arXiv subjects

Olga Manakina

Publications and source records attributed to Olga Manakina.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Evaluation of Multi-Turn Consistency in LLM Agents: Survival Analysis and Failure-Rationale Taxonomy

Large language model (LLM) agents may perform well on isolated tasks yet drift into inconsistency over extended interaction. We evaluate temporal consistency in a controlled 20-step multi-agent setting inspired by delayed-gratification studies. At each step, an agent chooses between continuing to delay a reward or claiming it immediately (terminating the episode). Across a full-factorial manipulation of social visibility (private vs public), persona stressors, and deliberation policy, we run 84,540 trajectories spanning 8 model families. Treating the first reward-claim as a time-to-event outcome, we estimate Kaplan-Meier survival curves and fit discrete-time hazard regression to quantify how experimental factors shift failure risk over time. Then, to analyze rationales and language patterns associated with failure, we build a seven-category taxonomy from 13,780 deliberation traces from agents who choose to terminate the episode, using an LLM-assisted labeling paired with human audit ($κ=0.83$). Rationale profiles change systematically with time and context: early failures are more impulse-driven, later failures more fatigue- and cost-benefit-framed, while public settings increase norm-oriented justifications. We also find a deliberation-inconsistency association: among failures, longer deliberation correlates with higher rates of intra-rationale contradiction (simultaneous pro-delay and pro-claim statements), challenging the assumption that more reasoning text implies greater consistency. Together, the survival and rationale analyses reveal distinct temporal reliability regimes and model-specific "failure fingerprints", offering an evaluation lens for diagnosing inconsistency in multi-turn agent behavior.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Delay-of-Gratification as a Multi-Agent Survival Micro-benchmark for Long-Horizon LLMs: Social Exposure, Personas, and Tool Use Budgets

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as multi-turn agents that must sustain goals, use tools, and adapt to other agents over extended interactions. However, existing research lacks auditable, multi-turn, multi-factorial experiments that quantify LLM behavior under explicit constraints, with time-resolved statistics that reveal how behavior unfolds over long horizons. To address this gap, we develop a multi-agent micro-benchmark inspired by the Stanford marshmallow experiment: ReAct agents operate minute-by-minute with a "raise a question" tool under a per-step budget, while we factorially manipulate social context (broadcast vs. isolated), personas (age, hedonic drive), and metacognitive policy (mandatory vs. optional tool use). We analyze outcomes with Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival curves and discrete-time hazard models over a long risk horizon across 19,200 agent trajectories in 64 cells. Behavior shows a sharp early "eat" impulse, and only 75.9% of agents persist to the end. In a discrete-time hazard model, isolation reduces per-minute risk relative to broadcast, whereas a must-use self-questioning policy increases risk. On average, agents ask $\approx 7.12$ questions and hit the per-step budget in $\approx 6\%$ of minutes. Questioning declines faster under broadcast than isolation. Ablation experiments demonstrated that removing hedonic drive and/or persona age increases survival and completion, narrows the broadcast/isolated gap, but leaves the must vs. may ordering intact. The combined ablation (no hedonic + no persona age) yields the highest completion (approaching $1.0$). These results establish delay-of-gratification as a compact, multi-turn interaction benchmark that captures social contagion and tool-use dynamics in LLM agents, providing a reproducible testbed and statistics for analyzing long-horizon, multi-agent behavior.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Learning to Grade Efficiently: A Bandit-Driven Prompt-Selection Framework for Low-Cost LLM Essay Scoring

Large Language Models (LLMs) demonstrate strong capabilities in automated essay scoring (AES), but contemporary approaches typically employ fixed prompt selection, failing to address operational cost concerns and evolving optimal configurations. We propose a novel cost-aware approach that treats each prompt type as an arm in a multi-armed bandit (MAB) controller, enabling adaptive selection of optimal prompting strategies during inference. Our experiments on IELTS Writing Task 2 essays show that the MAB framework achieves comparable scoring accuracy to exhaustive grid search while reducing LLM calls by 78.4\% to find the best grading approach. We implemented four distinct grading recipes (multi-step vs. single-step assessment, with vs. without calibration examples) and found that the multi-step approach with examples achieves the highest accuracy. By tracking token usage and latency alongside agreement metrics, we produce the first cost-reliability learning curves for essay scoring, providing actionable insights for educational technology platforms that must balance operational costs against assessment validity. This work represents the first application of online control mechanisms to adaptively select prompting strategies in AES, transforming prompt selection from an offline hyperparameter optimization problem into an efficient online learning task.

cs.LG↗