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Max Tegmark

Publications and source records attributed to Max Tegmark.

At least 235 records · Page 13Linked to original sources

Foregrounds and Forecasts for the Cosmic Microwave Background

One of the main challenges facing upcoming CMB experiments will be to distinguish the cosmological signal from foreground contamination. We present a comprehensive treatment of this problem and study how foregrounds degrade the accuracy with which the Boomerang, MAP and Planck experiments can measure cosmological parameters. Our foreground model includes not only the normalization, frequency dependence and scale dependence for each physical component, but also variations in frequency dependence across the sky. When estimating how accurately cosmological parameter can be measured, we include the important complication that foreground model parameters (we use about 500) must be simultaneously measured from the data as well. Our results are quite encouraging: despite all these complications, precision measurements of most cosmological parameters are degraded by less than a factor of 2 for our main foreground model and by less than a factor of 5 in our most pessimistic scenario. Parameters measured though large-angle polarization signals suffer more degradation: up to 5 in the main model and 25 in the pessimistic case. The foregrounds that are potentially most damaging and therefore most in need of further study are vibrating dust emission and point sources, especially those in the radio frequencies. It is well-known that E and B polarization contain valuable information about reionization and gravity waves, respectively. However, the cross-correlation between polarized and unpolarized foregrounds also deserves further study, as we find that it carries the bulk of the polarization information about most other cosmological parameters.

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Is the cosmic microwave background really non-Gaussian?

Two recent papers have claimed detection of non-Gaussian features in the COBE DMR sky maps of the cosmic microwave background. We confirm these results, but argue that Gaussianity is still not convincingly ruled out. Since a score of non-Gaussianity tests have now been published, one might expect some mildly significant results even by chance. Moreover, in the case of one measure which yields a detection, a bispectrum statistic, we find that if the non-Gaussian feature is real, it may well be due to detector noise rather than a non-Gaussian sky signal, since a signal-to-noise analysis localizes it to angular scales smaller than the beam. We study its spatial origin in case it is nonetheless due to a sky signal (eg, a cosmic string wake or flat-spectrum foreground contaminant). It appears highly localized in the direction b=39.5, l=257, since removing a mere 5 pixels inside a single COBE beam area centered there makes the effect statistically insignificant. We also test Guassianity with an eigenmode analysis which allows a sky map to be treated as a random number generator. A battery of tests of this generator all yield results consistent with Gaussianity.

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Observational evidence for stochastic biasing

We show that the galaxy density in the Las Campanas Redshift Survey (LCRS) cannot be perfectly correlated with the underlying mass distribution since various galaxy subpopulations are not perfectly correlated with each other, even taking shot noise into account. This rules out the hypothesis of simple linear biasing, and suggests that the recently proposed stochastic biasing framework is necessary for modeling actual data.

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Time Evolution of Galaxy Formation and Bias in Cosmological Simulations

The clustering of galaxies relative to the mass distribution declines with time because: first, nonlinear peaks become less rare events; second, the densest regions stop forming new galaxies because gas there becomes too hot to cool and collapse; third, after galaxies form, they are gravitationally ``debiased'' because their velocity field is the same as the dark matter. To show these effects, we perform a hydrodynamic cosmological simulation and examine the density field of recently formed galaxies as a function of redshift. We find the bias b_* of recently formed galaxies (the ratio of the rms fluctuations of these galaxies and mass), evolves from 4.5 at z=3 to around 1 at z=0, on 8 h^{-1} Mpc comoving scales. The correlation coefficient r_* between recently formed galaxies and mass evolves from 0.9 at z=3 to 0.25 at z=0. As gas in the universe heats up and prevents star formation, star-forming galaxies become poorer tracers of the mass density field. After galaxies form, the linear continuity equation is a good approximation to the gravitational debiasing, even on nonlinear scales. The most interesting observational consequence of the simulations is that the linear regression of the star-formation density field on the galaxy density field evolves from about 0.9 at z=1 to 0.35 at z=0. These effects also provide a possible explanation for the Butcher-Oemler effect, the excess of blue galaxies in clusters at redshift z ~ 0.5. Finally, we examine cluster mass-to-light ratio estimates of Omega, finding that while Omega(z) increases with z, one's estimate Omega_est(z) decreases. (Abridged)

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Comparing and combining CMB datasets

One of the best ways of spotting previously undetected systematic errors in CMB experiments is to compare two independent observations of the same region. We derive a set of tools for comparing and combining CMB data sets, applicable also in the common case where the two have different resolution or beam shape and therefore do not measure the same signal. We present a consistency test that is better than a chi-squared test at detecting systematic errors. We show how two maps of different angular resolution can be combined without smoothing the higher resolution down to the lower one, and generalize this to arbitrary beam configurations. We also show how lossless foreground removal can be performed even for foreground models involving scale dependence, latitude dependence and spectral index variations in combination.

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Cosmological constraints from current CMB and SN 1a data: a brute force 8 parameter analysis

We describe constraints on a ``standard'' 8 parameter open cold dark matter (CDM) model from the most recent CMB and SN1a data. Our parameters are the densities of CDM, baryons, vacuum energy and curvature, the reionization optical depth, and the normalization and tilt for both scalar and tensor fluctuations. We find that although the possibility of reionization and gravity waves substantially weakens the constraints on CDM and baryon density, tilt, Hubble constant and curvature, allowing e.g. a closed Universe, open models with vanishing cosmological constant are still strongly disfavored.

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Is "the theory of everything'' merely the ultimate ensemble theory?

We discuss some physical consequences of what might be called ``the ultimate ensemble theory'', where not only worlds corresponding to say different sets of initial data or different physical constants are considered equally real, but also worlds ruled by altogether different equations. The only postulate in this theory is that all structures that exist mathematically exist also physically, by which we mean that in those complex enough to contain self-aware substructures (SASs), these SASs will subjectively perceive themselves as existing in a physically ``real'' world. We find that it is far from clear that this simple theory, which has no free parameters whatsoever, is observationally ruled out. The predictions of the theory take the form of probability distributions for the outcome of experiments, which makes it testable. In addition, it may be possible to rule it out by comparing its a priori predictions for the observable attributes of nature (the particle masses, the dimensionality of spacetime, etc) with what is observed.

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Weak Lensing: Prospects for Measuring Cosmological Parameters

Weak lensing of galaxies by large scale structure can potentially measure cosmological quantities as accurately as the cosmic microwave background (CMB). However, the relation between observables and fundamental parameters is more complex and degenerate, especially in the full space of adiabatic cold dark matter models considered here. We introduce a Fisher matrix analysis of the information contained in weak lensing surveys to address these issues and provide a simple means of estimating how survey properties and source redshift uncertainties affect parameter measurement. We find that surveys on degree scales and above can improve the accuracy on parameters that affect the growth rate of structure by up to an order of magnitude compared to using the CMB alone even if the characteristic redshift of the sources must be determined from the data itself. Surprisingly, both sparse sampling and increasing the source redshift can weaken the cosmological constraints.

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Galactic emission at 19 GHz

We cross-correlate a 19 GHz full sky Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) survey with other maps to quantify the foreground contribution. Correlations are detected with the Diffuse Infrared Background Experiment (DIRBE) 240, 140 and 100 micron maps at high latitudes (|b|>30degrees), and marginal correlations are detected with the Haslam 408 MHz and the Reich & Reich 1420 MHz synchrotron maps. The former agree well with extrapolations from higher frequencies probed by the COBE DMR and Saskatoon experiments and are consistent with both free-free and rotating dust grain emission.

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The time-evolution of bias

We study the evolution of the bias factor b and the mass-galaxy correlation coefficient r in a simple analytic model for galaxy formation and the gravitational growth of clustering. The model shows that b and r can be strongly time-dependent, but tend to approach unity even if galaxy formation never ends as the gravitational growth of clustering debiases the older galaxies. The presence of random fluctuations in the sites of galaxy formation relative to the mass distribution can cause large and rapidly falling bias values at high redshift.

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Bias and beyond

It is becoming increasingly clear that galaxy bias is complicated, with evidence indicating that it can be time-dependent, morphology-dependent, scale-dependent, non-linear and non-deterministic. We discuss strategies for overcoming these complications and performing precision cosmological tests with upcoming redshift surveys.

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Cosmic Complementarity: Joint Parameter Estimation from CMB Experiments and Redshift Surveys

We study the ability of future CMB anisotropy experiments and redshift surveys to constrain a thirteen-dimensional parameterization of the adiabatic cold dark matter model. Each alone is unable to determine all parameters to high accuracy. However, considered together, one data set resolves the difficulties of the other, allowing certain degenerate parameters to be determined with far greater precision. We treat in detail the degeneracies involving the classical cosmological parameters, massive neutrinos, tensor-scalar ratio, bias, and reionization optical depth as well as how redshift surveys can resolve them. We discuss the opportunities for internal and external consistency checks on these measurements. Previous papers on parameter estimation have generally treated smaller parameter spaces; in direct comparisons to these works, we tend to find weaker constraints and suggest numerical explanations for the discrepancies.

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Mapping the CMB III: combined analysis of QMAP flights

We present results from the QMAP balloon experiment, which maps the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) and probes its angular power spectrum on degree scales. In two separate flights, data were taken in six channels at two frequency bands between 26 to 46 GHz. We describe our method for mapmaking (removal of 1/f-noise and scan-synchronous offsets) and power spectrum estimation, as well as the results of a joint analysis of the data from both flights. This produces a 527 square degree map of the CMB around the North Celestial Pole, allowing a wide variety of systematic cross-checks. The frequency dependence of the fluctuations is consistent with CMB and inconsistent with Galactic foreground emission. The anisotropy is measured in three multipole bands from l~40 to l~200, and the angular power spectrum shows a distinct rise which is consistent with the Saskatoon results.

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Mapping the CMB II: the second flight of the QMAP experiment

We report the results from the second flight of QMAP, an experiment to map the cosmic microwave background near the North Celestial Pole. We present maps of the sky at 31 and 42 GHz as well as a measurement of the angular power spectrum covering the l-range 40-200. Anisotropy is detected at about 20 sigma and is in agreement with previous results at these angular scales. We also report details of the data reduction and analysis techniques which were used for both flights of QMAP.

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Mapping the CMB I: the first flight of the QMAP experiment

We report on the first flight of the balloon-borne QMAP experiment. The experiment is designed to make a map of the cosmic microwave background anisotropy on angular scales from 0.7 to several degrees. Using the map we determine the angular power spectrum of the anisotropy in multipole bands from l~40 to l~140. The results are consistent with the Saskatoon (SK) measurements. The frequency spectral index (measured at low l) is consistent with that of CMB and inconsistent with either Galactic synchrotron or free-free emission. The instrument, measurement, analysis of the angular power spectrum, and possible systematic errors are discussed.

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Removing point sources from CMB maps

For high-precision cosmic microwave background (CMB) experiments, contamination from extragalactic point sources is a major concern. It is therefore useful to be able to detect and discard point source contaminated pixels using the map itself. We show that the sensitivity with which this can be done can often be greatly improved (by factors between 2.5 and 18 for the upcoming Planck mission) by a customized hi-pass filtering that suppresses fluctuations due to CMB and diffuse galactic foregrounds. This means that point source contamination will not severely degrade the cleanest Planck channels unless current source count estimates are off by more than an order of magnitude. A catalog of around 40,000 far infra-red sources at 857 GHz may be a useful by-product of Planck.

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Observationally Determining the Properties of Dark Matter

Determining the properties of the dark components of the universe remains one of the outstanding challenges in cosmology. We explore how upcoming CMB anisotropy measurements, galaxy power spectrum data, and supernova (SN) distance measurements can observationally constrain their gravitational properties with minimal assumptions on the theoretical side. SN observations currently suggest the existence of dark matter with an exotic equation of state p/rho < -1/3 that accelerates the expansion of the universe. When combined with CMB anisotropy measurements, SN or galaxy survey data can in principle determine the equation of state and density of this component separately, regardless of their value, as long as the universe is spatially flat. Combining these pairs creates a sharp consistency check. If p/rho > -1/2, then the clustering behavior (sound speed) of the dark component can be determined so as to test the scalar-field ``quintessence'' hypothesis. If the exotic matter turns out instead to be simply a cosmological constant (p/rho = -1), the combination of CMB and galaxy survey data should provide a significant detection of the remaining dark matter, the neutrino background radiation (NBR). The gross effect of its density or temperature on the expansion rate is ill-constrained as it is can be mimicked by a change in the matter density. However, anisotropies of the NBR break this degeneracy and should be detectable by upcoming experiments.

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Weighing Neutrinos with Galaxy Surveys

We show that galaxy redshift surveys sensitively probe the neutrino mass, with eV mass neutrinos suppressing power by a factor of two. The Sloan Digital Sky Survey can potentially detect $N$ nearly degenerate massive neutrino species with mass m_nu > 0.65 (Omega_m h^2/0.1 N)^{0.8} eV at better than 2sigma once microwave background experiments measure two other cosmological parameters. Significant overlap exists between this region and that implied by the LSND experiment, and even m_nu ~ 0.01-0.1 eV, as implied by the atmospheric anomaly, can affect cosmological measurements.

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