Gauss--Bonnet running and the de Sitter saddle of quadratic gravity inflation
Inflation driven purely by the quantum running of the curvature-squared couplings of quadratic gravity was shown to accommodate the high scalar tilt favored by recent cosmic microwave background observations, starting from a Euclidean four-sphere at a maximum of the running $R^2$ coupling. That maximum exists only in one renormalization scheme, and is not stationary once the Euler trace anomaly is included. We show that the standard one-loop running, with the usually neglected Gauss--Bonnet coefficient retained, recovers the missing de Sitter state: the Euler running balances the scale dependence of the $R^2$ term at a unique coupling ratio, giving a de Sitter solution that is stationary for the gravitational constraint and for the compact Euclidean action alike, and whose scalaron potential is an extremely flat hilltop ($m^2/H^2\simeq-5\times10^{-10}$) joined to an inverse-linear inflationary plateau. The last $N_*\simeq50$--$60$ $e$-folds are scheme independent, with scalar tilt $n_s\simeq1-4/(3N_*)$, while the tensor-to-scalar ratio, $r$, is set by the number of matter fields that enhance the running. The current tensor bound excludes pure gravity and sets a minimum matter content, some $4\times10^6$ conformally coupled scalars or $3\times10^5$ vectors---$2.6$ times fewer than the momentum-induced scheme requires---while one-loop control to the end of inflation sets a maximum about ten times higher. Across that window the model predicts $r\gtrsim0.008$ with $0.973\lesssim n_s\lesssim0.978$, within reach of upcoming CMB polarization surveys.