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Peter Stenzel

Publications and source records attributed to Peter Stenzel.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Impact of Data Quality on Renewable Energy Potential Estimations

Potential analyses identify possible locations for renewable energy installations, such as as wind turbines and photovoltaic arrays. The results of previous potential studies, however, are not consistent due to different assumptions, methods, and datasets. In this study, we compare commonly used land use data sources with regard to area and position. Using Corine Land Cover leads to an overestimation of the potential areas in a typical wind potential analysis by a factor of 4.6 and 5.2 in comparison to Basis-DLM and Open Street Map, respectively. Furthermore, we develop scenarios for onshore wind, offshore wind, and open-field photovoltaic potential estimations based on land eligibility analyses and calculate rooftop photovoltaic potential using 3D building data. The potential capacities and possible locations are published for all administrative levels in Germany in the freely accessible database trep-db, for example, to be incorporated into energy system models. The investigations are validated using high-resolution regional potential analyses and benchmarked against other studies in the literature. Findings from the literature, which can be used by legislators to design regulation, are rarely comparable and consistent due to differences in the datasets used.

math.OC

The development of battery storage systems in Germany: A market review (status 2023)

The market for battery storage systems (BSS) has been growing rapidly for years and will multiply in the future. With this extension of our previous works, we contribute key figures for model parametrization and political decision-making and depict the market development in Germany, one of the leading storage markets worldwide. In empirical analyses, we evaluate and combine all major public databases on national stationary and mobile storage as well as our databases from subsidy programs and extend the insights by literature research and bilateral industry exchange. In comparison to 2021, the market for home storage systems (HSS) grew by 52% in terms of battery energy in 2022 and is by far the largest stationary storage market in Germany. We estimate that about 220,000 HSS (1.9 GWh / 1.2 GW) were installed solely in 2022. The emerging market for industrial storage systems (ISS) grew by 24% in 2022, with a total of 1,200 ISS (0.08 GWh / 0.04 GW) installed. The market for large-scale storage systems (LSS) increased strongly by 910% with 47 LSS (0.47 GWh / 0.43 GW) commissioned. The electric vehicle (EV) market grew with 693,000 new EV (27 GWh / 43 GW (DC) / 4.5 GW (AC)) by 34% in terms of battery energy. System BSS prices increased significantly in 2022 and were estimated at 1,200 EUR/kWh for HSS. LSS prices ranged on average from 310 EUR/kWh to 465 EUR/kWh. In total, we estimate that over 650,000 stationary BSS with a battery energy of 7.0 GWh with an inverter power of 4.3 GW and 1,878,000 EV with a battery energy of 65 GWh and a DC charging power of 91 GW (12 GW AC) were operated in Germany by the end of 2022. The cumulative battery energy of about 72 GWh is therefore nearly twice the 39 GWh of nationally installed pumped hydro storage demonstrating the enormous flexibility potential of battery storage for the energy system.

eess.SY

Bottom-up energy supply optimization of a national building stock

The installation and operation distributed energy resources (DER) and the electrification of the heat supply significantly changes the interaction of the residential building stock with the grid infrastructure. Evaluating the mass deployment of DER at the national level would require analyzing millions of individual buildings, entailing significant computational burden. To overcome this, this work proposes a novel bottom-up model that consists of an aggregation algorithm to create a spatially distributed set of typical residential buildings from census data. Each typical building is then optimized with a Mixed-Integer Linear Program to derive its cost optimal technology adoption and operation, determining its changing grid load in future scenarios. The model is validated for Germany, with 200 typical buildings considered to sufficiently represent the diversity of the residential building stock. In a future scenario for 2050, photovoltaic and heat pumps are predicted to be the most economically and ecologically robust supply solutions for the different building types. Nevertheless, their electricity generation and demand temporally do not match, resulting in a doubling of the peak electricity grid load in the rural areas during the winter. The urban areas can compensate this with efficient co-generation units, which are not cost-efficient in the rural areas.

physics.soc-ph