Search arXivSearch

arXiv subjects

Mengqing Cai

Publications and source records attributed to Mengqing Cai.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

From Language Models to World-Acting Systems: Progress and Limits of Agentic AI across Digital, Social, Virtual, and Physical Environments

Large language models become consequential agents when surrounding systems let outputs change external state. Models now call tools, operate interfaces, delegate work, retain state, inhabit generated worlds, and control robots or laboratory equipment. Such advances are often narrated as one march toward autonomy, conflating model competence, system integration, persistence, and safe authority. This critical review synthesizes primary research and official technical specifications available by 31 August 2026. We organize the evidence along delegated authority, temporal persistence, and environmental coupling, while separating model, harness, and environment. Within the evidence examined, action-interface expansion is documented more convincingly than robust completion, recovery, authorization, or independent verification. Model Context Protocol and Agent2Agent improve interoperability but do not establish trustworthy delegation; multi-agent organization adds specialization alongside cost and correlated failure. Persistent simulations and world models support training and planning but do not themselves demonstrate agency; robotics and self-driving laboratories establish bounded feasibility rather than unattended open-world reliability. We propose justified delegation as an analytical and normative heuristic, not an observed law or certified score: expand action scope only where evidence supports provenance, bounded authority, failure detection, safe recovery, and calibrated human control. This framing yields a research agenda for coupled model-harness evaluation, capability-based permissions, durable state, cross-agent accountability, and staged physical validation.

cs.AI

Artificial Intelligence in Equity and Crypto Markets: Progress, Profitability Evidence, and the Limits of Automated Investing

Artificial intelligence (AI) now supports investment workflows from data and prediction through research, portfolios, execution, and tool use. Technical capability, however, is not evidence of investment profitability. This critical state-of-the-art review examines public research available through 31 August 2026 on listed equities, exchange-traded funds, centralized crypto spot, perpetual futures, and on-chain markets. We organize evidence with an alpha-translation chain: point-in-time information must yield a stable signal, feasible positions, executable orders, and risk-adjusted returns after costs. Across machine learning, time-series foundation models, financial language models, reinforcement learning, and agents, the examined record shows real but mainly upstream progress in prediction, text processing, portfolio design, and workflow integration. Evidence is thinner for durable net performance. Temporal contamination, repeated selection, survivorship, weak benchmarks, implementation costs, venue mechanics, and capacity can break translation to net alpha. Strong historical results coexist with predictor decay, corrected look-ahead failures, mixed prospective evidence, and few audited live-capital records. Crypto adds informative state but requires separate treatment of spot, perpetual, and decentralized cash flows and execution. Within the public evidence examined here, no general AI architecture is shown to deliver persistent, cross-regime, capacity-aware net alpha. More credible claims require point-in-time data and models, decision-aligned objectives, joint portfolio--execution evaluation, controlled adaptation, prospective tests, and authority-matched governance. These conditions can improve evidence and implementation; they do not guarantee profit.

cs.AI