique challenges posed by pediatric data, which introduces additional non-IID variability. To address these limitations, we analyzed n=398,523 adult chest radiographs from diverse institutions across multiple countries and n=9,125 pediatric images, leveraging transfer learning from general-purpose self-supervised image representations to classify pneumonia and cases with no abnormality. Using state-of-the-art vision transformers, we found that FL improved performance only for smaller adult datasets (P<0.001) but degraded performance for larger datasets (P<0.064) and pediatric cases (P=0.242). However, equipping FL with self-supervised weights significantly enhanced outcomes across pediatric cases (P=0.031) and most adult datasets (P<0.008), except the largest dataset (P=0.052). These findings underscore the potential of easily deployable general-purpose self-supervised image representations to address non-IID challenges in clinical FL applications and highlight their promise for enhancing patient outcomes and advancing pediatric healthcare, where data scarcity and variability remain persistent obstacles.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2025

RadioRAG: Online Retrieval-augmented Generation for Radiology Question Answering

Large language models (LLMs) often generate outdated or inaccurate information based on static training datasets. Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) mitigates this by integrating outside data sources. While previous RAG systems used pre-assembled, fixed databases with limited flexibility, we have developed Radiology RAG (RadioRAG), an end-to-end framework that retrieves data from authoritative radiologic online sources in real-time. We evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of various LLMs when answering radiology-specific questions with and without access to additional online information via RAG. Using 80 questions from the RSNA Case Collection across radiologic subspecialties and 24 additional expert-curated questions with reference standard answers, LLMs (GPT-3.5-turbo, GPT-4, Mistral-7B, Mixtral-8x7B, and Llama3 [8B and 70B]) were prompted with and without RadioRAG in a zero-shot inference scenario RadioRAG retrieved context-specific information from Radiopaedia in real-time. Accuracy was investigated. Statistical analyses were performed using bootstrapping. The results were further compared with human performance. RadioRAG improved diagnostic accuracy across most LLMs, with relative accuracy increases ranging up to 54% for different LLMs. It matched or exceeded non-RAG models and the human radiologist in question answering across radiologic subspecialties, particularly in breast imaging and emergency radiology. However, the degree of improvement varied among models; GPT-3.5-turbo and Mixtral-8x7B-instruct-v0.1 saw notable gains, while Mistral-7B-instruct-v0.2 showed no improvement, highlighting variability in RadioRAG's effectiveness. LLMs benefit when provided access to domain-specific data beyond their training data. RadioRAG shows potential to improve LLM accuracy and factuality in radiology question answering by integrating real-time domain-specific data.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2025

Differential privacy enables fair and accurate AI-based analysis of speech disorders while protecting patient data

Speech pathology has impacts on communication abilities and quality of life. While deep learning-based models have shown potential in diagnosing these disorders, the use of sensitive data raises critical privacy concerns. Although differential privacy (DP) has been explored in the medical imaging domain, its application in pathological speech analysis remains largely unexplored despite the equally critical privacy concerns. To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to investigate DP's impact on pathological speech data, focusing on the trade-offs between privacy, diagnostic accuracy, and fairness. Using a large, real-world dataset of 200 hours of recordings from 2,839 German-speaking participants, we observed a maximum accuracy reduction of 3.85% when training with DP with high privacy levels. To highlight real-world privacy risks, we demonstrated the vulnerability of non-private models to gradient inversion attacks, reconstructing identifiable speech samples and showcasing DP's effectiveness in mitigating these risks. To explore the potential generalizability across languages and disorders, we validated our approach on a dataset of Spanish-speaking Parkinson's disease patients, leveraging pretrained models from healthy English-speaking datasets, and demonstrated that careful pretraining on large-scale task-specific datasets can maintain favorable accuracy under DP constraints. A comprehensive fairness analysis revealed minimal gender bias at reasonable privacy levels but underscored the need for addressing age-related disparities. Our results establish that DP can balance privacy and utility in speech disorder detection, while highlighting unique challenges in privacy-fairness trade-offs for speech data. This provides a foundation for refining DP methodologies and improving fairness across diverse patient groups in real-world deployments.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Large Language Models Streamline Automated Machine Learning for Clinical Studies

A knowledge gap persists between machine learning (ML) developers (e.g., data scientists) and practitioners (e.g., clinicians), hampering the full utilization of ML for clinical data analysis. We investigated the potential of the ChatGPT Advanced Data Analysis (ADA), an extension of GPT-4, to bridge this gap and perform ML analyses efficiently. Real-world clinical datasets and study details from large trials across various medical specialties were presented to ChatGPT ADA without specific guidance. ChatGPT ADA autonomously developed state-of-the-art ML models based on the original study's training data to predict clinical outcomes such as cancer development, cancer progression, disease complications, or biomarkers such as pathogenic gene sequences. Following the re-implementation and optimization of the published models, the head-to-head comparison of the ChatGPT ADA-crafted ML models and their respective manually crafted counterparts revealed no significant differences in traditional performance metrics (P>0.071). Strikingly, the ChatGPT ADA-crafted ML models often outperformed their counterparts. In conclusion, ChatGPT ADA offers a promising avenue to democratize ML in medicine by simplifying complex data analyses, yet should enhance, not replace, specialized training and resources, to promote broader applications in medical research and practice.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Preserving privacy in domain transfer of medical AI models comes at no performance costs: The integral role of differential privacy

Developing robust and effective artificial intelligence (AI) models in medicine requires access to large amounts of patient data. The use of AI models solely trained on large multi-institutional datasets can help with this, yet the imperative to ensure data privacy remains, particularly as membership inference risks breaching patient confidentiality. As a proposed remedy, we advocate for the integration of differential privacy (DP). We specifically investigate the performance of models trained with DP as compared to models trained without DP on data from institutions that the model had not seen during its training (i.e., external validation) - the situation that is reflective of the clinical use of AI models. By leveraging more than 590,000 chest radiographs from five institutions, we evaluated the efficacy of DP-enhanced domain transfer (DP-DT) in diagnosing cardiomegaly, pleural effusion, pneumonia, atelectasis, and in identifying healthy subjects. We juxtaposed DP-DT with non-DP-DT and examined diagnostic accuracy and demographic fairness using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) as the main metric, as well as accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. Our results show that DP-DT, even with exceptionally high privacy levels (epsilon around 1), performs comparably to non-DP-DT (P>0.119 across all domains). Furthermore, DP-DT led to marginal AUC differences - less than 1% - for nearly all subgroups, relative to non-DP-DT. Despite consistent evidence suggesting that DP models induce significant performance degradation for on-domain applications, we show that off-domain performance is almost not affected. Therefore, we ardently advocate for the adoption of DP in training diagnostic medical AI models, given its minimal impact on performance.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Machine Learning-Based Generalized Model for Finite Element Analysis of Roll Deflection During the Austenitic Stainless Steel 316L Strip Rolling

During the strip rolling process, a considerable amount of the forces of the material pressure cause elastic deformation on the work-roll, i.e., the deflection process. The uncontrollable amount of the work-roll deflection leads to the high deviations in the permissible thickness of the plate along its width. In the context of the Austenitic Stainless Steels (ASS), due to the instability of the Austenite phase in a cold temperature, cold deformation leads to the production of Strain-Induced Martensite (SIM), which improves the mechanical properties. It leads to the hardening of the ASS 316L during the cold deformation, which causes the Strain-Stress curve of the ASS 316L to behave non-linearly, which distinguishes it from other categories of steels. To account for this phenomenon, we propose to utilize a Machine Learning (ML) method to predict more accurately the flow stress of the ASS 316L during the cold rolling. Furthermore, we conduct various mechanical tensile tests in order to obtain the required dataset, Stress316L, for training the neural network. Moreover, instead of using a constant value of flow stress during the multi-pass rolling process, we use a Finite Difference (FD) formulation of the equilibrium equation in order to account for the dynamic behavior of the flow stress, which leads to the estimation of the mean pressure, which the strip enforces to the rolls during deformation. Finally, using the Finite Element Analysis (FEA), the deflection of the work-roll tools will be calculated. As a result, we end up with a generalized model for the calculation of the roll deflection, specific to the ASS 316L. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first model for ASS 316L which considers dynamic flow stress and SIM of the rolled plate, using FEM and an ML approach, which could contribute to the better design of the tolls.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

How Will Your Tweet Be Received? Predicting the Sentiment Polarity of Tweet Replies

Twitter sentiment analysis, which often focuses on predicting the polarity of tweets, has attracted increasing attention over the last years, in particular with the rise of deep learning (DL). In this paper, we propose a new task: predicting the predominant sentiment among (first-order) replies to a given tweet. Therefore, we created RETWEET, a large dataset of tweets and replies manually annotated with sentiment labels. As a strong baseline, we propose a two-stage DL-based method: first, we create automatically labeled training data by applying a standard sentiment classifier to tweet replies and aggregating its predictions for each original tweet; our rationale is that individual errors made by the classifier are likely to cancel out in the aggregation step. Second, we use the automatically labeled data for supervised training of a neural network to predict reply sentiment from the original tweets. The resulting classifier is evaluated on the new RETWEET dataset, showing promising results, especially considering that it has been trained without any manually labeled data. Both the dataset and the baseline implementation are publicly available.

cs.CL↗