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Mehak Arora

Publications and source records attributed to Mehak Arora.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Clin-JEPA: A Multi-Phase Co-Training Framework for Joint-Embedding Predictive Pretraining on EHR Patient Trajectories

Joint-embedding predictive architectures (JEPA) learn representations by predicting in latent space, as in computer vision; retaining the action-conditioned predictor at inference turns them into latent world models, enabling planning in robotics (V-JEPA 2-AC). Bringing this design to EHR patient trajectories---a predictor that simulates a patient's trajectory in latent space---has not been explored. We use an LLM as the encoder, reading the hourly record as text, avoiding feature engineering and vocabulary harmonisation. But an LLM adapted by supervised fine-tuning does not organise its latent space around physiological dynamics, and freezing it to train the predictor, as in V-JEPA 2-AC, leaves the encoder unaware of the rollout signal: the predictor degrades under rollout. We instead co-train encoder and predictor under one latent-prediction objective, grounding the encoder in the dynamics its predictor must follow. Naïve co-training, however, is unstable: the untrained predictor drags the encoder toward collapse, and the predictor's rollout diverges as its target space moves. We present Clin-JEPA, a five-phase curriculum that stably co-trains an LLM encoder with a latent trajectory predictor on MIMIC-IV. Three evaluations support the design: (1) under 48-hour autoregressive rollout the co-trained predictor degrades least (predictor degradation $\times$1.06, against $\times$1.23--1.36 for two-stage designs and $\times$6.3--66 for curriculum ablations) while the co-trained encoder resolves the progression of patient state most sharply (largest state displacement); (2) the co-trained encoder separates deteriorating from stable patients in its latent space with Cohen's $d{=}1.59$, against $\leq$0.50 for two-stage encoders; (3) one set of embeddings serves 34 downstream tasks across three benchmarks, outperforming strong per-task tuned baselines and a pretrained EHR foundation model.

cs.LG

Learning a Continuous Sepsis Severity Score Without Hour-by-Hour Supervision: A Two-Site Retrospective Study

Currently used sepsis severity indices rely on fixed variables and weights established decades ago, which are coarsely discretized and calibrated to a cohort that no longer reflects contemporary critical care. No alternative learned directly from patient trajectories is in routine use. We conducted a retrospective two-cohort study on a total of 29,116 and 7,691 adult patients meeting Sepsis-3 criteria from two hospital systems in Massachusetts and Georgie, respectively. We developed a sepsis index using 43 routinely charted variables over a 72-hour treatment window. Unlike previous studies, we use mortality as a treatment-level ranking signal rather than a per-state target, allowing credit to be redistributed non-uniformly across timesteps. Evaluation was done on a permanent 20% test holdout, using clinical vignettes and Spearman correlation. Uncertainty intervals were obtained by bootstrap resampling of whole patients. Under this ranking scheme, non-survivors scored 1.19-1.64 points higher than survivors on a 0-10 scale within all strata of baseline SOFA-2, with similar results stratifying within lactate, mean arterial pressure (MAP), and creatinine. Within-patient change in the index correlated with change in lactate (Spearman rho = 0.39; n = 1,854). Similar, weaker correlations were found for MAP and creatinine. On a cohort level, cross-institutional agreement measured by Spearman correlation between models trained on different sites, were 70-77% of same-site correlation. External within-patient correlations were 0.54 and 0.59 against ceilings of 0.92 and 0.90. Our index also correlated with established indices, while null controls stayed near zero. Our index demonstrated hourly prognostic information that meaningfully separates patient outcomes and is consistent with clinical expectation, indicating potential as a decision support tool complementing clinical judgement.

cs.AI

CXR-TFT: Multi-Modal Temporal Fusion Transformer for Predicting Chest X-ray Trajectories

In intensive care units (ICUs), patients with complex clinical conditions require vigilant monitoring and prompt interventions. Chest X-rays (CXRs) are a vital diagnostic tool, providing insights into clinical trajectories, but their irregular acquisition limits their utility. Existing tools for CXR interpretation are constrained by cross-sectional analysis, failing to capture temporal dynamics. To address this, we introduce CXR-TFT, a novel multi-modal framework that integrates temporally sparse CXR imaging and radiology reports with high-frequency clinical data, such as vital signs, laboratory values, and respiratory flow sheets, to predict the trajectory of CXR findings in critically ill patients. CXR-TFT leverages latent embeddings from a vision encoder that are temporally aligned with hourly clinical data through interpolation. A transformer model is then trained to predict CXR embeddings at each hour, conditioned on previous embeddings and clinical measurements. In a retrospective study of 20,000 ICU patients, CXR-TFT demonstrated high accuracy in forecasting abnormal CXR findings up to 12 hours before they became radiographically evident. This predictive capability in clinical data holds significant potential for enhancing the management of time-sensitive conditions like acute respiratory distress syndrome, where early intervention is crucial and diagnoses are often delayed. By providing distinctive temporal resolution in prognostic CXR analysis, CXR-TFT offers actionable 'whole patient' insights that can directly improve clinical outcomes.

cs.LG

Improving Clinical Decision Support through Interpretable Machine Learning and Error Handling in Electronic Health Records

The objective of this work is to develop an Electronic Medical Record (EMR) data processing tool that confers clinical context to Machine Learning (ML) algorithms for error handling, bias mitigation and interpretability. We present Trust-MAPS, an algorithm that translates clinical domain knowledge into high-dimensional, mixed-integer programming models that capture physiological and biological constraints on clinical measurements. EMR data is projected onto this constrained space, effectively bringing outliers to fall within a physiologically feasible range. We then compute the distance of each data point from the constrained space modeling healthy physiology to quantify deviation from the norm. These distances, termed "trust-scores," are integrated into the feature space for downstream ML applications. We demonstrate the utility of Trust-MAPS by training a binary classifier for early sepsis prediction on data from the 2019 PhysioNet Computing in Cardiology Challenge, using the XGBoost algorithm and applying SMOTE for overcoming class-imbalance. The Trust-MAPS framework shows desirable behavior in handling potential errors and boosting predictive performance. We achieve an AUROC of 0.91 (0.89, 0.92 : 95% CI) for predicting sepsis 6 hours before onset - a marked 15% improvement over a baseline model trained without Trust-MAPS. Trust-scores emerge as clinically meaningful features that not only boost predictive performance for clinical decision support tasks, but also lend interpretability to ML models. This work is the first to translate clinical domain knowledge into mathematical constraints, model cross-vital dependencies, and identify aberrations in high-dimensional medical data. Our method allows for error handling in EMR, and confers interpretability and superior predictive power to models trained for clinical decision support.

cs.LG