Search arXiv⌕ Search

arXiv subjects

María Clara Fittipaldi

Publications and source records attributed to María Clara Fittipaldi.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

The Q-process for the general mother-dependent multitype branching process

The general mother-dependent neutral mutations model is a multitype branching process describing a population evolving in discrete time, in which mutations occur among a finite set of alleles: each mutant, independently of the others, acquires an allele different from its mother's, according to a prescribed distribution. We study the associated mutant and clone-mutant chains conditioned on extinction in the distant future, that is, their $Q$-processes, and we give an explicit description of their laws in the (sub)critical and in the supercritical regimes alike. Even under this conditioning, the clone-mutant process associated with the mother-dependent neutral mutations model is obtained from the corresponding infinite-alleles BGW process (studied in Bertoin (2010) and Blancas and Rivero (2018)) by an independent multinomial colouring with specific parameters. We also obtain the spine decomposition of the multitype mutant chain, from which we derive a Kesten--Stigum theorem in the supercritical regime and a genealogical construction of the Q-process in the (sub)critical one.

math.PR↗

$Λ$-Seed-Bank-Wright-Fisher process conditioned on fixation

We investigate the $Λ$-Seed-Bank-Wright-Fisher process, a model describing allele frequency dynamics in populations exhibiting both skewed offspring distributions and dormancy. By performing a change of measure, we condition this process on the eventual fixation of a specified genetic type. The resulting process is again a $Λ$-Wright-Fisher process with a seed bank, but now features coordinated mutations driven by a random switching environment. Our analysis relies on two key techniques: the lookdown construction and sampling duality. These tools provide a pathwise construction of the conditioned process while preserving a means to recover the conditioned population genealogy. The resulting genealogy corresponds to a structured $Λ$-coalescent with coordinated mutations determined by the switching environment.

math.PR↗

Crossing bridges between percolation models and Bienaymé-Galton-Watson trees

In this survey, we explore the connections between two areas of probability: percolation theory and population genetic models. Our first goal is to highlight a construction on Galton-Watson trees, which has been described in two different ways: Bernoulli bond percolation and neutral mutations. Next, we introduce a novel connection between the Divide-and-Color percolation model and a particular multi-type Galton-Watson tree. We provide a gentle introduction to these topics while presenting an overview of the results that connect them.

math.PR↗