arXiv subjects

Muhammad Tanveer

Publications and source records attributed to Muhammad Tanveer.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Exploring Memory Effects: Sparse Identification in Vector-Borne Diseases

Predicting the human burden of vector-borne diseases from limited surveillance data remains a major challenge, particularly in the presence of nonlinear transmission dynamics and delayed effects arising from vector ecology and human behavior. We develop a data-driven framework based on an extension of Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (SINDy) to systems with distributed memory, enabling discovery of transmission mechanisms directly from time series data. Using severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) as a case study, we show that this approach can uncover key features of tick-borne disease dynamics using only human incidence and local temperature data, without imposing predefined assumptions on human case reporting. We further demonstrate that predictive performance is substantially enhanced when the data-driven model is coupled with mechanistic representations of tick-host transmission pathways informed by empirical studies. The framework supports systematic sensitivity analysis of memory kernels and behavioral parameters, identifying those most influential for prediction accuracy. Although the approach prioritizes predictive accuracy over mechanistic transparency, it yields sparse, interpretable integral representations suitable for epidemiological forecasting. This hybrid methodology provides a scalable strategy for forecasting vector-borne disease risk and informing public health decision-making under data limitations.

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arXiv2025

Sparse identification of delay equations with distributed memory

We present a novel extension of the SINDy framework to delay differential equations with {\it distributed delays} and {\it renewal equations}, where typically the dependence from the past manifests via integrals in which the history is weighted through specific functions that are in general nonautonomous. Using sparse regression following the application of suitable quadrature formulas, the proposed methodology aims at directly reconstructing these kernel functions, thereby capturing the dynamics of the underlying infinite-dimensional systems. Numerical experiments confirm the effectiveness of the presented approach in identifying accurate and interpretable models, thus advancing data-driven discovery towards systems with distributed memory.

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arXiv2025

Data-driven Methods for Delay Differential Equations

Data-driven methodologies are nowadays ubiquitous. Their rapid development and spread have led to applications even beyond the traditional fields of science. As far as dynamical systems and differential equations are concerned, neural networks and sparse identification tools have emerged as powerful approaches to recover the governing equations from available temporal data series. In this chapter we first illustrate possible extensions of the sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy) algorithm, originally developed for ordinary differential equations (ODEs), to delay differential equations (DDEs) with discrete, possibly multiple and unknown delays. Two methods are presented for SINDy, one directly tackles the underlying DDE and the other acts on the system of ODEs approximating the DDE through pseudospectral collocation. We also introduce another way of capturing the dynamics of DDEs using neural networks and trainable delays in continuous time, and present the training algorithms developed for these neural delay differential equations (NDDEs). The relevant MATLAB implementations for both the SINDy approach and for the NDDE approach are provided. These approaches are tested on several examples, including classical systems such as the delay logistic and the Mackey-Glass equation, and directly compared to each other on the delayed R\"ossler system. We provide insights on the connection between the approaches and future directions on developing data-driven methods for time delay systems.

math.NA↗

arXiv2025

Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics for Stochastic Delay Differential Equations

A general framework for recovering drift and diffusion dynamics from sampled trajectories is presented for the first time for stochastic delay differential equations. The core relies on the well-established SINDy algorithm for the sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics. The proposed methodology combines recently proposed high-order estimates of drift and covariance for dealing with stochastic problems with augmented libraries to handle delayed arguments. Three different strategies are discussed in view of exploiting only realistically available data. A thorough comparative numerical investigation is performed on different models, which helps guiding the choice of effective and possibly outperforming schemes.

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arXiv2024

Sparse identification of time delay systems via pseudospectral collocation

We present a pragmatic approach to the sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics for systems with discrete delays. It relies on approximating the underlying delay model with a system of ordinary differential equations via pseudospectral collocation. To minimize the reconstruction error, the new strategy avoids optimizing all possible multiple unknown delays, identifying only the maximum one. The computational burden is thus greatly reduced, improving the performance of recent implementations that work directly on the delay system.

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