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Mel T. Devine

Publications and source records attributed to Mel T. Devine.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Unit commitment constrained Nash equilibrium in power markets

Equilibrium modeling for power markets usually assumes convexity of each players' optimization problem. Although the importance of accounting for fixed generation costs and start-up costs, minimum generation levels and/or minimum up-time and down-time restrictions in production scheduling is widely acknowledged, such modeling does not allow for discrete decisions. This paper considers unit commitment constrained Nash equilibria. First, we derive novel optimality conditions tailored for the mixed-integer convex programming problem of joint unit commitment and economic dispatch of a self-scheduling profit-maximizing producer. Next, we use these to formulate a Nash equilibrium as a mixed-integer complementarity problem, which facilitates the development of a procedure to obtain multiple equilibria. The approach can be adapted to both perfectly and imperfectly competitive market settings. While an equilibrium may not always exist, we give sufficient conditions under which a Cournot-Nash equilibrium can be obtained by mixed-integer convex programming under the standard assumption of an affine inverse demand curve and convex generating costs, and use this to establish existence. A case study demonstrates the feasibility of using optimisation to obtain a Cournot-Nash equilibrium for unit commitment constrained market clearing. Our results confirm that ignoring unit commitment creates significant welfare losses, although these vary substantially across equilibria.

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Investment Decisions for Perfect and Imperfect Competition in Ireland's Electricity Market

This paper employs a game-theoretic approach to analyze investment decisions in Ireland's electricity market. It compares optimal electricity investment strategies among energy generators under a perfect competition framework with an imperfect Nash-Cournot competition. The model incorporates market price based on competition among generators while accounting for the supply capacity of each firm and each technology, along with the System Non-Synchronous Penetration (SNSP) constraint to reflect operational limitations in renewable energy contribution to the power system. Both models are formulated as single-objective function optimization problems. Furthermore, unit commitment constraints are introduced to the perfect competition model, allowing the model to incorporate binary decision variables to capture energy unit scheduling decisions of online status, startup, and shutdown costs. The proposed models are evaluated under three different demand test cases, using Ireland's electricity generation projections for 2023 to 2033. The results highlight key differences in investment decisions, carbon emissions, and the contribution of renewable technologies in perfect and imperfect competition structures. The findings provide managerial insights for policymakers and stakeholders, supporting optimal investment decisions and generation capacity planning to achieve Ireland's long-term energy objectives.

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Modelling an electricity market oligopoly with a competitive fringe and generation investments

Market power behaviour often occurs in modern wholesale electricity markets. Mixed Complementarity Problems (MCPs) have been typically used for computational modelling of market power when it is characterised by an oligopoly with competitive fringe. However, such models can lead to myopic and contradictory behaviour. Previous works in the literature have suggested using conjectural variations to overcome this modelling issue. We first show however, that an oligopoly with competitive fringe where all firms have investment decisions, will also lead to myopic and contradictory behaviour when modelled using conjectural variations. Consequently, we develop an Equilibrium Problem with Equilibrium Constraints (EPEC) to model such an electricity market structure. The EPEC models two types of players: price-making firms, who have market power, and price-taking firms, who do not. In addition to generation decisions, all firms have endogenous investment decisions for multiple new generating technologies. The results indicate that, when modelling an oligopoly with a competitive fringe and generation investment decisions, an EPEC model can represent a more realistic market structure and overcome the myopic behaviour observed in MCPs. The EPEC considered found multiple equilibria for investment decisions and firms' profits. However, market prices and consumer costs were found to remain relatively constant across the equilibria. In addition, the model shows how it may be optimal for price-making firms to occasionally sell some of their electricity below marginal cost in order to de-incentivize price-taking firms from investing further into the market. Such strategic behaviour would not be captured by MCP or cost-minimisation models.

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